Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, 5/7/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Date: Wednesday, May 7, 2025

Location: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Denver (+12.0)

The Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14) will try to defeat the Denver Nuggets (50-32) at Paycom Center on Wednesday in Game 2 of the Western Conference Semifinals. Denver has a series lead of 1 - 0. Oklahoma City opens this matchup as 12-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 231.

The Nuggets faced the Thunder and earned the victory with a final of 121-119 in Game 1. Denver ended the game with a 44.2% FG percentage (42 of 95) and buried 10 of their 32 three-point shots. From the charity stripe, the Nuggets knocked down 27 of 33 attempts for a rate of 81.8%. When talking about rebounding, they earned a total of 63 with 21 of them being of the offensive sort. They also dished out 18 dimes for the matchup while forcing the opposition into 9 turnovers and earning 6 steals. In relation to defending, Denver allowed the other team to go 42.0% from the field on 42 out of 100 shooting. Oklahoma City doled out 27 dimes and had 12 steals for the game. Additionally, Oklahoma City totaled 43 rebounds (13 offensive, 30 defensive) and added 5 blocked shots. Oklahoma City ended up shooting 71.4% at the charity stripe by making 20 of their 28 attempts. They also made 15 out of their 43 attempts from distance. In regard to fouls, the Nuggets ended up walking away with 21 while the Thunder accounted for 27 fouls.

Nikola Jokic is one player who had an impact for the game. He finished with 42 points on 15 of 29 shooting. He saw the court for 42 minutes and grabbed 22 boards. Jokic ended up shooting 51.7% from the floor and also distributed 6 assists.

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Denver will enter this matchup with a mark of 50-32 on the campaign. They cough up possession 14.3 times per game and as a squad are committing 17.6 personal fouls every game. As a team, Denver is pulling down 45.7 rebounds per game and has 2,542 assists on the season, which has them ranked 1st in the league in terms of passing. The Nuggets are shooting 37.6% from downtown (984 of 2,619) and 77.0% from the free throw line. They are averaging 120.8 points per contest (3rd in basketball) while going 50.6% from the floor.

On defense, the Nuggets are forcing 13.0 turnovers per game while drawing 19.0 fouls. They give up 36.5% on 3-point shots and they are 25th in the league in PPG allowed (116.9). The Nuggets defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 46.6% (3,554 of 7,629) and they surrender 42.5 rebounds per game as a unit. They rank 29th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 2,379 surrendered for the season.

In Game 1, the Thunder recorded 30 defensive boards and 13 offensive rebounds for a total of 43 in this game. They also coughed up the ball 9 times, while earning 12 steals for the contest. The Nuggets earned 21 fouls for this contest which got the Thunder to the free throw line for a total of 28 attempts. They were able to make 20 of the free throw tries for a clip of 71.4%. Pertaining to 3-point shots, Oklahoma City buried 15 of their 43 tries (34.9%). When all was said and done, the Thunder ended up shooting 42 for 100 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 42.0%. The Thunder permitted the Nuggets to knock down 42 out of their 95 attempts from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 44.2% in this matchup. They shot 31.3% from downtown via 10 of 32 and finished the contest at 27 out of 33 from the free throw line (81.8%). Regarding how they attacked the glass, Oklahoma City allowed Denver to collect 63 in total (21 offensive).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander ended up having an impact for the Thunder in the matchup. He knocked down 12 of 26 in this game giving him a field goal percentage of 46.2%, and added 10 rebounds. Gilgeous-Alexander tallied 33 points in his 40 mins on the court and had 8 assists in the game.

Oklahoma City has a record of 68-14 for the year. As an offense, the Thunder are hitting on 48.2% from the field, which is 7th in basketball. Oklahoma City has accounted for 9,881 pts for the season (120.5 per contest) and they pull down 44.8 rebounds per game. They are getting an assist 26.9 times per contest (12th in the NBA) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 11.7 times per game. The Thunder are committing 19.9 personal fouls per contest and they connect on 81.9% from the free throw line.

The Oklahoma City defense gives up 34.2% on shots from behind the 3-point line (1,104 of 3,225) and their opponents are making 77.4% of their free throw shots. They have conceded 24.6 assists and 44.9 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks them 4th and 20th in the NBA. The Thunder on the defensive end are ranked 3rd in the league in PPG given up with 107.6. They are able to force 17.0 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.6% from the field (1st in basketball).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Oklahoma City (-12.0)

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