Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction, 5/22/2023 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers

Date: Monday, May 22, 2023

Location: Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, CA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Denver (+4)

The Los Angeles Lakers will try to beat the Denver Nuggets at Crypto.com Arena on Monday in Game 4 of their series. Denver leads 3-0. Los Angeles opens this contest as 4-point favorites. The total has been set at 221.5.

The Nuggets went home with a win by a final score of 119-108 in Game 3. Denver ended with a 50.0% FG percentage (44 out of 88) and made 17 out of their 41 three-point attempts. From the free throw line, the Nuggets made 14 of their 19 attempts for a rate of 73.7%. When discussing hauling in rebounds, they collected 39 with 5 of them being offensive. They also distributed 30 assists in the game as well as forcing the opposition into 12 turnovers and having 7 steals. Regarding the defense, Denver allowed the other team to shoot 45.2% from the field on 38 out of 84 shooting. Los Angeles earned 27 dimes and had 3 steals in this matchup. On top of that, Los Angeles grabbed 45 rebounds (11 offensive, 34 defensive) and had 1 block. Los Angeles shot 75.9% from the charity stripe by converting 22 of their 29 tries. They knocked down 10 out of their 32 tries from distance. In relation to personal fouls, the Nuggets walked away with 19 and the Lakers totaled 18 personal fouls.

Jamal Murray is a player who was a factor for the matchup. Murray shot 51.7% from the floor and also dished out 6 dimes. He played for 42 mins and snagged 7 rebounds. He had 37 points on 15 of 29 shooting.

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Denver will enter this game with a win-loss mark of 53-29 so far this year. They cough up possession 14.5 times per contest and as a unit they are committing 18.6 fouls per contest. As a unit, Denver is snagging 43.0 boards per contest and has accumulated 2,368 dimes for the season, which has them ranked 2nd in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Nuggets are shooting 37.9% on three-point shots (969 of 2,559) and 75.1% from the free throw line. They are averaging 115.8 points per outing (12th in basketball) while shooting 50.4% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Nuggets are forcing 13.5 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.5 fouls. They give up 34.4% on three-point shots and they are 8th in the NBA in points per game allowed (112.5). The Nuggets defense is giving up an opponent FG percentage of 47.8% (3,423 of 7,166) and they concede 40.8 rebounds per game as a unit. They are ranked 16th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 2,105 conceded for the year.

When it comes to how they attacked the glass in Game 3, Los Angeles permitted Denver to grab 39 in total (5 on the offensive side). They finished 41.5% from distance by shooting 17 of 41 and finished the contest at 14 out of 19 at the free throw line (73.7%). The Lakers permitted the Nuggets to convert 44 of 88 tries from the floor which had them sitting at 50.0% for the matchup. Overall, the Lakers finished 38 out of 84 from the field which had them shooting 45.2%. When talking about shooting from 3-point land, Los Angeles buried 10 of 32 tries (31.3%). They were able to convert 22 of them for a clip of 75.9%. The Nuggets committed 19 fouls in this contest which got the Lakers to the free throw line for 29 tries. They also gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while getting 3 steals for this contest. The Lakers were able to pull down 34 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive rebounds totaling 45 in the game.

Anthony Davis ended up being a major contributor for the Lakers in the matchup. Davis tallied 28 points in his 42 mins of playing time and had 1 assist for this game. He converted 11 of 18 for the matchup for a rate of 61.1%, and accumulated 18 rebounds.

Los Angeles has a record of 43-39 on the year. The Lakers commit 17.9 personal fouls per game and they hit 77.5% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 25.3 times per game (15th in the NBA) and they are losing possession via turnover 14.1 times per contest. Los Angeles has totaled 9,608 pts so far this year (117.2 per contest) and they grab 45.7 boards per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Lakers are connecting on 48.2% from the floor, which is 10th in basketball.

The Los Angeles defense concedes 34.4% on shots from beyond the perimeter (1,028 of 2,991) and their opponents are converting on 77.3% of their free throw attempts. They have surrendered 25.7 dimes and 44.9 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is 15th and 25th in the NBA. The Lakers on defense are ranked 20th in the league in points allowed per contest with 116.6. They are forcing their opponents into 12.6 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 46.9% from the floor (10th in the league).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-4) and under 221.5 points

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