Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction, 10/21/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Lakers

Date: Tuesday, October 21, 2025

Location: crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, CA

TV: NBC

Odds/Point Spread: Golden State (-2.5)

The Golden State Warriors (48-34 last year) are en route to crypto.com Arena on Tuesday where they will take on the Los Angeles Lakers (50-32 last season). Golden State opens this game as 2.5-point favorites. The total comes in at 225.5.

The Warriors played the Timberwolves and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 121-110 in their last contest. Golden State ended the game with a 43.3% FG percentage (39 out of 90) and made 11 of 39 shots from downtown. From the free throw line, the Warriors knocked down 21 of their 30 attempts for a percentage of 70.0%. Pertaining to grabbing rebounds, they collected 40 with 18 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 21 dimes for the matchup while creating 21 turnovers and having 14 steals. In relation to the defense, Golden State allowed the other team to go 62.8% from the field on 49 out of 78 shooting. Minnesota earned 36 dimes and had 11 steals in this contest. Additionally, Minnesota pulled down 39 boards (6 offensive, 33 defensive) and had 1 block. Minnesota walked away from this one shooting 66.7% when shooting free throws by knocking down 10 of 15 tries. They also converted 13 out of their 31 tries from 3-point land. With respect to fouls, the Warriors ended up finishing with 21 while the Timberwolves accounted for 19 fouls.

Brandin Podziemski is someone who played a role for the game. He scored 28 points on 11 out of 19 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 39 minutes and pulled down 6 rebounds. Podziemski ended up shooting 57.9% from the field and totaled 4 assists.

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Golden State steps onto the hardwood after finishing with a win-loss record of 48-34 last year. They lost possession by turning the ball over 14.0 times per game and as a group committed 19.2 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Golden State grabbed 45.4 boards per game and had 2,386 dimes over the course of last year, which ranked 4th in the NBA in terms of passing the rock. The Warriors connected on 36.4% on shots from distance (1,264 of 3,475) and 76.4% from the free throw line. They averaged 113.8 points per game (17th in basketball) while hitting 45.1% from the field.

On defense, the Warriors forced 15.7 turnovers per contest and they drew 18.6 personal fouls. They were ranked 10th in the NBA in allowing assists to the opposition with 2,120 relinquished last year. The Warriors defense gave up an opponent FG percentage of 46.5% (3,316 of 7,126) and they surrendered 44.1 boards per game as a team. They gave up 36.3% on 3-point attempts and they were ranked 8th in the NBA in PPG allowed (110.5).

For their last game, the Lakers took a loss by a final score of 103-96 against the Timberwolves. When talking about rebounding, Los Angeles permitted Minnesota to collect 54 in total (18 on the offensive side). They shot 14.9% from 3-point land by connecting on 7 out of 47 and finished the game at 24 of 33 from the free throw line (72.7%). The Lakers permitted the Timberwolves to convert 36 of their 89 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 40.4% in this game. When the final whistle blew, the Lakers finished the game shooting 33 out of 78 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 42.3%. In terms of 3-pointers, Los Angeles buried 11 of their 37 tries (29.7%). They were able to convert 19 of those for a rate of 76.0%. The Timberwolves earned 23 fouls in this game which took the Lakers to the free throw line for a total of 25 attempts. They gave up possession 15 times, while recording 5 steals in the game. The Lakers were able to pull down 29 defensive boards and 8 offensive rebounds for a total of 37 for this contest.

Luka Doncic was important for the Lakers in this matchup. He made 7 of 18 in the matchup for a field goal rate of 38.9%, and had 7 rebounds. Doncic had 28 points in his 40 mins of playing time and had 9 dimes for this contest.

Los Angeles had a win-loss mark of 50-32 last year. On the offensive side of the court, the Lakers connected on 47.9% from the field, which was ranked 9th in basketball. Los Angeles earned 9,298 points last year (113.4 per game) and they collected 42.4 boards per game. They got an assist 26.0 times per game (18th in the league) and they turned it over 14.0 times per game. The Lakers were responsible for committing 17.3 fouls per game and they shot 78.5% from the free throw line.

The Los Angeles defense conceded 35.6% on 3-point shots (1,112 of 3,124) and their opponents converted on 77.5% of their foul shots. They conceded 27.3 dimes and 43.0 boards per game, which was ranked 22nd and 9th in the league. The Lakers on the defensive side of the court were 10th in basketball in points given up per game with 112.2. They forced 13.7 turnovers per game and let teams shoot 46.3% from the field (10th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Los Angeles (+2.5)

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