Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, 4/27/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Date: Sunday, April 27, 2025

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Los Angeles (+3.0)

The Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33) will try to defeat the Los Angeles Lakers (50-32) at Target Center on Sunday in Game 4 of the Western Conference First Round. Minnesota leads the series 2-1. Minnesota opens this contest as 3-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The betting total comes in at 208.

The Lakers took the court against the Timberwolves and went home with a loss by a final score of 116-104 in Game 3. Los Angeles finished the contest with a 47.4% field goal percentage (37 of 78) and buried 17 out of their 40 three-point attempts. At the free throw line, the Lakers made 13 of their 20 shots for a rate of 65.0%. In reference to pulling down rebounds, they earned 38 with 7 of them being offensive. They also distributed 21 dimes for the contest as well as forcing 11 turnovers and having 5 steals. When it comes to defending, Los Angeles let their opponent shoot 48.4% from the field on 44 out of 91 shooting. Minnesota earned 24 assists and had 10 steals in this game. Additionally, Minnesota grabbed 38 rebounds (9 offensive, 29 defensive) and added 7 rejections. Minnesota shot 71.4% when shooting free throws by knocking down 15 of their 21 attempts. They also made 13 of their 36 shots from three-point range. In reference to personal fouls, the Lakers walked away with 23 while the Timberwolves racked up 19 personal fouls.

LeBron James is a player who was a major contributor for the matchup. James went 61.9% from the field and also distributed 4 dimes. He was on the hardwood for 41 mins and totaled 10 rebounds. He ended up finishing with 38 points on 13 of 21 shooting.

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Los Angeles heads into this one with a record of 50-32 this year. They average 113.4 points per game (19th in the league) on 47.9% from the field. The Lakers are shooting 36.6% on shots from distance (1,092 of 2,981) and 78.5% from the free throw line. As a team, Los Angeles is grabbing 42.4 boards per contest and is sitting with 2,131 dimes on the campaign, which ranks 18th in the NBA in terms of passing the rock. They turn it over 14.0 times per contest and as a group they commit 17.3 fouls per game.

When they are on defense, the Lakers have forced 13.7 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.2 fouls. They are currently ranked 22nd in the NBA in giving up assists with 2,236 relinquished so far this year. The Lakers defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 46.3% (3,392 of 7,319) and they relinquish 43.0 boards per contest as a unit. They relinquish 35.6% from beyond the arc while they are 10th in the league in points per game allowed (112.2).

In Game 3, the Timberwolves earned 29 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive rebounds for a total of 38 for the matchup. They also turned the ball over 11 times, while earning 10 steals in the game. The Lakers committed 23 personal fouls for the game which got the Timberwolves to the free throw line for a total of 21 shots. They were able to knock down 15 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 71.4%. When discussing shots from distance, Minnesota knocked down 13 out of 36 tries (36.1%). At the conclusion of this game, the Timberwolves shot 44 out of 91 from the field which had them sitting at 48.4%. The Timberwolves permitted the Lakers to make 37 of 78 tries from the field which had them shooting 47.4% for the game. They went 42.5% from beyond the arc by connecting on 17 out of 40 and finished the game at 13 of 20 from the charity stripe (65.0%). Concerning rebounding, Minnesota allowed Los Angeles to pull down 38 overall (7 on the offensive side).

Jaden McDaniels ended up being a factor for the Timberwolves for the contest. McDaniels earned 30 points in his 38 mins on the hardwood and accounted for 1 assist in this game. He converted 13 of 22 in the game for a field goal rate of 59.1%, and had 5 rebounds.

Minnesota has a record of 49-33 for the campaign. The Timberwolves have committed 18.3 personal fouls every game while shooting 78.9% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 26.1 times per game (17th in the NBA) and they are losing possession via turnover 14.5 times per contest. Minnesota has scored 9,372 pts for the year (114.3 per contest) and they pull in 44.3 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Timberwolves are hitting on 46.8% from the floor, which is ranked 16th in the NBA.

The Minnesota defense surrenders 35.3% on 3-point shots (1,040 of 2,949) and opponents are converting on 76.7% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have relinquished 24.8 assists and 42.9 rebounds per game, which is ranked 5th and 8th in basketball. The Timberwolves on defense are ranked 5th in the league in points given up per game with 109.3. They have forced 14.7 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 46.0% from the field (7th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-3.0)

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