Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat Prediction, 11/19/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Golden State Warriors vs Miami Heat

Date: Wednesday, November 19, 2025

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: ESPN

The Golden State Warriors (9-6) are on their way to Kaseya Center on Wednesday where they will go up against the Miami Heat (8-6).

The Warriors stepped onto the hardwood against the Pelicans and notched a win by a score of 124-106 in their last contest. Regarding fouls, the Warriors ended up finishing with 23 and the Pelicans totaled 16 fouls. They also converted 8 out of their 29 attempts from three-point range. New Orleans finished 75.9% from the free throw line by making 22 of their 29 attempts. Moreover, New Orleans collected 45 rebounds (15 offensive, 30 defensive) and had 4 blocks. New Orleans earned 22 dimes and had 11 steals for the contest. When talking about defending, Golden State allowed the other team to go 45.8% from the field on 38 out of 83 shooting. They also recorded 34 assists for the matchup in addition to forcing 21 turnovers and getting 14 steals. Pertaining to pulling down boards, they compiled a total of 47 with 16 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Warriors made 14 of 17 shots for a rate of 82.4%. Golden State finished the contest having earned a 45.7% FG percentage (43 out of 94) and converted 24 of their 56 3-point shots.

Moses Moody is one player who was a factor for the matchup. He ended up scoring 32 points on 10 of 16 shooting. He was on the court for 33 mins played and also collected 4 boards. Moody went 62.5% from the field but didn't record a dime.

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Golden State will enter this contest with a record of 9-6 this year. They lose possession via turnover 16.7 times per contest and as a squad they are committing 21.0 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Golden State is collecting 42.0 rebounds per contest and has totaled 410 assists this season, which ranks 5th in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. The Warriors are connecting on 37.5% on 3-point shots (247 of 658) and 83.2% from the free throw line. They average 115.7 points per game (20th in the NBA) while going 45.4% from the field.

On defense, the Warriors have forced 17.0 turnovers every game while drawing 19.5 fouls. They are giving up 35.9% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 10th in basketball in PPG from their opponents (114.0). The Warriors defense is giving up a FG percentage of 47.4% (623 of 1,315) and they relinquish 43.7 rebounds per contest as a unit. They currently rank 26th in basketball in giving up assists with 392 conceded on the year.

For their last game, the Heat got the victory with a final of 115-113 against the Knicks. The Heat recorded 33 defensive boards and 7 offensive rebounds for a total of 40 for this game. They gave up possession of the ball 14 times, while recording 5 steals for the matchup. The Knicks committed 18 fouls for this contest which got the Heat to the charity stripe for a total of 13 shots. They were able to make 11 of the free throw tries for a clip of 84.6%. Regarding shots from beyond the arc, Miami converted 14 out of their 35 tries (40.0%). When the final whistle blew, the Heat went 45 out of 101 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 44.6%. The Heat permitted the Knicks to make 43 of 94 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 45.7% for this game. They finished shooting 25.0% from three-point range by connecting on 9 out of 36 and ended up going 18 out of 24 at the free throw line (75.0%). In the matter of rebounding, Miami allowed New York to snag 48 in all (11 on the offensive side).

Norman Powell ended up being a factor for the Heat in the matchup. Powell totaled 19 points in his 32 minutes on the court and had 3 assists in the game. He made 9 of 20 for the contest giving him a field goal percentage of 45.0%, and had 1 rebound.

Miami has a mark of 8-6 for the year. The Heat are committing 21.7 personal fouls every game and they shoot 80.2% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 30.3 times per contest (2nd in the league) and they lose possession via turnover 14.9 times per game. Miami has tallied 1,744 points this year (124.6 per contest) and they grab 44.2 rebounds per game. As an offensive team, the Heat are hitting on 48.8% from the floor, which is 8th in the league.

The Heat defensively are ranked 22nd in the league in points allowed per contest with 121.5. They have forced 15.4 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 43.9% from the floor (4th in the league). The Miami defense allows 32.2% from downtown (204 of 633) and their opponents are making 81.2% of their free throw shots. They surrender 27.3 dimes and 49.7 boards per game, which is ranked 21st and 29th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Golden State

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