Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, 2/4/2023 Preview and Pick
Game: Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks
Date: Saturday, February 4, 2023
Location: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI
TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin
Odds/Point Spread: Miami (+6)
The Milwaukee Bucks are hosting the Miami Heat at Fiserv Forum on Saturday. Miami opens this contest as 6-point dogs. The over/under comes in at 230.
The Heat took the court against the Knicks and went home with a loss by a final score of 106-104 in their last contest. When talking about personal fouls, the Heat walked away with 15 and the Knicks accumulated 17 personal fouls. They also converted 12 out of their 36 attempts from beyond the perimeter. New York finished 77.8% from the free throw line by knocking down 14 of 18 tries. Additionally, New York snagged 44 rebounds (11 offensive, 33 defensive) and had 3 rejections. New York distributed 25 assists and had 8 steals in the game. In terms of defending, Miami allowed the other team to go 48.2% from the field on 40 out of 83 shooting. They also distributed 24 dimes for this contest in addition to forcing the other team into 17 turnovers and earning 8 steals. In regard to grabbing rebounds, they compiled 33 with 9 of them being offensive. When they shot from the free throw line, the Heat converted 13 of 16 tries for a rate of 81.3%. Miami wrapped up the contest with a 44.8% field goal percentage (39 of 87) and converted 13 of their 36 shots from 3-point land.
Bam Adebayo is one guy who came through for the contest. He scored 32 points on 11 out of 16 shooting. He was on the court for 38 minutes played and also pulled down 9 rebounds. Adebayo went 68.8% from the field and distributed 3 assists.
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Miami comes into this game with a record of 29-24 this season. They currently have an average of 108.4 points per game (30th in the league) while going 45.3% from the field. The Heat are hitting 33.7% on shots from 3-point land (628 of 1,864) and 82.2% from the free throw line. As a unit, Miami is collecting 41.3 rebounds per contest and has tallied 1,249 assists this year, which has them ranked 21st in the NBA in terms of passing. They turn it over 13.5 times per contest and as a group they commit 18.7 fouls per contest.
Defensively, the Heat are able to force 16.5 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 19.7 personal fouls. They surrender 36.6% on shots from beyond the arc and they rank 2nd in basketball in points per game allowed (108.1). The Heat defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 47.5% (2,087 of 4,390) and they surrender 42.3 boards per game as a squad. They are 20th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 1,334 conceded on the campaign.
For their last game, the Bucks got the win with a final of 106-105 when they faced the Clippers. The Bucks pulled down 45 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards for a total of 53 in the game. They also coughed up the ball 10 times, while earning 2 steals in this matchup. The Clippers had 22 fouls for the matchup which took the Bucks to the free throw line for 27 tries. They were able to knock down 19 of them for a rate of 70.4%. When discussing shots from beyond the perimeter, Milwaukee made 9 of their 37 tries (24.3%). Overall, the Bucks finished shooting 39 out of 90 from the floor which gave them a rate of 43.3%. The Bucks allowed the Clippers to convert 39 of their 95 tries from the floor which left them shooting 41.1% in the matchup. They shot 36.1% from downtown by going 13 of 36 and ended up shooting 14 of 20 from the charity stripe (70.0%). In regard to how they cleaned up the glass, Milwaukee permitted Los Angeles to collect 49 overall (9 on the offensive glass).
Giannis Antetokounmpo was important for the Bucks in the game. Antetokounmpo recorded 54 points in his 36 minutes on the hardwood and had 2 assists in the game. He buried 21 out of 39 in this game for a field goal percentage of 53.8%, and tallied 19 rebounds.
Milwaukee has a mark of 35-17 for the year. As an offensive team, the Bucks are connecting on 46.0% from the floor, which ranks them 23rd in the NBA. Milwaukee has accounted for 5,933 points this year (114.1 per contest) and they collect 48.9 rebounds per game. They are dishing out assists 24.6 times per contest (18th in basketball) and they are turning it over 15.2 times per game. The Bucks are committing 18.3 personal fouls per game and they go 73.8% from the charity stripe.
The Bucks are ranked 5th in the NBA in PPG allowed with 111.8. They are forcing 12.3 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 45.4% from the field (3rd in basketball). The Milwaukee defense gives up 35.0% from downtown (609 of 1,741) and their opponents are connecting on 77.7% of their foul shots. They allow 22.9 dimes and 44.4 total boards per game, ranking them 3rd and 23rd in the league.
Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+6)
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