Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks Prediction, 5/12/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks

Date: Monday, May 12, 2025

Location: Madison Square Garden in New York, NY

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-6.0)

Madison Square Garden is where the New York Knicks (51-31) will take on the Boston Celtics (61-21) on Monday in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals. New York leads the series 2-1. New York opens this contest as 6-point underdogs. The over/under has been set at 208.

The Celtics stepped onto the hardwood against the Knicks and went home with a win by a final score of 115-93 in Game 3. When it comes to personal fouls, the Celtics ended up with 26 while the Knicks finished the game with 16 personal fouls. They buried 5 out of their 25 attempts from three-point range. New York walked away from this one shooting 68.6% at the charity stripe by knocking down 24 of their 35 attempts. In addition, New York had 43 boards (17 offensive, 26 defensive) and added 8 rejections. New York recorded 16 dimes and had 3 steals for this contest. When talking about defending, Boston let their opponent shoot 40.0% from the field on 32 of 80 shooting. They also doled out 23 assists for the matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and getting 6 steals. In reference to grabbing boards, they earned 42 with 12 of them being of the offensive variety. When they shot from the free throw line, the Celtics knocked down 15 of their 17 attempts for a percentage of 88.2%. Boston ended with a 48.2% FG percentage (40 of 83) and converted 20 out of their 40 shots from 3-point land.

Payton Pritchard is one player who came through for the matchup. Pritchard ended up going 50.0% from the floor and also totaled 2 dimes. He saw the court for 35 minutes played and grabbed 4 rebounds. He was able to score 23 points on 8 out of 16 shooting.

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Boston comes into this one with a win-loss mark of 61-21 this season. They have an average of 116.3 points per contest (8th in the NBA) while going 46.2% from the floor. The Celtics are hitting 36.8% on 3-pointers (1,457 of 3,955) and 79.9% from the free throw line. As a unit, Boston is grabbing 45.3 rebounds per contest and has 2,144 dimes for the campaign, which is 16th in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. They are turning it over 11.9 times per contest and as a squad they are committing 15.9 fouls per game.

On defense, the Celtics have forced 12.8 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 17.5 fouls. They relinquish 34.7% on shots from distance and they rank 2nd in the league in points per game allowed (107.2). The Celtics are allowing a FG percentage of 45.0% (3,302 of 7,331) and they concede 43.7 boards per game as a squad. They are 3rd in the league in giving up assists with 1,968 relinquished on the season.

In Game 3, when talking about rebounding, New York allowed Boston to collect 42 overall (12 on the offensive side). They finished 50.0% from behind the 3-point line by hitting 20 out of 40 and finished the game at 15 out of 17 from the free throw line (88.2%). The Knicks allowed the Celtics to convert 40 of their 83 attempts from the floor which left them shooting 48.2% for this contest. When the final whistle blew, the Knicks finished 32 for 80 from the field which had them shooting 40.0%. In terms of 3-point attempts, New York converted 5 out of 25 attempts (20.0%). They were able to convert 24 of those for a percentage of 68.6%. The Celtics were called for 26 personal fouls in the game which took the Knicks to the free throw line for 35 tries. They gave up possession 11 times, while recording 3 steals for the contest. The Knicks recorded 26 defensive rebounds and 17 offensive boards totaling 43 in the game.

Jalen Brunson ended up being a factor for the Knicks in this game. Brunson racked up 27 points in his 40 minutes on the court and had 7 dimes for this contest. He made 9 out of 21 in the game for a field goal rate of 42.9%, and had 4 rebounds.

New York has a mark of 51-31 for the campaign. The Knicks commit 17.2 fouls every game and they connect on 80.0% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 27.5 times per contest (11th in the league) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 13.3 times per game. New York has scored 9,494 pts on the year (115.8 per game) and they collect 42.6 boards per game. As an offensive unit, the Knicks are connecting on 48.6% from the field, which ranks them 5th in the league.

The New York defense surrenders 36.7% on shots from 3-point land (1,072 of 2,924) and their opponents are knocking down 78.9% of their free throw shots. They have conceded 25.2 assists and 41.8 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is ranked 7th and 2nd in the league. The Knicks on the defensive end are ranked 9th in the NBA in PPG allowed with 111.7. They are forcing their opponents into 14.5 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 47.4% from the field (25th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (-6.0)

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