Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Prediction, 11/24/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat

Date: Monday, November 24, 2025

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

Kaseya Center is where the Miami Heat (9-6) will play the Dallas Mavericks (4-12) on Monday.

The Mavericks stepped onto the hardwood against the Knicks and took a loss by a final of 113-111 in their last game. When talking about personal fouls, the Mavericks walked away with 26 and the Knicks totaled 22 personal fouls. They made 12 out of their 42 attempts from downtown. New York finished shooting 54.3% at the charity stripe by burying 19 of 35 shots. Furthermore, New York pulled down 49 rebounds (16 offensive, 33 defensive) and had 5 rejections. New York recorded 27 assists and had 8 steals in this game. In the matter of the defense, Dallas let their opponent shoot 44.1% from the field on 41 of 93 shooting. They also distributed 23 assists for the contest while forcing 9 turnovers and getting 6 steals. In terms of rebounding, they earned a total of 50 with 10 of them being of the offensive variety. From the free throw line, the Mavericks converted 25 of 30 shots for a percentage of 83.3%. Dallas finished having earned a 41.2% field goal percentage (35 of 85) and made 16 of 44 shots from beyond the arc.

Naji Marshall is one guy who came through for the matchup. He ended up finishing with 23 points on 7 out of 11 shooting. He played 34 minutes and pulled down 5 rebounds. Marshall finished the game at 63.6% from the field and recorded 1 assist.

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Dallas will enter this matchup with a mark of 4-12 this season. They are averaging 110.3 pts per contest (27th in basketball) while hitting 44.6% from the field. The Mavericks are shooting 31.5% from downtown (173 of 550) and 74.0% from the free throw line. As a unit, Dallas is pulling in 45.4 rebounds per game and is sitting with 382 assists for the year, which ranks 22nd in basketball in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession via turnover 17.2 times per game and as a squad they commit 21.8 personal fouls per game.

On the defensive end of the court, the Mavericks are able to force 14.7 turnovers per contest while drawing 23.9 fouls. They relinquish 33.2% on shots from distance and they are ranked 17th in the league in opponents PPG (116.9). The Mavericks defense is allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 45.5% (683 of 1,502) and they concede 49.2 boards per game as a team. They are 13th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 396 conceded for the year.

When they last stepped on the court, the Heat went home victorious with a score of 110-96 against the Warriors. In regard to rebounding, Miami allowed Golden State to snag 62 in total (20 on the offensive glass). They finished the game shooting 26.5% from 3-point land by shooting 13 out of 49 and finished the contest at 15 of 20 at the free throw line (75.0%). The Heat allowed the Warriors to knock down 34 of their 95 tries from the field which had them shooting 35.8% for the matchup. Overall, the Heat went 39 for 96 from the field which had them shooting 40.6%. With regard to shots from 3-point land, Miami buried 13 of 35 attempts (37.1%). They were able to make 19 of the free throws for a rate of 73.1%. The Warriors earned 20 fouls in this contest which took the Heat to the charity stripe for a total of 26 shots. They also gave up possession 14 times, while earning 10 steals in the game. The Heat snagged 38 defensive boards and 14 offensive rebounds totaling 52 in this contest.

Norman Powell ended up having an impact for the Heat in the game. Powell earned 25 points in his 28 minutes on the hardwood and had 3 dimes for this contest. He made 10 of 14 for this game for a field goal percentage of 71.4%, and had 6 rebounds.

Miami has a mark of 9-6 so far this year. The Heat are committing 21.4 fouls per game and they connect on 79.7% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 30.3 times per contest (2nd in the league) and they are turning it over 14.9 times per game. Miami has scored 1,854 points for the campaign (123.6 per game) and they collect 44.7 rebounds per contest. When it comes to offensive execution, the Heat are connecting on 48.3% from the floor, which is ranked 9th in the NBA.

The Heat on the defensive end are ranked 21st in the NBA in points per game surrendered with 119.8. They have forced 15.9 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.4% from the field (3rd in basketball). The Miami defense surrenders 31.8% on shots from behind the 3-point line (217 of 682) and their opposition knocks down 80.8% of their foul shots. They have relinquished 27.1 dimes and 50.5 boards every game, which has them ranked 20th and 29th in basketball.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Miami and under the total points

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