Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat Prediction, 12/27/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat

Date: Saturday, December 27, 2025

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Indiana Pacers (6-24) are en route to Kaseya Center on Saturday where they will play the Miami Heat (15-15).

The Pacers took the court against the Bucks and ended up losing by a score of 111-94 in their last contest. Indiana walked away from the game having earned a 40.7% FG percentage (33 out of 81) and buried 8 of their 31 shots from beyond the arc. At the charity stripe, the Pacers knocked down 20 of 33 attempts for a percentage of 60.6%. In the matter of rebounding, they earned 40 with 7 of them being of the offensive sort. They also distributed 26 assists for this contest in addition to forcing 17 turnovers and earning 10 steals. In terms of defending, Indiana let their opponent shoot 51.2% from the field on 42 out of 82 shooting. Milwaukee doled out 23 assists and had 9 steals for the game. On top of that, Milwaukee pulled down 48 rebounds (7 offensive, 41 defensive) and earned 5 blocked shots. Milwaukee finished the contest at 70.8% at the charity stripe by making 17 of 24 shots. They also made 10 of their 30 tries from long range. When it comes to personal fouls, the Pacers ended up finishing with 21 while the Bucks finished the game with 22 personal fouls.

T.J. McConnell is someone who played a role in this game. McConnell walked away from this one shooting 77.8% from the field and also recorded 6 dimes. He saw the court for 21 minutes and also pulled down 2 boards. He ended up with 16 points on 7 of 9 shooting.

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Indiana enters this game with a win-loss record of 6-24 on the campaign. They average 109.2 points per outing (30th in the league) while hitting 42.9% from the floor. The Pacers are hitting 32.1% on shots from distance (353 of 1,098) and 77.3% from the charity stripe. As a team, Indiana is pulling down 43.7 boards per contest and has racked up 698 dimes on the year, which is 27th in the NBA in terms of passing. They turn the ball over 13.8 times per game and as a team they are committing 22.7 personal fouls every game.

On defense, the Pacers have forced 14.2 turnovers every game and they draw 22.0 personal fouls. They concede 33.5% from 3-point land while they are 21st in the league in points per game allowed (117.7). The Pacers defense is allowing a FG percentage of 47.6% (1,262 of 2,649) and they relinquish 47.8 boards per game as a basketball team. They are 4th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 737 relinquished this year.

The last time they took the court, the Heat took a loss by a score of 112-91 when they played the Raptors. When talking about team rebounding, Miami allowed Toronto to grab 50 overall (15 offensive). They shot 36.8% from beyond the arc by going 14 of 38 and walked away from this one shooting 16 of 18 from the free throw line (88.9%). The Heat allowed the Raptors to make 41 of 86 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 47.7% for the game. When the final whistle blew, the Heat went 33 out of 82 from the floor which had them at 40.2%. When it comes to shooting from distance, Miami made 8 of their 30 attempts (26.7%). They were able to make 17 of them for a percentage of 85.0%. The Raptors were called for 26 personal fouls for this game which got the Heat to the free throw line for a total of 20 attempts. They turned the ball over 19 times, while earning 8 steals for this contest. The Heat pulled down 30 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive rebounds totaling 40 in this contest.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. ended up having an impact for the Heat for the contest. Jacquez racked up 21 points in his 36 minutes on the court and accounted for 2 assists for this contest. He buried 9 of 16 for the contest for a field goal percentage of 56.3%, and tallied 2 rebounds.

Miami has a mark of 15-15 on the campaign. As an offense, the Heat are hitting on 47.0% from the floor, which is ranked 14th in the league. Miami has accumulated 3,577 pts on the season (119.2 per game) and they pull in 45.4 rebounds per game. They are assisting teammates 28.3 times per game (7th in the NBA) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.2 times per contest. The Heat are responsible for committing 19.1 personal fouls every game and they hit 78.2% from the charity stripe.

The Heat on the defensive end are ranked 20th in the league in points given up per game with 117.6. They are forcing their opponents into 15.6 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 45.2% from the floor (4th in the NBA). The Miami defense allows 34.5% on shots from behind the 3-point line (428 of 1,242) and their opponents are connecting on 79.9% of their foul shots. They have relinquished 27.1 dimes and 48.0 rebounds every game, which ranks them 17th and 29th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Indiana

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