Los Angeles Clippers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 5/3/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Los Angeles Clippers vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Saturday, May 3, 2025

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (+2.0)

The Denver Nuggets (50-32) will go up against the Los Angeles Clippers (50-32) at Ball Arena on Saturday in Game 7 of the Western Conference First Round. The series is tied at 3 - 3. Los Angeles opens as 2-point dogs. The total is 204.

The Clippers faced off with the Nuggets and walked away with a win by a score of 111-105 in Game 6. When it comes to fouls, the Clippers ended up walking away with 15 and the Nuggets finished the game with 14 fouls. They converted 11 of their 27 shots from 3-point land. Denver walked away from this one shooting 66.7% when shooting free throws by knocking down 6 of 9 attempts. Furthermore, Denver grabbed 39 rebounds (10 offensive, 29 defensive) and got 9 blocks. Denver earned 24 assists and had 6 steals in this contest. Regarding defending, Los Angeles allowed the other team to shoot 52.4% from the floor on 44 out of 84 shooting. They also recorded 23 assists for the matchup in addition to forcing the opposition into 14 turnovers and earning 9 steals. When it comes to rebounding, they earned 35 with 9 of them being offensive. At the charity stripe, the Clippers converted 13 of 15 tries for a percentage of 86.7%. Los Angeles walked away from the contest with a 50.0% field goal percentage (43 out of 86) and converted 12 of their 39 shots from 3-point land.

James Harden is someone who was a major factor in the matchup. Harden went 50.0% from the floor and also recorded 8 dimes. He was on the hardwood for 47 minutes played and also collected 6 rebounds. He finished with 28 points on 10 out of 20 shooting.

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Los Angeles comes into this one with a mark of 50-32 this year. They are losing possession via turnover 14.9 times per game and as a group they commit 18.3 fouls per game. As a team, Los Angeles is grabbing 43.8 rebounds per game and has accounted for 2,064 assists on the campaign, which has them ranked 23rd in basketball in terms of passing. The Clippers are hitting 37.3% on three-point shots (1,022 of 2,738) and 79.7% from the free throw line. They are averaging 112.9 pts per game (20th in the NBA) while shooting 48.2% from the floor.

On defense, the Clippers are forcing 15.0 turnovers every game while drawing 17.8 fouls. They concede 35.0% on shots from beyond the arc and they are ranked 4th in the NBA in PPG allowed (108.2). The Clippers defense is allowing a FG percentage of 46.1% (3,240 of 7,032) and they surrender 41.5 boards per game as a basketball team. They are 9th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 2,105 conceded this season.

In Game 6, concerning cleaning up the glass, Denver allowed Los Angeles to pull down 35 in total (9 on the offensive glass). They finished 30.8% from distance by going 12 out of 39 and finished the contest at 13 out of 15 at the charity stripe (86.7%). The Nuggets permitted the Clippers to convert 43 of their 86 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 50.0% in this matchup. When the game finished, the Nuggets finished shooting 44 out of 84 from the field which had them shooting 52.4%. When discussing 3-pointers, Denver buried 11 of their 27 tries (40.7%). They were able to knock down 6 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 66.7%. The Clippers earned 15 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Nuggets to the charity stripe for 9 tries. They turned it over 14 times, while getting 6 steals in the matchup. The Nuggets corralled 29 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards for a total of 39 for this game.

Nikola Jokic ended up being a factor for the Nuggets in the game. Jokic tallied 25 points in his 42 mins of playing time and had 8 dimes in this contest. He converted 11 out of 22 for this contest for a field goal rate of 50.0%, and accounted for 7 rebounds.

Denver has a mark of 50-32 so far this year. The Nuggets are responsible for committing 17.6 personal fouls per contest and they hit 77.0% from the charity stripe. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 31.0 times per contest (1st in the league) and they are losing possession via turnover 14.3 times per contest. Denver has scored 9,902 pts for the year (120.8 per game) and they grab 45.7 rebounds per game. When it comes to executing on offense, the Nuggets are hitting on 50.6% from the floor, which has them ranked 1st in the league.

The Nuggets on the defensive end are ranked 25th in basketball in PPG allowed with 116.9. They are able to force 13.0 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 46.6% from the field (13th in basketball). The Denver defense gives up 36.5% on shots from distance (1,156 of 3,170) and opponents are connecting on 77.7% of their free throw shots. They have allowed 29.0 dimes and 42.5 total boards per game, which ranks them 29th and 7th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Denver (-2.0)

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