Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, 5/6/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Date: Tuesday, May 6, 2025

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Golden State (+7.0)

The Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33) will try to defeat the Golden State Warriors (48-34) at Target Center on Tuesday in Game 1 of the Western Conference Semifinals. Golden State opens this game as 7-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total is set at 209.

The Warriors stepped onto the hardwood against the Rockets and walked away with a win by a score of 103-89 to punch their ticket to the next round. In the matter of fouls, the Warriors ended up with 14 and the Rockets totaled 14 fouls. They converted 6 of 18 attempts from downtown. Houston finished the contest at 71.4% at the free throw line by making 15 of 21 tries. Moreover, Houston pulled down 52 boards (14 offensive, 38 defensive) and had 8 blocked shots. Houston totaled 14 dimes and had 5 steals in this game. In terms of defending, Golden State allowed their opponent to shoot 40.5% from the floor on 34 out of 84 shooting. They also doled out 24 dimes in this matchup while forcing 11 turnovers and earning 6 steals. In regard to grabbing rebounds, they collected a total of 38 with 3 of them being of the offensive variety. At the free throw line, the Warriors buried 7 of their 9 shots for a percentage of 77.8%. Golden State finished with a 47.6% field goal percentage (39 of 82) and made 18 out of their 43 3-point shots.

Buddy Hield is a guy who played a role in this matchup. Hield ended up shooting 80.0% from the field and also recorded 3 dimes. He played 37 mins played and also snagged 3 boards. He ended up finishing with 33 points on 12 out of 15 shooting.

Get all of our NBA Picks Tonight

Golden State heads into this one with a mark of 48-34 on the year. They turn it over 14.0 times per game and as a basketball team they are committing 19.2 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Golden State is collecting 45.4 boards per game and has earned 2,386 assists this season, which ranks 4th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. The Warriors are connecting on 36.4% on shots from distance (1,264 of 3,475) and 76.4% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 113.8 points per outing (17th in basketball) while shooting 45.1% from the floor.

On defense, the Warriors are forcing their opponents into 15.7 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.6 personal fouls. They rank 10th in the league in allowing assists to their opponents with 2,120 conceded on the season. The Warriors defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 46.5% (3,316 of 7,126) and they relinquish 44.1 rebounds per game as a unit. They are conceding 36.3% on 3-point attempts and they are 8th in basketball in opponents PPG (110.5).

When they last stepped on the court, the Timberwolves went home victorious with a score of 103-96 against the Lakers to win the series 4 - 1. When talking about rebounding, Minnesota permitted Los Angeles to collect 37 in all (8 offensive). They shot 29.7% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 11 of 37 and walked away from this one shooting 19 out of 25 at the free throw line (76.0%). The Timberwolves allowed the Lakers to convert 33 of 78 attempts from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 42.3% for the contest. When all was said and done, the Timberwolves finished shooting 36 out of 89 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 40.4%. When it comes to shooting from downtown, Minnesota buried 7 of their 47 tries (14.9%). They were able to make 24 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 72.7%. The Lakers committed 25 personal fouls in this contest which took the Timberwolves to the free throw line for 33 tries. They also coughed up the ball 13 times, while earning 8 steals for this contest. The Timberwolves earned 36 defensive rebounds and 18 offensive rebounds totaling 54 for the game.

Rudy Gobert was important for the Timberwolves for the game. Gobert had 27 points in his 39 mins of playing time, but went home with no dimes. He buried 12 of 15 in this game for a field goal percentage of 80.0%, and added 24 rebounds.

Minnesota has a record of 49-33 on the campaign. In terms of offensive execution, the Timberwolves are hitting on 46.8% from the floor, which is 16th in the league. Minnesota has totaled 9,372 points so far this year (114.3 per game) and they grab 44.3 rebounds per game. They are assisting teammates 26.1 times per game (17th in the league) and they lose possession via turnover 14.5 times per contest. The Timberwolves are responsible for committing 18.3 fouls every game and they go 78.9% from the charity stripe.

The Minnesota defense surrenders 35.3% on 3-point attempts (1,040 of 2,949) and opponents are converting on 76.7% of their free throw attempts. They concede 24.8 assists and 42.9 boards on a nightly basis, which is 5th and 8th in the league. The Timberwolves are ranked 5th in the league in points given up per game with 109.3. They are forcing 14.7 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 46.0% from the field (7th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-7.0)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here