Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction, 12/28/2024 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Date: Saturday, December 28, 2024

Location: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Atlanta Hawks (15-15) are welcoming the Miami Heat (14-13) at State Farm Arena on Saturday.

The Heat played the Nets and notched a win by a score of 110-95 in their last game. Miami finished the game with a 49.3% FG percentage (36 of 73) and buried 17 out of their 41 shots from distance. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Heat converted 21 of 24 shots for a percentage of 87.5%. When it comes to rebounding, they earned 56 with 19 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 13 assists for the game as well as forcing the other team into 20 turnovers and having 13 steals. In terms of the defense, Miami let their opponent shoot 39.3% from the floor on 33 of 84 shooting. Brooklyn earned 26 dimes and had 11 steals in this matchup. On top of that, Brooklyn grabbed 53 rebounds (15 offensive, 38 defensive) and had 5 blocks. Brooklyn finished shooting 80.0% from the charity stripe by knocking down 16 of 20 shots. They also made 13 of their 34 shots from beyond the arc. When it comes to fouls, the Heat ended up finishing with 16 while the Nets recorded 24 fouls.

Bam Adebayo is one player who was a major factor for the matchup. Adebayo finished shooting 66.7% from the floor and recorded 7 assists. He played 31 minutes played and also totaled 7 rebounds. He totaled 23 points on 8 of 12 shooting.

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Miami comes into this game with a win-loss record of 14-13 for the year. They average 112.1 pts per contest (16th in basketball) while hitting 45.4% from the floor. The Heat are shooting 37.4% on shots from beyond the arc (393 of 1,050) and 78.1% from the charity stripe. As a team, Miami is collecting 43.6 rebounds per game and has accounted for 696 assists so far this season, which ranks 23rd in the league in terms of passing the rock. They are giving up possession 13.3 times per contest and as a team they are committing 16.6 personal fouls per game.

On the defensive end, the Heat are able to force 15.2 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 19.2 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 6th in basketball in allowing assists with 719 relinquished so far this season. The Heat defense is giving up a FG percentage of 46.0% (1,090 of 2,367) and they concede 45.3 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They are conceding 36.5% from 3-point land and they rank 6th in the NBA in opponents points per game (109.4).

The last time they took the court, the Hawks took home the win by a final score of 117-104 against the Timberwolves. The Hawks were able to snag 38 defensive boards and 13 offensive rebounds for a total of 51 for the matchup. They gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while getting 4 steals for the matchup. The Timberwolves earned 15 personal fouls in this contest which got the Hawks to the charity stripe for 26 attempts. They were able to make 21 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 80.8%. Pertaining to shooting from 3-point land, Atlanta made 18 of their 36 tries (50.0%). When all was said and done, the Hawks went 39 for 73 from the field which gave them a rate of 53.4%. The Hawks permitted the Timberwolves to convert 39 of their 91 tries from the floor which left them shooting 42.9% for the matchup. They shot 32.6% from 3-point land via 14 out of 43 and ended up shooting 12 of 13 at the charity stripe (92.3%). In the matter of rebounding, Atlanta permitted Minnesota to pull down 59 overall (19 offensive).

Trae Young was important for the Hawks in the matchup. He buried 8 out of 15 in this game for a field goal rate of 53.3%, and had 2 rebounds. Young tallied 29 points in his 31 minutes on the hardwood and accumulated 7 assists for this game.

Atlanta has a record of 15-15 this season. The Hawks have committed 18.8 fouls every game and they connect on 78.0% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 29.6 times per contest (3rd in the NBA) and they are losing possession via turnover 16.7 times per game. Atlanta has accounted for 3,492 pts so far this season (116.4 per contest) and they average 46.1 rebounds per contest. As an offense, the Hawks are shooting 46.3% from the field, which is 16th in the league.

The Atlanta defense surrenders 38.2% on three-point shots (476 of 1,247) and their opposition knocks down 77.0% of their free throw shots. They have conceded 28.1 dimes and 44.3 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 24th and 19th in the league. The Hawks on the defensive side of the court are 27th in basketball in PPG given up with 119.0. They are forcing 16.7 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 46.9% from the floor (18th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Miami

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