Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, 5/14/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Date: Wednesday, May 14, 2025

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Golden State (+12.0)

With a 3 - 1 series lead, the Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33) will try to defeat the Golden State Warriors (48-34) at Target Center on Wednesday in Game 5 of the Western Conference Semifinals. Golden State opens this contest as 12-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 204.

The Warriors faced the Timberwolves and went home with a loss by a final score of 117-110 in Game 4. Golden State ended having earned a 43.5% FG percentage (37 out of 85) and knocked down 8 of their 27 three-point shots. From the charity stripe, the Warriors knocked down 28 of 33 shots for a percentage of 84.8%. In the matter of grabbing rebounds, they collected 38 with 14 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 18 assists for the game while forcing 21 turnovers and getting 10 steals. In terms of defending, Golden State allowed their opponent to shoot 49.4% from the floor on 39 out of 79 shooting. Minnesota dished out 22 assists and had 9 steals in the game. Additionally, Minnesota had 38 boards (6 offensive, 32 defensive) and added 1 block. Minnesota finished 88.5% when shooting free throws by knocking down 23 of their 26 shots. They converted 16 out of their 34 shots from three-point range. When it comes to fouls, the Warriors finished with 25 and the Timberwolves totaled 23 fouls.

Jonathan Kuminga is a guy who was a factor for the matchup. Kuminga ended up going 46.2% from the floor and also distributed 1 assist. He was on the hardwood for 30 mins played but did not grab any rebounds. He scored 23 points on 6 out of 13 shooting.

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Golden State enters this matchup with a mark of 48-34 for the year. They average 113.8 points per contest (17th in basketball) while shooting 45.1% from the floor. The Warriors are shooting 36.4% on three-point attempts (1,264 of 3,475) and 76.4% from the free throw line. As a unit, Golden State is snagging 45.4 rebounds per game and has tallied 2,386 assists for the campaign, which is 4th in basketball in terms of passing. They turn it over 14.0 times per contest and as a team are committing 19.2 personal fouls per contest.

When they are on defense, the Warriors are able to force 15.7 turnovers every game and they draw 18.6 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 10th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 2,120 relinquished so far this season. The Warriors defense is allowing a shooting percentage of 46.5% (3,316 of 7,126) and they surrender 44.1 rebounds per contest as a basketball team. They give up 36.3% on shots from distance while they are 8th in the league in opponents PPG (110.5).

In Game 4, the Timberwolves were able to corral 32 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive boards totaling 38 in the game. They turned the ball over 21 times, while recording 9 steals for this contest. The Warriors earned 25 personal fouls for the contest which got the Timberwolves to the free throw line for a total of 26 attempts. They were able to knock down 23 of the free throws for a rate of 88.5%. In regard to shots from distance, Minnesota converted 16 out of their 34 attempts (47.1%). When this game wrapped up, the Timberwolves finished the game shooting 39 for 79 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 49.4%. The Timberwolves permitted the Warriors to knock down 37 out of their 85 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 43.5% in this matchup. They shot 29.6% from three-point range by going 8 of 27 and finished the game at 28 out of 33 at the free throw line (84.8%). When it comes to how they cleaned up the glass, Minnesota permitted Golden State to grab 38 in total (14 offensive).

Julius Randle was important for the Timberwolves in the game. He made 11 of 21 in the matchup for a field goal percentage of 52.4%, and accounted for 5 rebounds. Randle racked up 31 points in his 41 minutes of playing time and totaled 3 assists for this game.

Minnesota has a win-loss record of 49-33 so far this season. The Timberwolves are responsible for committing 18.3 fouls per game while shooting 78.9% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 26.1 times per contest (17th in the league) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.5 times per game. Minnesota has scored 9,372 pts on the season (114.3 per game) and they collect 44.3 boards per contest. As an offense, the Timberwolves are shooting 46.8% from the floor, which has them ranked 16th in basketball.

The Minnesota defense allows 35.3% on shots from behind the 3-point line (1,040 of 2,949) and opponents are converting on 76.7% of their foul shots. They surrender 24.8 dimes and 42.9 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks them 5th and 8th in basketball. The Timberwolves defensively are ranked 5th in the league in points per game surrendered with 109.3. They have forced 14.7 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 46.0% from the floor (7th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-12.0)

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