Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets Prediction, 12/29/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets

Date: Monday, December 29, 2025

Location: Toyota Center in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

The Houston Rockets (18-10) will try to defeat the Indiana Pacers (6-24) at Toyota Center on Monday.

The Pacers faced the Bucks and took a loss by a final of 111-94 in their last game. In regard to fouls, the Pacers ended up with 21 and the Bucks totaled 22 fouls. They converted 10 of 30 tries from distance. Milwaukee finished shooting 70.8% at the free throw line by burying 17 of their 24 shots. Moreover, Milwaukee collected 48 rebounds (7 offensive, 41 defensive) and had 5 rejections. Milwaukee doled out 23 dimes and had 9 steals in the matchup. Pertaining to defense, Indiana let their opponent shoot 51.2% from the floor on 42 of 82 shooting. They also recorded 26 assists for the contest in addition to forcing the other team into 17 turnovers and having 10 steals. Concerning pulling down rebounds, they earned 40 with 7 of them being of the offensive variety. At the free throw line, the Pacers made 20 of 33 tries for a percentage of 60.6%. Indiana ended the game with a 40.7% field goal percentage (33 out of 81) and converted 8 out of their 31 three-point shots.

T.J. McConnell is someone who played a role in the game. He ended up finishing with 16 points on 7 out of 9 shooting. He saw the court for 21 mins and grabbed 2 rebounds. McConnell ended up shooting 77.8% from the field and also earned 6 assists.

Get all of our NBA Betting Picks

Indiana enters this matchup with a win-loss mark of 6-24 on the year. They turn it over 13.8 times per game and as a unit they commit 22.7 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Indiana is grabbing 43.7 rebounds per game and has accounted for 698 assists so far this season, which is 27th in the NBA in terms of passing. The Pacers are shooting 32.1% on shots beyond the perimeter (353 of 1,098) and 77.3% from the free throw line. They are averaging 109.2 pts per contest (30th in the league) while going 42.9% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Pacers are able to force 14.2 turnovers per contest and they draw 22.0 fouls. They are 4th in basketball in giving up assists to the opposition with 737 surrendered on the year. The Pacers are allowing a shooting percentage of 47.6% (1,262 of 2,649) and they relinquish 47.8 boards per game as a unit. They are giving up 33.5% on shots from downtown and they are ranked 21st in the NBA in opponents points per game (117.7).

In their last game, the Rockets got the victory with a final of 119-96 against the Lakers. The Rockets recorded 31 defensive boards and 17 offensive rebounds for a total of 48 for the game. They turned it over 16 times, while earning 7 steals in the matchup. The Lakers committed 13 fouls for the matchup which got the Rockets to the charity stripe for a total of 19 tries. They were able to bury 15 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 78.9%. In regard to shots from beyond the perimeter, Houston knocked down 8 out of their 24 attempts (33.3%). When the final whistle was blown, the Rockets went 48 for 90 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 53.3%. The Rockets allowed the Lakers to make 39 of 77 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 50.6% for the matchup. They finished 36.7% from 3-point land by shooting 11 of 30 and ended up shooting 7 of 11 at the free throw line (63.6%). In regard to team rebounding, Houston allowed Los Angeles to snag 25 in total (7 on the offensive side).

Amen Thompson pitched in for the Rockets in this matchup. He knocked down 12 out of 19 for this contest for a rate of 63.2%, and tallied 7 rebounds. Thompson racked up 26 points in his 32 minutes of playing time and tallied 5 assists for this game.

Houston has a mark of 18-10 this year. On the offensive side of the court, the Rockets are connecting on 48.9% from the floor, which ranks them 4th in the league. Houston has 3,373 points this year (120.5 per contest) and they snag 48.7 rebounds per game. They are earning an assist 25.8 times per contest (18th in the NBA) and they turn it over 16.2 times per contest. The Rockets are responsible for committing 20.2 fouls per contest and they go 78.2% from the charity stripe.

The Houston defense gives up 35.4% on 3-point attempts (356 of 1,006) and their opponents are knocking down 75.9% of their free throw attempts. They concede 24.3 dimes and 37.8 rebounds per contest, which is 3rd and 1st in the NBA. The Rockets on the defensive end are ranked 4th in the NBA in PPG surrendered with 112.1. They are forcing 13.9 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 46.4% from the field (12th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Indiana

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get NBA picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.