Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 12/23/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Tuesday, December 23, 2025

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: NBC

American Airlines Center is the location where the Dallas Mavericks (11-18) will meet the Denver Nuggets (20-7) on Tuesday.

The Nuggets took the court against the Rockets and took a loss by a final of 115-101 in their last game. Denver ended the game with a 40.2% FG percentage (37 of 92) and converted 8 of their 29 three-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Nuggets buried 19 of 23 tries for a percentage of 82.6%. When it comes to rebounding, they collected a total of 39 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 18 assists in the game while forcing the opposition into 20 turnovers and having 14 steals. In relation to defending, Denver let their opponent shoot 50.6% from the field on 39 out of 77 shooting. Houston doled out 18 assists and had 12 steals for this contest. Additionally, Houston grabbed 47 rebounds (9 offensive, 38 defensive) and added 6 rejections. Houston ended up shooting 78.3% when shooting free throws by knocking down 18 of their 23 attempts. They also converted 19 of their 35 shots from distance. In regard to fouls, the Nuggets ended up finishing with 19 while the Rockets recorded 20 fouls.

Nikola Jokic is one guy who was a major factor for this game. Jokic ended up going 45.0% from the floor and also totaled 5 dimes. He played for 29 mins and grabbed 7 rebounds. He ended up scoring 25 points on 9 out of 20 shooting.

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Denver comes into this contest with a mark of 20-7 so far this year. They have an average of 124.7 points per outing (1st in basketball) while going 51.3% from the field. The Nuggets are shooting 39.7% on 3-point shots (364 of 916) and 82.0% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Denver is collecting 44.2 rebounds per game and has accounted for 788 assists on the year, which is 7th in the league in terms of passing the ball. They cough up possession 13.3 times per contest and as a team are committing 19.5 personal fouls every game.

On the defensive end, the Nuggets are forcing 12.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 22.0 fouls. They are relinquishing 34.9% on 3-point shots and they rank 16th in the NBA in opponents PPG (116.1). The Nuggets are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 46.8% (1,138 of 2,432) and they relinquish 41.0 boards per game as a squad. They are 10th in basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 719 surrendered for the campaign.

In their last game, the Mavericks took a loss by a final score of 121-114 against the 76ers. The Mavericks pulled down 36 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards for a total of 44 in this contest. They turned the ball over 12 times, while getting 2 steals in the matchup. The 76ers earned 21 personal fouls for the game which took the Mavericks to the charity stripe for 22 attempts. They were able to knock down 21 of the free throws for a rate of 95.5%. Pertaining to shots from downtown, Dallas buried 3 out of their 18 tries (16.7%). When the final whistle blew, the Mavericks finished shooting 45 out of 83 from the field which had them sitting at 54.2%. The Mavericks permitted the 76ers to bury 44 of 102 attempts from the floor which left them with a rate of 43.1% for this contest. They finished shooting 30.0% from three-point range by shooting 12 out of 40 and walked away from this one shooting 21 of 28 from the charity stripe (75.0%). In relation to rebounds, Dallas allowed Philadelphia to get 47 overall (20 offensive).

Anthony Davis ended up being a major contributor for the Mavericks for the matchup. He converted 11 of 20 in this game for a field goal rate of 55.0%, and earned 15 rebounds. Davis racked up 24 points in his 34 minutes on the hardwood and tallied 2 dimes in this contest.

Dallas has a win-loss record of 11-18 so far this season. The Mavericks are responsible for committing 20.8 personal fouls every game and they go 76.3% from the free throw line. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 24.9 times per game (25th in basketball) and they are turning it over 15.6 times per contest. Dallas has scored 3,278 points on the campaign (113.0 per contest) and they grab 44.4 rebounds per contest. On the offensive side of the ball, the Mavericks are shooting 46.3% from the floor, which is ranked 20th in basketball.

The Dallas defense allows 32.8% on shots from distance (325 of 990) and their opposition knocks down 77.3% of their foul shots. They have surrendered 25.9 dimes and 47.9 boards per game, which has them ranked 12th and 28th in the NBA. The Mavericks on defense are ranked 18th in the league in points allowed per game with 116.9. They are able to force 14.0 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 45.9% from the field (5th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Denver

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