Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, 6/22/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Date: Sunday, June 22, 2025

Location: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Indiana (+8.0)

With the series tied at 3 - 3, the Indiana Pacers (50-32) are hitting the road to Paycom Center on Sunday where they will take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14) in Game 7 of the NBA Finals. Indiana opens as 8-point dogs. The total is 216.

The Pacers took the court against the Thunder and walked away with a win by a score of 108-91 in Game 6. Indiana finished with a 41.3% field goal percentage (38 of 92) and converted 15 out of their 42 shots from 3-point land. When they shot from the free throw line, the Pacers converted 17 of their 25 shots for a percentage of 68.0%. In relation to getting rebounds, they compiled a total of 46 with 11 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 23 dimes for this contest in addition to forcing the other team into 21 turnovers and getting 16 steals. In the matter of defending, Indiana allowed 41.9% from the floor on 31 of 74 shooting. Oklahoma City distributed 14 dimes and had 4 steals in this game. Additionally, Oklahoma City pulled down 41 rebounds (4 offensive, 37 defensive) and had 5 rejections. Oklahoma City finished the contest at 80.8% from the free throw line by burying 21 of their 26 attempts. They also made 8 of their 30 shots from long range. In relation to fouls, the Pacers left the arena with 17 while the Thunder accumulated 20 fouls.

Obi Toppin is someone who was a factor for this game. He had 20 points on 6 of 12 shooting. He played 23 minutes played and also collected 6 boards. Toppin finished 50.0% from the floor but had no dimes when the game ended.

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Indiana will enter this game with a mark of 50-32 this season. They average 117.4 pts per contest (7th in the NBA) while hitting 48.8% from the field. The Pacers are connecting on 36.8% on shots from distance (1,081 of 2,934) and 78.9% from the charity stripe. As a team, Indiana is grabbing 41.8 boards per game and has accounted for 2,398 assists on the year, which ranks 3rd in basketball in terms of passing the rock. They turn it over 13.2 times per game and as a group they are committing 18.7 fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on the defensive end, the Pacers are able to force 15.0 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.8 fouls. They give up 35.5% on 3-point shots and they are 17th in basketball in PPG allowed (115.1). The Pacers are giving up a field goal percentage of 47.4% (3,493 of 7,372) and they relinquish 45.0 boards per game as a squad. They are ranked 12th in the NBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 2,131 relinquished this season.

In Game 6, the Thunder collected 37 defensive boards and 4 offensive boards totaling 41 for this game. They coughed up the ball 21 times, while recording 4 steals for this game. The Pacers committed 17 fouls in this contest which took the Thunder to the free throw line for a total of 26 tries. They were able to knock down 21 of those for a percentage of 80.8%. When talking about shots from 3-point land, Oklahoma City knocked down 8 of 30 attempts (26.7%). When this game wrapped up, the Thunder shot 31 for 74 from the field which gave them a percentage of 41.9%. The Thunder allowed the Pacers to knock down 38 out of their 92 tries from the field which had them at 41.3% for the contest. They went 35.7% from 3-point land by going 15 out of 42 and walked away from this one shooting 17 out of 25 from the free throw line (68.0%). In reference to how they rebounded, Oklahoma City permitted Indiana to pull down 46 overall (11 offensive).

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was important for the Thunder in the matchup. Gilgeous-Alexander recorded 21 points in his 31 mins of playing time and accumulated 2 dimes for this game. He made 7 of 15 in this contest giving him a rate of 46.7%, and accumulated 4 rebounds.

Oklahoma City has a mark of 68-14 on the campaign. As an offense, the Thunder are connecting on 48.2% from the floor, which is ranked 7th in basketball. Oklahoma City has accounted for 9,881 points this season (120.5 per game) and they collect 44.8 rebounds per contest. They are assisting teammates 26.9 times per game (12th in basketball) and they turn it over 11.7 times per contest. The Thunder commit 19.9 fouls every game while shooting 81.9% from the charity stripe.

The Thunder defensively are ranked 3rd in the NBA in points per game surrendered with 107.6. They are forcing their opponents into 17.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 43.6% from the field (1st in the league). The Oklahoma City defense gives up 34.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter (1,104 of 3,225) and their opponents are converting on 77.4% of their free throw shots. They have given up 24.6 assists and 44.9 rebounds on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 4th and 20th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Indiana (+8.0)

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