Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Prediction, 12/29/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Date: Monday, December 29, 2025

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Miami Heat (15-15) will try to defeat the Denver Nuggets (22-8) at Kaseya Center on Monday.

The Nuggets took the court against the Timberwolves and notched a win by a score of 142-138 in their last contest. When talking about personal fouls, the Nuggets ended up walking away with 17 and the Timberwolves had 22 personal fouls. They converted 12 out of their 45 shots from 3-point land. Minnesota finished the game at 80.0% at the free throw line by making 24 of 30 attempts. Furthermore, Minnesota collected 47 rebounds (11 offensive, 36 defensive) and earned 4 blocked shots. Minnesota doled out 30 assists and had 7 steals for this contest. With regard to defending, Denver allowed the other team to go 49.0% from the field on 51 of 104 shooting. They also dished out 28 assists in the game as well as forcing the opposition into 14 turnovers and earning 9 steals. When it comes to grabbing rebounds, they compiled 45 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. From the free throw line, the Nuggets converted 29 of their 32 shots for a percentage of 90.6%. Denver finished the game having earned a 46.5% FG percentage (47 of 101) and converted 19 out of their 43 3-point shots.

Nikola Jokic is a guy who was a major contributor in the game. He scored 56 points on 15 out of 21 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 43 mins and snagged 16 rebounds. Jokic finished the contest at 71.4% from the field and also totaled 15 assists.

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Denver enters this contest with a record of 22-8 on the campaign. They turn it over 13.4 times per contest and as a basketball team they are committing 19.3 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Denver is grabbing 44.1 boards per contest and has accounted for 895 assists on the season, which ranks 3rd in the NBA in terms of passing the rock. The Nuggets are shooting 40.8% on shots beyond the perimeter (427 of 1,047) and 82.4% from the free throw line. They have an average of 125.8 points per game (1st in the NBA) while hitting 51.3% from the field.

On defense, the Nuggets are able to force 12.7 turnovers every game while drawing 21.7 personal fouls. They give up 34.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 17th in the league in PPG allowed (117.2). The Nuggets defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 47.1% (1,283 of 2,725) and they surrender 41.3 rebounds per game as a group. They are 21st in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 814 surrendered for the year.

When they last stepped on the court, the Heat took a defeat with a final score of 112-91 when they played the Raptors. In reference to cleaning up the glass, Miami permitted Toronto to snag 50 overall (15 on the offensive side). They finished shooting 36.8% from distance by going 14 of 38 and finished the game at 16 out of 18 at the charity stripe (88.9%). The Heat allowed the Raptors to make 41 of their 86 tries from the field which left them shooting 47.7% in this contest. When the game finished, the Heat walked away from this one shooting 33 out of 82 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 40.2%. When talking about three-point attempts, Miami converted 8 out of their 30 tries (26.7%). They were able to convert 17 of them for a percentage of 85.0%. The Raptors committed 26 fouls in this game which got the Heat to the free throw line for 20 attempts. They gave up possession 19 times, while recording 8 steals for this contest. The Heat snagged 30 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards totaling 40 in this matchup.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. ended up having an impact for the Heat for the matchup. He converted 9 out of 16 in this contest for a field goal rate of 56.3%, and added 2 rebounds. Jacquez recorded 21 points in his 36 mins of playing time and had 2 assists in this matchup.

Miami has a record of 15-15 this year. The Heat are committing 19.1 personal fouls every game and they hit 78.2% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 28.3 times per game (7th in the league) and they cough up possession 14.2 times per game. Miami has 3,577 pts for the year (119.2 per contest) and they collect 45.4 boards per game. When it comes to offense, the Heat are shooting 47.0% from the field, which is ranked 14th in basketball.

The Heat defensively are ranked 20th in the NBA in points per game surrendered with 117.6. They are able to force 15.6 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 45.2% from the floor (4th in basketball). The Miami defense concedes 34.5% on shots from distance (428 of 1,242) and their opposition knocks down 79.9% of their free throw attempts. They have conceded 27.1 assists and 48.0 boards per contest, which ranks them 17th and 29th in the NBA.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Miami and under the total points

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