Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Prediction, 5/4/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets

Date: Sunday, May 4, 2025

Location: Toyota Center in Houston, TX

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Golden State (+2.0)

The Houston Rockets will play the Golden State Warriors at Toyota Center on Sunday in Game 7 of the Western Conference First Round. Golden State opens this matchup as 2-point underdogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 203.

The Warriors ended up losing by a score of 115-107 in Game 6. In reference to personal fouls, the Warriors walked away with 30 and the Rockets totaled 18 personal fouls. They made 12 out of their 30 tries from 3-point land. Houston shot 71.7% at the charity stripe by burying 33 of their 46 attempts. Additionally, Houston snagged 46 rebounds (11 offensive, 35 defensive) and added 6 blocks. Houston doled out 23 dimes and had 12 steals in the matchup. Regarding defense, Golden State allowed 44.9% from the field on 35 out of 78 shooting. They also dished out 26 dimes for the matchup in addition to forcing 13 turnovers and earning 6 steals. When discussing pulling down boards, they earned 42 with 13 of them being on the offensive end. At the free throw line, the Warriors made 18 of 22 shots for a percentage of 81.8%. Golden State wrapped up the contest having earned a 41.1% FG percentage (37 of 90) and knocked down 15 of their 49 shots from distance.

Stephen Curry is one player who was a major factor for the contest. Curry ended up shooting 39.1% from the field and also dished out 2 dimes. He was on the hardwood for 42 mins played and also grabbed 7 boards. He was able to score 29 points on 9 of 23 shooting.

Get all of our NBA Picks Tonight

Golden State enters this one with a mark of 48-34 for the campaign. They are turning it over 14.0 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 19.2 fouls per game. As a unit, Golden State is snagging 45.4 rebounds per game and has accounted for 2,386 assists on the campaign, which is 4th in the NBA in terms of passing. The Warriors are hitting 36.4% on shots from downtown (1,264 of 3,475) and 76.4% from the charity stripe. They average 113.8 points per game (17th in the league) while hitting 45.1% from the field.

On defense, the Warriors are able to force 15.7 turnovers every game and they draw 18.6 fouls. They are giving up 36.3% on 3-pointers while they are 8th in basketball in PPG allowed (110.5). The Warriors are allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 46.5% (3,316 of 7,126) and they relinquish 44.1 boards per game as a team. They rank 10th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 2,120 conceded for the season.

In Game 6, when discussing how they rebounded, Houston allowed Golden State to snag 42 in all (13 on the offensive glass). They went 30.6% from beyond the arc by connecting on 15 out of 49 and ended up going 18 out of 22 at the charity stripe (81.8%). The Rockets allowed the Warriors to convert 37 of 90 tries from the field which had them at 41.1% for the matchup. When this game wrapped up, the Rockets shot 35 for 78 from the floor which gave them a rate of 44.9%. When it comes to shooting from distance, Houston made 12 out of their 30 tries (40.0%). They were able to convert 33 of the free throw tries for a rate of 71.7%. The Warriors committed 30 fouls for the game which got the Rockets to the free throw line for 46 tries. They coughed up the ball 13 times, while getting 12 steals in this game. The Rockets were able to snag 35 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive rebounds totaling 46 for this contest.

Fred VanVleet ended up being a factor for the Rockets in the game. He converted 7 of 13 in the game giving him a rate of 53.8%, and had 8 rebounds. VanVleet totaled 29 points in his 40 minutes on the hardwood and had 8 dimes for this game.

Houston has a record of 52-30 for the season. As an offensive unit, the Rockets are hitting on 45.5% from the field, which has them ranked 21st in the NBA. Houston has totaled 9,372 pts for the season (114.3 per game) and they collect 48.5 rebounds per contest. They are earning an assist 23.3 times per game (28th in the league) and they turn it over 13.9 times per game. The Rockets are committing 19.0 personal fouls every game and they connect on 73.8% from the charity stripe.

The Houston defense allows 35.7% on shots from 3-point land (1,010 of 2,833) and their opponents are making 75.9% of their foul shots. They have surrendered 23.5 assists and 42.1 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 2nd and 4th in the league. The Rockets on defense are ranked 6th in the league in points per game surrendered with 109.8. They have forced 14.3 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 45.9% from the field (6th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-2.0)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here