Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 12/1/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Monday, December 1, 2025

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: Altitude

The Dallas Mavericks (5-14) are hitting the road to Ball Arena on Monday where they will go up against the Denver Nuggets (13-4).

The Mavericks played the Heat and took a loss by a final of 106-102 in their last contest. When it comes to personal fouls, the Mavericks finished with 19 while the Heat totaled 16 personal fouls. They also made 5 of 27 tries from distance. Miami finished the game shooting 70.8% at the free throw line by knocking down 17 of their 24 shots. Additionally, Miami collected 53 rebounds (14 offensive, 39 defensive) and had 5 blocks. Miami distributed 22 dimes and had 8 steals for the matchup. When talking about defending, Dallas allowed their opponent to shoot 44.2% from the field on 42 of 95 shooting. They also doled out 22 assists for the contest as well as forcing 14 turnovers and getting 8 steals. Pertaining to grabbing boards, they earned 50 with 15 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Mavericks knocked down 14 of 16 tries for a rate of 87.5%. Dallas ended the game with a 39.2% FG percentage (38 out of 97) and buried 12 out of their 40 shots from distance.

P.J. Washington is one player who was important in the matchup. Washington went 47.6% from the floor and recorded 1 assist. He was on the hardwood for 34 mins and also totaled 8 boards. He scored 27 points on 10 of 21 shooting.

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Dallas heads into this one with a win-loss mark of 5-14 on the year. They lose possession via turnover 16.9 times per contest and as a squad they commit 21.4 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Dallas is grabbing 45.5 rebounds per game and has totaled 453 assists this year, which is 20th in the league in terms of passing the ball. The Mavericks are hitting 31.8% on three-point shots (213 of 669) and 75.0% from the free throw line. They average 109.5 pts per game (29th in basketball) while shooting 44.1% from the field.

Defensively, the Mavericks are forcing 14.5 turnovers per game and they draw 22.9 personal fouls. They relinquish 31.9% on shots from distance and they are ranked 16th in the league in points per game from their opponents (115.5). The Mavericks are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 45.2% (804 of 1,779) and they concede 49.6 rebounds per game as a basketball team. They rank 12th in the league in allowing assists to their opponents with 469 relinquished on the season.

When they last played, the Nuggets went home victorious with a score of 125-115 when they played the Grizzlies. The Nuggets were able to pull down 32 defensive boards and 14 offensive rebounds for a total of 46 for this game. They also gave up possession of the ball 14 times, while earning 5 steals for the matchup. The Grizzlies were called for 16 fouls in the matchup which got the Nuggets to the free throw line for a total of 14 attempts. They were able to knock down 11 of them for a rate of 78.6%. In reference to 3-point attempts, Denver made 22 out of 43 tries (51.2%). Overall, the Nuggets finished the game shooting 46 out of 91 from the floor which had them shooting 50.5%. The Nuggets permitted the Grizzlies to knock down 43 out of their 93 tries from the floor which left them with a rate of 46.2% for the matchup. They went 34.0% from distance by going 16 out of 47 and walked away from this one shooting 13 out of 15 from the free throw line (86.7%). Regarding how they rebounded, Denver allowed Memphis to snag 40 overall (11 on the offensive side).

Jamal Murray was important for the Nuggets in this matchup. Murray racked up 29 points in his 37 mins of playing time and earned 8 dimes in the matchup. He made 11 out of 21 in this game for a field goal rate of 52.4%, and had 3 rebounds.

Denver has a mark of 13-4 for the season. When it comes to offensive execution, the Nuggets are connecting on 50.6% from the field, which is 2nd in the league. Denver has earned 2,105 points for the season (123.8 per contest) and they collect 46.1 boards per game. They are earning an assist 29.2 times per game (6th in basketball) and they are losing possession via turnover 13.9 times per game. The Nuggets are committing 19.7 fouls every game and they connect on 83.3% from the charity stripe.

The Denver defense gives up 32.0% on shots from beyond the perimeter (208 of 651) and their opponents are knocking down 78.7% of their foul shots. They relinquish 26.1 dimes and 40.8 total boards per game, which has them ranked 13th and 5th in the league. The Nuggets on the defensive end are ranked 8th in the league in PPG surrendered with 113.8. They have forced 12.8 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 45.5% from the floor (8th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Dallas

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