Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 12/6/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: KFAA

The Houston Rockets (14-5) are traveling to American Airlines Center on Saturday where they will compete against the Dallas Mavericks (8-15).

The Rockets played the Kings and notched a win by a score of 121-95 in their last contest. When talking about fouls, the Rockets walked away with 10 and the Kings recorded 17 fouls. They also made 10 of 34 tries from long range. Sacramento finished the game at 50.0% from the free throw line by making 5 of their 10 shots. Additionally, Sacramento grabbed 32 boards (12 offensive, 20 defensive) and earned 8 rejections. Sacramento dished out 21 dimes and had 10 steals in this game. When it comes to defense, Houston let their opponent shoot 41.2% from the floor on 40 of 97 shooting. They also dished out 24 assists for the game while forcing the opposition into 13 turnovers and having 10 steals. Regarding grabbing rebounds, they collected 62 with 17 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Rockets buried 20 of 24 tries for a rate of 83.3%. Houston finished the contest with a 52.7% field goal percentage (48 out of 91) and converted 5 of 16 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Alperen Sengun is one player who was a contributor in this contest. He left the arena with 28 points on 11 out of 20 shooting. He played 30 minutes and collected 10 rebounds. Sengun went 55.0% from the field and also distributed 3 assists.

Get all of our NBA Betting Picks

Houston steps onto the court with a win-loss mark of 14-5 for the season. They are giving up possession 15.4 times per contest and as a team are committing 20.3 personal fouls per game. As a unit, Houston is collecting 49.8 boards per contest and has racked up 485 assists on the season, which is 30th in the league in terms of passing. The Rockets are connecting on 39.7% from downtown (228 of 575) and 78.7% from the charity stripe. They average 121.7 pts per game (4th in the league) while going 48.2% from the field.

Defensively, the Rockets are able to force 14.5 turnovers every game and they draw 22.8 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 1st in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 474 relinquished for the season. The Rockets defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 45.3% (760 of 1,678) and they relinquish 38.5 rebounds per game as a unit. They relinquish 34.9% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 2nd in the league in points per game allowed (110.3).

For their last game, the Mavericks took home the win by a final score of 118-108 against the Heat. The Mavericks earned 40 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards totaling 50 in the game. They coughed up the ball 15 times, while earning 6 steals for this contest. The Heat were called for 13 personal fouls in the game which took the Mavericks to the charity stripe for 12 attempts. They were able to make 10 of those for a rate of 83.3%. In the matter of shooting from distance, Dallas buried 16 of their 32 attempts (50.0%). When all was said and done, the Mavericks finished the game shooting 46 for 91 from the field which had them shooting 50.5%. The Mavericks permitted the Heat to bury 40 of 101 attempts from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 39.6% for this game. They went 29.7% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 11 of 37 and ended up going 17 out of 18 at the free throw line (94.4%). When talking about attacking the glass, Dallas permitted Miami to snag 41 in total (14 on the offensive glass).

Cooper Flagg was important for the Mavericks for the game. He knocked down 9 out of 13 for this game giving him a rate of 69.2%, and tallied 6 rebounds. Flagg had 22 points in his 31 mins on the court and totaled 2 dimes for the matchup.

Dallas has a win-loss record of 8-15 for the year. The Mavericks are committing 21.0 personal fouls every game while shooting 75.6% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 24.7 times per contest (26th in the league) and they are turning it over 15.8 times per game. Dallas has scored 2,563 points for the season (111.4 per contest) and they average 44.9 rebounds per game. As an offensive team, the Mavericks are hitting on 45.2% from the field, which is ranked 24th in the league.

The Dallas defense surrenders 32.6% on shots from beyond the arc (255 of 783) and their opposition knocks down 76.3% of their foul shots. They have relinquished 25.5 assists and 48.3 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 10th and 28th in the league. The Mavericks are ranked 12th in the NBA in PPG given up with 115.7. They are forcing 14.2 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 45.6% from the field (6th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Houston

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get NBA picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.