Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, 10/23/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors

Date: Thursday, October 23, 2025

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Denver (-1.5)

Chase Center is where the Golden State Warriors (48-34 last season) will compete against the Denver Nuggets (50-32 last year) on Thursday. Golden State is 1.5-point underdogs. The over/under is 232.5.

The Nuggets stepped onto the hardwood against the Thunder and ended up losing by a score of 125-93 in their last contest. In regard to fouls, the Nuggets ended up finishing with 19 and the Thunder totaled 19 fouls. They knocked down 12 out of their 39 attempts from beyond the arc. Oklahoma City shot 79.2% when shooting free throws by making 19 of their 24 shots. In addition, Oklahoma City pulled down 44 rebounds (15 offensive, 29 defensive) and added 2 blocked shots. Oklahoma City dished out 28 assists and had 16 steals for this game. In terms of defense, Denver allowed 49.0% from the floor on 47 of 96 shooting. They also distributed 20 assists in the matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 10 turnovers and earning 6 steals. With regard to rebounding, they earned a total of 47 with 15 of them being on the offensive end. At the charity stripe, the Nuggets made 17 of their 22 attempts for a percentage of 77.3%. Denver walked away from the contest having earned a 39.3% field goal percentage (33 of 84) and made 10 of their 45 shots from 3-point land.

Nikola Jokic is a guy who was a factor in this matchup. He recorded 20 points on 5 of 9 shooting. He saw the court for 37 mins and pulled down 9 rebounds. Jokic finished 55.6% from the field and also earned 7 assists.

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Denver heads into this one after finishing with a record of 50-32 last year. They turned the ball over 14.3 times per game and as a squad committed 17.6 personal fouls per contest. As a team, Denver pulled down 45.7 boards per game and sat with 2,542 assists throughout last season, which had them ranked 1st in basketball in terms of passing the rock. The Nuggets hit on 37.6% on shots from 3-point land (984 of 2,619) and 77.0% from the free throw line. They averaged 120.8 pts per contest (3rd in basketball) while connecting on 50.6% from the floor.

On the defensive end of the court, the Nuggets were able to force their opponents into 13.0 turnovers per game and they drew 19.0 fouls. They surrendered 36.5% on shots from downtown and they were 25th in the league in PPG from their opponents (116.9). The Nuggets gave up a FG percentage of 46.6% (3,554 of 7,629) and they conceded 42.5 rebounds per contest as a group. They were 29th in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 2,379 relinquished last season.

In their last game, the Warriors got the victory with a final of 119-109 when they played the Lakers. The Warriors recorded 31 defensive boards and 9 offensive rebounds for a total of 40 for the matchup. They also coughed up the ball 19 times, while getting 10 steals for this game. The Lakers committed 21 fouls in the matchup which took the Warriors to the charity stripe for a total of 29 shots. They were able to make 26 of the free throws for a percentage of 89.7%. When discussing three-point attempts, Golden State converted 17 out of their 40 tries (42.5%). When this game wrapped up, the Warriors walked away from this one shooting 38 out of 78 from the field which gave them a rate of 48.7%. The Warriors permitted the Lakers to convert 42 of 77 attempts from the field which gave them a rate of 54.5% in the matchup. They finished 25.0% from 3-point land by shooting 8 of 32 and ended up shooting 17 out of 28 from the free throw line (60.7%). In regard to team rebounding, Golden State allowed Los Angeles to grab 39 in all (7 on the offensive glass).

Jimmy Butler was important for the Warriors for this game. Butler totaled 31 points in his 35 minutes of playing time and had 4 dimes for the contest. He made 7 of 14 in this matchup for a field goal percentage of 50.0%, and totaled 5 rebounds.

Golden State had a record of 48-34 last year. The Warriors were responsible for committing 19.2 fouls per contest and they hit 76.4% from the charity stripe. They dished out assists 29.1 times per contest (4th in basketball) and they gave up possession 14.0 times per game. Golden State totaled 9,331 pts last season (113.8 per game) and they grabbed 45.4 boards per game. As an offensive unit, the Warriors shot 45.1% from the field, which ranked 25th in the league.

The Golden State defense surrendered 36.3% from downtown (1,080 of 2,976) and their opposition knocked down 76.9% of their shots from the free throw line. They allowed 25.9 dimes and 44.1 total boards per game, which was ranked 10th and 15th in basketball. The Warriors on defense were ranked 8th in the NBA in points given up per game with 110.5. They forced their opponents into 15.7 TO's every game and allowed teams to shoot 46.5% from the floor (11th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Golden State (+1.5)

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