Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors Prediction, 12/28/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors

Date: Sunday, December 28, 2025

Location: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, ON

TV: TSN

The Golden State Warriors (16-15) are hitting the road to Scotiabank Arena on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the Toronto Raptors (18-13).

The Warriors played the Mavericks and notched a win by a score of 126-116 in their last contest. In regard to fouls, the Warriors ended up walking away with 27 and the Mavericks had 18 fouls. They also converted 4 out of their 14 shots from long range. Dallas finished shooting 66.7% from the charity stripe by knocking down 14 of 21 tries. Moreover, Dallas totaled 41 rebounds (3 offensive, 38 defensive) and earned 12 rejections. Dallas dished out 31 assists and had 6 steals in this contest. In the matter of defending, Golden State allowed 55.1% from the field on 49 out of 89 shooting. They also doled out 31 assists for the game as well as forcing the other team into 17 turnovers and earning 10 steals. With respect to rebounding, they compiled a total of 49 with 13 of them being offensive. From the free throw line, the Warriors buried 24 of their 26 attempts for a percentage of 92.3%. Golden State ended the contest having earned a 44.4% FG percentage (44 out of 99) and made 14 out of their 50 three-point shots.

Stephen Curry is one player who was a factor in this game. Curry shot 33.3% from the field and distributed 4 assists. He saw the court for 33 mins played and also snagged 3 boards. He scored 23 points on 6 of 18 shooting.

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Golden State enters this one with a mark of 16-15 on the season. They currently have an average of 114.5 pts per contest (22nd in the league) while going 45.2% from the field. The Warriors are hitting 36.0% on shots from 3-point land (491 of 1,365) and 81.7% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Golden State is pulling in 44.0 boards per contest and has racked up 868 assists this year, which is 7th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. They are giving up possession 16.0 times per contest and as a team are committing 20.9 fouls every game.

On the defensive end of the court, the Warriors are able to force 15.8 turnovers per contest while drawing 19.0 fouls. They are surrendering 33.9% on three-point shots and they rank 6th in the league in points per game allowed (112.4). The Warriors defensively are allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 46.2% (1,275 of 2,758) and they relinquish 45.1 rebounds per contest as a unit. They currently rank 14th in the league in giving up assists to the opposition with 780 surrendered this season.

The last time they took the court, the Raptors went home victorious with a score of 112-91 against the Heat. The Raptors corralled 35 defensive rebounds and 15 offensive rebounds totaling 50 in the game. They coughed up the ball 16 times, while getting 4 steals in this game. The Heat committed 24 fouls in this matchup which got the Raptors to the charity stripe for a total of 18 shots. They were able to bury 16 of them for a clip of 88.9%. When it comes to shooting from distance, Toronto knocked down 14 of their 38 tries (36.8%). When all was said and done, the Raptors shot 41 out of 86 from the field which gave them a rate of 47.7%. The Raptors allowed the Heat to bury 33 of their 82 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 40.2% for this game. They went 26.7% from behind the 3-point line by going 8 of 30 and finished the game at 17 of 20 from the free throw line (85.0%). In relation to cleaning the glass, Toronto permitted Miami to get 40 in all (10 offensive).

Scottie Barnes was important for the Raptors in this game. Barnes racked up 27 points in his 36 mins on the hardwood and had 4 assists in this contest. He made 10 of 14 in this matchup for a rate of 71.4%, and totaled 8 rebounds.

Toronto has a mark of 18-13 this season. When it comes to offense, the Raptors are hitting on 47.9% from the field, which is 9th in basketball. Toronto has accounted for 3,516 points on the year (113.4 per game) and they snag 42.5 boards per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 29.4 times per game (5th in the NBA) and they are turning it over 14.9 times per game. The Raptors are responsible for committing 21.5 fouls per contest and they shoot 76.6% from the charity stripe.

The Toronto defense allows 33.7% on 3-pointers (388 of 1,151) and their opponents are knocking down 79.3% of their foul shots. They give up 24.7 assists and 43.6 rebounds per contest, ranking them 5th and 13th in the league. The Raptors are ranked 3rd in the league in PPG surrendered with 111.6. They have forced 16.2 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 46.2% from the field (9th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Golden State

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