Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, 12/11/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks

Date: Thursday, December 11, 2025

Location: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, WI

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-7.5)

The Milwaukee Bucks (10-15) will try to defeat the Boston Celtics (15-9) at Fiserv Forum on Thursday. Boston opens this contest as 7.5-point favorites. The total comes in at 226.

The Celtics stepped onto the hardwood against the Raptors and walked away with a win by a score of 121-113 in their last game. Boston ended the game with a 47.8% FG percentage (44 out of 92) and knocked down 20 of 47 3-point shots. From the charity stripe, the Celtics made 13 of their 14 shots for a rate of 92.9%. With regard to pulling down boards, they compiled 41 with 14 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 24 assists in the matchup while forcing the opposition into 13 turnovers and earning 8 steals. Regarding defense, Boston allowed the other team to go 48.9% from the floor on 43 of 88 shooting. Toronto distributed 22 dimes and had 5 steals for the matchup. On top of that, Toronto snagged 42 rebounds (11 offensive, 31 defensive) and earned 9 rejections. Toronto shot 85.7% from the charity stripe by burying 18 of their 21 shots. They made 9 out of their 22 shots from 3-point range. In the matter of personal fouls, the Celtics walked away with 22 while the Raptors totaled 18 personal fouls.

Jaylen Brown is a player who came through in this matchup. Brown finished 47.4% from the floor and also earned 5 dimes. He was on the court for 39 mins played and also snagged 8 rebounds. He ended up scoring 30 points on 9 of 19 shooting.

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Boston will play this game with a win-loss record of 15-9 for the year. They are averaging 117.3 points per game (16th in basketball) while hitting 47.3% from the field. The Celtics are connecting on 36.9% on shots from beyond the arc (383 of 1,038) and 78.7% from the free throw line. As a unit, Boston is pulling down 43.8 boards per contest and is sitting with 592 assists this year, which is 22nd in basketball in terms of passing. They cough up possession 11.8 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 22.8 personal fouls per contest.

On defense, the Celtics are able to force 14.8 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.9 fouls. They are currently ranked 4th in basketball in giving up assists with 591 relinquished on the season. The Celtics are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 44.6% (910 of 2,042) and they surrender 43.1 boards per game as a team. They are giving up 36.9% on 3-pointers and they are 3rd in the NBA in PPG allowed (110.6).

In their last game, the Bucks went home defeated by a final of 124-112 when they played the Pistons. The Bucks were able to collect 25 defensive boards and 11 offensive boards totaling 36 for the matchup. They turned the ball over 12 times, while earning 11 steals in the matchup. The Pistons were called for 26 personal fouls for the contest which took the Bucks to the charity stripe for a total of 32 shots. They were able to bury 22 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 68.8%. When talking about shots from beyond the perimeter, Milwaukee made 16 out of 38 tries (42.1%). When this game wrapped up, the Bucks ended up shooting 37 out of 84 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 44.0%. The Bucks permitted the Pistons to convert 43 of their 86 attempts from the field which gave them a rate of 50.0% in this contest. They finished 37.5% from distance by shooting 15 of 40 and finished the contest at 23 out of 31 at the free throw line (74.2%). When it comes to cleaning the glass, Milwaukee permitted Detroit to collect 53 in total (16 offensive).

Kevin Porter Jr. was important for the Bucks in this matchup. He made 11 out of 16 in this matchup for a field goal rate of 68.8%, and accumulated 4 rebounds. Porter totaled 32 points in his 36 mins of playing time and had 6 assists in the matchup.

Milwaukee has a win-loss mark of 10-15 so far this season. The Bucks are responsible for committing 21.9 fouls per contest and they hit 71.4% from the free throw line. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 27.0 times per game (9th in the NBA) and they turn it over 14.7 times per game. Milwaukee has scored 2,877 pts so far this season (115.1 per contest) and they snag 39.4 boards per contest. When it comes to offensive execution, the Bucks are shooting 49.1% from the floor, which is 4th in the league.

The Bucks on defense are ranked 21st in the league in PPG given up with 118.0. They have forced 14.8 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 47.4% from the field (18th in the league). The Milwaukee defense surrenders 36.1% on shots from behind the 3-point line (338 of 937) and their opposition knocks down 79.0% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have surrendered 26.8 dimes and 45.0 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is 19th and 22nd in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (+7.5)

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