Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets Prediction, 11/21/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets

Date: Friday, November 21, 2025

Location: Toyota Center in Houston, TX

TV: Prime Video

Toyota Center is the location where the Houston Rockets (10-3) will try to defeat the Denver Nuggets (11-3) on Friday.

The Nuggets faced off with the Pelicans and walked away with a win by a score of 125-118 in their last game. With respect to fouls, the Nuggets ended up finishing with 26 while the Pelicans accumulated 24 fouls. They also buried 7 of their 34 attempts from distance. New Orleans ended up shooting 74.2% at the free throw line by knocking down 23 of their 31 shots. Moreover, New Orleans pulled down 44 boards (17 offensive, 27 defensive) and had 1 block. New Orleans dished out 25 assists and had 12 steals for the matchup. In the matter of the defense, Denver allowed 44.9% from the field on 44 of 98 shooting. They also recorded 35 assists for the matchup in addition to creating 12 turnovers and earning 8 steals. In terms of grabbing rebounds, they compiled a total of 41 with 9 of them being offensive. From the free throw line, the Nuggets knocked down 22 of 27 attempts for a rate of 81.5%. Denver finished the game with a 55.4% FG percentage (46 of 83) and converted 11 out of their 31 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Peyton Watson is someone who was a major contributor in this contest. Watson finished the contest at 68.4% from the field and earned 3 assists. He played for 34 mins played and also grabbed 12 rebounds. He walked away with 32 points on 13 out of 19 shooting.

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Denver enters this contest with a record of 11-3 this year. They turn it over 13.9 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 19.9 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Denver is collecting 47.3 boards per game and has accumulated 409 assists for the season, which is 10th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. The Nuggets are hitting 36.6% on shots from 3-point land (170 of 465) and 83.9% from the charity stripe. They average 124.6 pts per contest (1st in basketball) while connecting on 50.6% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Nuggets are able to force 13.1 turnovers per contest while drawing 22.4 fouls. They are ranked 4th in the NBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 358 relinquished this season. The Nuggets defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 45.0% (571 of 1,269) and they concede 41.1 boards per contest as a group. They give up 31.2% on shots from distance and they are ranked 6th in basketball in points per game allowed (113.1).

The last time they took the court, the Rockets walked away with a victory by a final of 114-104 against the Cavaliers. When talking about attacking the glass, Houston permitted Cleveland to pull down 39 overall (10 on the offensive glass). They wrapped up this game 30.8% from beyond the arc by connecting on 12 of 39 and finished the contest at 20 out of 32 at the free throw line (62.5%). The Rockets allowed the Cavaliers to knock down 36 of 81 tries from the floor which left them shooting 44.4% for this contest. In all, the Rockets finished the game shooting 41 out of 90 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 45.6%. Pertaining to shooting from distance, Houston knocked down 9 of 24 attempts (37.5%). They were able to make 23 of those for a rate of 85.2%. The Cavaliers were called for 18 personal fouls in this matchup which got the Rockets to the charity stripe for 27 shots. They also turned the ball over 13 times, while getting 9 steals for this game. The Rockets were able to snag 35 defensive boards and 16 offensive rebounds totaling 51 for this contest.

Alperen Sengun ended up having an impact for the Rockets for the game. He buried 10 of 17 in the matchup for a field goal percentage of 58.8%, and had 11 rebounds. Sengun tallied 28 points in his 38 mins on the court and had 7 assists in this game.

Houston has a record of 10-3 so far this season. The Rockets commit 20.7 fouls per game and they go 79.6% from the charity stripe. They are getting an assist 25.6 times per game (19th in the NBA) and they are giving up possession 15.7 times per contest. Houston has totaled 1,611 points for the campaign (123.9 per contest) and they snag 50.3 boards per contest. As an offense, the Rockets are shooting 48.8% from the field, which ranks 7th in the NBA.

The Houston defense gives up 35.8% on shots from distance (184 of 514) and their opponents are converting on 72.4% of their free throw attempts. They have given up 24.9 assists and 37.9 boards on a nightly basis, which is ranked 6th and 1st in the league. The Rockets are ranked 5th in basketball in points per game surrendered with 112.5. They are able to force 13.8 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 45.3% from the floor (7th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Denver

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