Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, 12/27/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings

Date: Saturday, December 27, 2025

Location: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA

TV: NBA TV

The Dallas Mavericks (12-20) are hitting the road to Golden 1 Center on Saturday where they will try to defeat the Sacramento Kings (7-23).

The Mavericks played the Warriors and went home with a loss by a final score of 126-116 in their last game. When talking about fouls, the Mavericks ended up with 18 while the Warriors had 16 fouls. They converted 14 of their 50 attempts from distance. Golden State finished the game at 92.3% from the free throw line by knocking down 24 of their 26 shots. Furthermore, Golden State grabbed 49 rebounds (13 offensive, 36 defensive) and added 6 blocks. Golden State recorded 20 dimes and had 3 steals in this matchup. When discussing defending, Dallas let their opponent shoot 44.4% from the floor on 44 of 99 shooting. They also recorded 23 assists in this matchup while creating 13 turnovers and having 7 steals. Concerning pulling down boards, they collected a total of 41 with 3 of them being of the offensive variety. At the charity stripe, the Mavericks knocked down 14 of their 21 tries for a rate of 66.7%. Dallas finished the contest with a 55.1% FG percentage (49 of 89) and knocked down 4 out of their 14 shots from downtown.

Cooper Flagg is someone who was a contributor for the contest. He recorded 27 points on 13 out of 21 shooting. He saw the court for 36 minutes played and also collected 6 rebounds. Flagg ended up going 61.9% from the floor and dished out 5 assists.

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Dallas will enter this matchup with a win-loss record of 12-20 this season. They currently have an average of 113.7 points per game (23rd in basketball) while going 46.8% from the field. The Mavericks are shooting 33.3% from downtown (345 of 1,035) and 75.8% from the charity stripe. As a team, Dallas is collecting 44.4 rebounds per game and has 803 assists on the campaign, which has them ranked 12th in basketball in terms of passing. They are giving up possession 15.4 times per game and as a squad they commit 20.3 fouls per contest.

Defensively, the Mavericks are forcing their opponents into 13.9 turnovers every game while drawing 21.6 personal fouls. They rank 24th in the NBA in allowing assists to their opponents with 851 surrendered this season. The Mavericks defensively are allowing a FG percentage of 46.1% (1,382 of 2,996) and they concede 47.6 rebounds per game as a unit. They are conceding 32.9% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 19th in the league in PPG allowed (117.6).

In their last game, the Kings took a defeat with a final score of 136-127 against the Pistons. The Kings earned 23 defensive rebounds and 19 offensive rebounds totaling 42 for the matchup. They gave up possession of the ball 11 times, while recording 9 steals for this contest. The Pistons were called for 16 fouls in this game which got the Kings to the free throw line for 37 shots. They were able to convert 32 of the free throws for a percentage of 86.5%. Pertaining to shots from beyond the perimeter, Sacramento knocked down 11 of 33 attempts (33.3%). Overall, the Kings finished the game shooting 42 for 92 from the floor which had them shooting 45.7%. The Kings permitted the Pistons to knock down 51 of 95 attempts from the floor which left them with a rate of 53.7% for this game. They finished the game shooting 43.8% from 3-point land by going 14 out of 32 and ended up shooting 20 out of 28 at the free throw line (71.4%). In the matter of rebounding, Sacramento allowed Detroit to snag 42 in total (16 offensive).

DeMar DeRozan was important for the Kings for the matchup. DeRozan recorded 37 points in his 42 minutes of playing time and had 8 assists in the matchup. He converted 12 out of 18 in the matchup giving him a rate of 66.7%, and accumulated 3 rebounds.

Sacramento has a win-loss record of 7-23 for the season. As an offense, the Kings are shooting 46.3% from the floor, which is 21st in the NBA. Sacramento has totaled 3,360 points this year (112.0 per game) and they snag 40.8 rebounds per game. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 25.4 times per contest (22nd in the league) and they are turning it over 14.2 times per contest. The Kings are committing 20.7 fouls per game and they go 75.8% from the charity stripe.

The Sacramento defense allows 35.6% on shots from 3-point land (388 of 1,090) and their opposition knocks down 77.4% of their free throw attempts. They have conceded 28.6 dimes and 46.6 boards every game, ranking them 26th and 26th in the league. The Kings defensively are ranked 26th in the league in PPG given up with 122.5. They are forcing their opponents into 15.2 turnovers on a nightly basis and have let teams shoot 49.7% from the floor (30th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Dallas

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