Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction, 12/29/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers

Date: Monday, December 29, 2025

Location: Moda Center in Portland, OR

TV: NBC

Moda Center is the location where the Portland Trail Blazers (12-18) will take on the Dallas Mavericks (12-20) on Monday.

The Mavericks faced the Warriors and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 126-116 in their last game. Dallas ended the contest with a 55.1% FG percentage (49 of 89) and knocked down 4 of their 14 shots from distance. From the free throw line, the Mavericks converted 14 of their 21 tries for a rate of 66.7%. When it comes to grabbing rebounds, they earned 41 with 3 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 23 dimes for this contest in addition to forcing the other team into 13 turnovers and getting 7 steals. Concerning defense, Dallas allowed 44.4% from the floor on 44 out of 99 shooting. Golden State totaled 20 dimes and had 3 steals in this matchup. On top of that, Golden State collected 49 rebounds (13 offensive, 36 defensive) and had 6 blocks. Golden State finished shooting 92.3% from the charity stripe by converting 24 of 26 shots. They also converted 14 of their 50 shots from downtown. Concerning fouls, the Mavericks finished with 18 while the Warriors totaled 16 fouls.

Cooper Flagg is someone who was a contributor in this game. Flagg went 61.9% from the field and also distributed 5 assists. He saw the court for 36 minutes and grabbed 6 rebounds. He ended up with 27 points on 13 out of 21 shooting.

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Dallas enters this one with a mark of 12-20 so far this year. They are averaging 113.7 points per outing (23rd in the league) while going 46.8% from the field. The Mavericks are connecting on 33.3% on three-point attempts (345 of 1,035) and 75.8% from the free throw line. As a team, Dallas is pulling in 44.4 boards per game and is sitting with 803 dimes on the season, which ranks 12th in the league in terms of passing the ball. They cough up possession 15.4 times per contest and as a squad they commit 20.3 fouls every game.

Defensively, the Mavericks are able to force 13.9 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 21.6 fouls. They rank 24th in the league in giving up assists with 851 surrendered so far this season. The Mavericks are giving up a field goal percentage of 46.1% (1,382 of 2,996) and they concede 47.6 boards per contest as a team. They surrender 32.9% on 3-pointers and they are 19th in basketball in points per game allowed (117.6).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Trail Blazers took a loss by a final score of 110-106 when they played the Magic. The Trail Blazers earned 34 defensive boards and 11 offensive boards totaling 45 for this contest. They also gave up possession 15 times, while getting 8 steals in the game. The Magic were called for 12 personal fouls in the game which took the Trail Blazers to the charity stripe for a total of 19 attempts. They were able to bury 15 of those for a rate of 78.9%. When it comes to shooting from 3-point land, Portland made 9 of their 32 tries (28.1%). When the final whistle was blown, the Trail Blazers finished 41 for 87 from the field which gave them a percentage of 47.1%. The Trail Blazers permitted the Magic to make 37 out of 85 attempts from the field which had them at 43.5% for the matchup. They finished 45.5% from three-point range by going 15 of 33 and finished the contest at 21 of 23 at the charity stripe (91.3%). When talking about how they rebounded, Portland permitted Orlando to get 38 in total (10 offensive).

Deni Avdija ended up being important for the Trail Blazers in the game. Avdija totaled 25 points in his 37 minutes on the hardwood and tallied 8 assists for the game. He knocked down 10 out of 25 in the game for a field goal percentage of 40.0%, and earned 6 rebounds.

Portland has a record of 12-18 for the campaign. On the offensive side of the court, the Trail Blazers are connecting on 44.6% from the field, which ranks 29th in basketball. Portland has 3,513 pts for the season (117.1 per contest) and they pull in 45.2 boards per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 24.7 times per contest (26th in the league) and they turn it over 17.3 times per game. The Trail Blazers are responsible for committing 22.6 personal fouls every game and they go 78.3% from the free throw line.

The Trail Blazers on defense are ranked 25th in basketball in PPG given up with 120.5. They are able to force 15.7 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 47.6% from the floor (19th in basketball). The Portland defense allows 35.8% on 3-point shots (369 of 1,030) and opponents are knocking down 80.5% of their shots from the free throw line. They have allowed 27.1 assists and 44.5 total boards per game, which has them ranked 18th and 17th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Dallas

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