Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Prediction, 1/17/2025 Preview and Pick
Game: Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat
Date: Friday, January 17, 2025
Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL
TV: FanDuel Sports Network
The Miami Heat (20-19) will take on the Denver Nuggets (24-16) at Kaseya Center on Friday.

The Nuggets faced the Rockets and took a loss by a final of 128-108 in their last contest. Denver finished the contest with a 53.3% FG percentage (40 of 75) and knocked down 14 out of their 29 shots from beyond the arc. When they shot from the free throw line, the Nuggets converted 14 of 21 attempts for a rate of 66.7%. When it comes to grabbing rebounds, they compiled 36 with 9 of them being offensive. They also doled out 22 dimes in the game in addition to forcing 11 turnovers and having 4 steals. In terms of defense, Denver allowed the other team to shoot 52.1% from the floor on 49 out of 94 shooting. Houston earned 28 assists and had 14 steals for this game. Moreover, Houston had 40 rebounds (14 offensive, 26 defensive) and earned 7 rejections. Houston finished shooting 76.5% at the free throw line by knocking down 13 of 17 attempts. They also knocked down 17 out of their 38 shots from three-point range. Concerning fouls, the Nuggets ended up with 16 and the Rockets finished the game with 19 fouls.
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Christian Braun is a player who was a major factor in the game. Braun ended up shooting 90.9% from the floor and earned 1 assist. He played for 35 mins and snagged 4 rebounds. He ended up with 22 points on 10 of 11 shooting.
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Denver comes into this contest with a record of 24-16 on the season. They are turning it over 14.4 times per contest and as a group they are committing 18.2 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Denver is grabbing 45.4 rebounds per game and has tallied 1,237 dimes so far this season, which ranks 1st in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. The Nuggets are hitting 38.2% on three-point attempts (474 of 1,241) and 75.9% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 120.0 points per outing (3rd in the league) while shooting 50.0% from the floor.
On defense, the Nuggets are forcing their opponents into 14.1 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 20.0 personal fouls. They relinquish 35.3% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 23rd in the NBA in points per game allowed (116.0). The Nuggets defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 46.4% (1,724 of 3,718) and they surrender 43.0 boards per game as a unit. They currently rank 28th in basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 1,171 conceded for the campaign.
In their last game, the Heat walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 117-108 against the Lakers. Regarding rebounding, Miami allowed Los Angeles to grab 34 in total (6 offensive). They finished 38.2% from beyond the arc by shooting 13 out of 34 and ended up going 10 out of 14 at the charity stripe (71.4%). The Heat allowed the Lakers to make 47 out of their 90 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 52.2% for this contest. Overall, the Heat shot 39 out of 73 from the floor which gave them a rate of 53.4%. Pertaining to shooting from beyond the arc, Miami made 16 of 36 tries (44.4%). They were able to make 14 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 93.3%. The Lakers earned 12 personal fouls for the matchup which got the Heat to the free throw line for 15 attempts. They also turned it over 20 times, while earning 3 steals for the contest. The Heat were able to pull down 34 defensive rebounds and 3 offensive rebounds totaling 37 for this contest.
Tyler Herro ended up having an impact for the Heat for this contest. He made 12 out of 18 for the matchup for a rate of 66.7%, and had 4 rebounds. Herro tallied 34 points in his 38 minutes on the hardwood and had 3 assists for this game.
Miami has a mark of 20-19 this year. The Heat are responsible for committing 15.9 fouls per contest while shooting 78.4% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 26.0 times per game (15th in the NBA) and they turn it over 13.7 times per contest. Miami has totaled 4,319 points this year (110.7 per contest) and they collect 43.4 rebounds per game. As an offensive team, the Heat are connecting on 45.5% from the floor, which ranks 20th in the league.
The Miami defense gives up 35.5% on three-point shots (525 of 1,478) and opponents are connecting on 79.4% of their foul shots. They have given up 26.8 dimes and 45.8 rebounds per game, which ranks 20th and 26th in the league. The Heat on the defensive end are ranked 7th in the league in points allowed per game with 109.5. They are able to force 14.7 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 46.0% from the floor (12th in the NBA).
Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Denver
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Additional Resources:
Miami Heat - Twitter
Denver Nuggets - Twitter