Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Prediction, 4/30/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets

Date: Wednesday, April 30, 2025

Location: Toyota Center in Houston, TX

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Golden State (+5.0)

The Houston Rockets (52-30) are hosting the Golden State Warriors (48-34) at Toyota Center on Wednesday in Game 5 of the Western Conference First Round. The Warriors lead the series 3 - 1. Golden State opens this matchup as 5-point dogs. The over/under is set at 205.

The Warriors played the Rockets and notched a win by a score of 109-106 in Game 4. Golden State finished the game with a 41.9% FG percentage (36 out of 86) and buried 17 of 46 shots from downtown. From the charity stripe, the Warriors converted 20 of 22 shots for a percentage of 90.9%. With respect to pulling down boards, they compiled 34 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 27 assists for the game while forcing the other team into 13 turnovers and getting 7 steals. Concerning defense, Golden State allowed their opponent to shoot 49.4% from the floor on 38 of 77 shooting. Houston doled out 18 assists and had 6 steals for the contest. Furthermore, Houston snagged 41 boards (13 offensive, 28 defensive) and got 2 blocks. Houston finished the game at 61.3% from the free throw line by knocking down 19 of their 31 tries. They made 11 of 23 tries from distance. Concerning fouls, the Warriors ended up with 22 while the Rockets accumulated 21 fouls.

Jimmy Butler is someone who was a major contributor in the matchup. He scored 27 points on 7 out of 12 shooting. He played 40 mins and also totaled 5 rebounds. Butler ended up going 58.3% from the field and distributed 6 assists.

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Golden State enters this contest with a record of 48-34 on the year. They average 113.8 pts per game (17th in the NBA) while hitting 45.1% from the field. The Warriors are shooting 36.4% on three-point shots (1,264 of 3,475) and 76.4% from the free throw line. As a team, Golden State is collecting 45.4 rebounds per contest and has accumulated 2,386 dimes for the campaign, which ranks 4th in the NBA in terms of passing. They lose possession by turning the ball over 14.0 times per contest and as a basketball team they are committing 19.2 fouls on a nightly basis.

On defense, the Warriors are forcing their opponents into 15.7 turnovers per game while drawing 18.6 fouls. They are 10th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 2,120 conceded so far this season. The Warriors defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 46.5% (3,316 of 7,126) and they concede 44.1 rebounds per game as a squad. They give up 36.3% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 8th in the NBA in PPG from their opponents (110.5).

In Game 4, The Rockets earned 28 defensive boards and 13 offensive boards totaling 41 in this contest. They also gave up possession 13 times, while recording 6 steals for the game. The Warriors had 22 personal fouls in the game which got the Rockets to the charity stripe for a total of 31 shots. They were able to knock down 19 of the free throws for a percentage of 61.3%. Concerning 3-point shots, Houston buried 11 of their 23 tries (47.8%). When the final whistle was blown, the Rockets finished 38 out of 77 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 49.4%. The Rockets permitted the Warriors to knock down 36 out of their 86 attempts from the field which had them shooting 41.9% for the contest. They finished the game shooting 37.0% from 3-point land by connecting on 17 out of 46 and finished the game at 20 of 22 at the free throw line (90.9%). In the matter of cleaning the glass, Houston permitted Golden State to grab 34 in total (9 on the offensive side).

Alperen Sengun ended up being a factor for the Rockets in this game. He made 12 out of 28 for the contest for a rate of 42.9%, and tallied 10 rebounds. Sengun had 31 points in his 42 minutes on the hardwood and earned 5 assists in this game.

Houston has a win-loss mark of 52-30 on the season. The Rockets are responsible for committing 19.0 fouls per contest and they shoot 73.8% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 23.3 times per contest (28th in the league) and they are turning it over 13.9 times per game. Houston has 9,372 pts for the season (114.3 per game) and they collect 48.5 boards per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Rockets are shooting 45.5% from the floor, which is 21st in basketball.

The Houston defense allows 35.7% on 3-point shots (1,010 of 2,833) and their opposition makes 75.9% of their shots from the free throw line. They surrender 23.5 assists and 42.1 boards per contest, which ranks them 2nd and 4th in the NBA. The Rockets on defense are ranked 6th in the league in points allowed per contest with 109.8. They are able to force 14.3 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 45.9% from the floor (6th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Golden State (+5.0)

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