Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, 5/2/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors

Date: Friday, May 2, 2025

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: NBC Sports Bay Area

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (+5.0)

The Golden State Warriors (48-34) will take on the Houston Rockets (52-30) at Chase Center on Friday in Game 6 of the Western Conference First Round. Golden State leads the series 3 - 2. Houston opens as 5-point dogs from oddsmakers. The over/under is set at 204.

The Rockets took home the win by a score of 131-116 in Game 5. When discussing personal fouls, the Rockets ended up with 22 while the Warriors recorded 27 personal fouls. They also buried 15 out of their 44 shots from downtown. Golden State went 68.2% at the charity stripe by knocking down 15 of 22 tries. Furthermore, Golden State grabbed 49 boards (25 offensive, 24 defensive) and got 7 rejections. Golden State doled out 25 dimes and had 10 steals in the game. In regard to the defense, Houston let their opponent shoot 41.7% from the field on 43 of 103 shooting. They also recorded 23 assists for the game in addition to forcing the opposition into 14 turnovers and earning 9 steals. When discussing pulling down boards, they earned 39 with 8 of them being of the offensive variety. At the free throw line, the Rockets converted 32 of their 38 shots for a percentage of 84.2%. Houston ended with a 55.1% field goal percentage (43 out of 78) and converted 13 out of their 30 shots from distance.

Fred VanVleet is a guy who was a contributor in the matchup. He finished with 26 points on 8 of 13 shooting. He played for 33 minutes and totaled 1 rebound. VanVleet finished the game shooting 61.5% from the field and also dished out 2 assists.

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Houston heads into this game with a win-loss record of 52-30 so far this season. They turn the ball over 13.9 times per game and as a squad they commit 19.0 personal fouls per contest. As a unit, Houston is snagging 48.5 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 1,914 assists so far this season, which ranks 28th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. The Rockets are shooting 35.3% on three-point shots (1,038 of 2,938) and 73.8% from the free throw line. They average 114.3 points per game (14th in the NBA) while going 45.5% from the floor.

When they are on the defensive end, the Rockets have forced 14.3 turnovers per game while drawing 19.2 personal fouls. They surrender 35.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter while they are 6th in the NBA in points per game allowed (109.8). The Rockets defensively are allowing a FG percentage of 45.9% (3,322 of 7,244) and they surrender 42.1 boards per game as a team. They are 2nd in basketball in allowing assists to their opponents with 1,926 surrendered so far this year.

In Game 5, the Warriors earned 24 defensive boards and 25 offensive rebounds for a total of 49 for the matchup. They coughed up the ball 14 times, while recording 10 steals for this contest. The Rockets committed 22 fouls for the contest which got the Warriors to the free throw line for 22 attempts. They were able to knock down 15 of the free throws for a percentage of 68.2%. When talking about 3-point attempts, Golden State made 15 of their 44 attempts (34.1%). When the final whistle blew, the Warriors shot 43 for 103 from the field which had them sitting at 41.7%. The Warriors permitted the Rockets to make 43 of their 78 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 55.1% in this game. They wrapped up this game 43.3% from three-point range by connecting on 13 out of 30 and finished the contest at 32 out of 38 from the charity stripe (84.2%). In relation to cleaning up the glass, Golden State permitted Houston to collect 39 in all (8 on the offensive glass).

Moses Moody ended up being a major contributor for the Warriors for the game. He buried 9 out of 18 for this contest giving him a rate of 50.0%, and added 9 rebounds. Moody earned 25 points in his 26 mins of playing time and had 2 assists in this game.

Golden State has a record of 48-34 so far this year. When it comes to executing on offense, the Warriors are hitting on 45.1% from the floor, which is 25th in basketball. Golden State has totaled 9,331 pts on the campaign (113.8 per contest) and they average 45.4 rebounds per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 29.1 times per game (4th in basketball) and they cough up possession 14.0 times per game. The Warriors are committing 19.2 personal fouls every game and they go 76.4% from the charity stripe.

The Golden State defense gives up 36.3% on shots from 3-point land (1,080 of 2,976) and their opponents are knocking down 76.9% of their free throw shots. They give up 25.9 assists and 44.1 rebounds per game, which is 10th and 15th in basketball. The Warriors on the defensive end are ranked 8th in the league in points per game surrendered with 110.5. They have forced 15.7 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.5% from the floor (11th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston (+5.0)

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