Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, 12/17/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Date: Wednesday, December 17, 2025

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Memphis (+8.5)

Target Center is the site where the Minnesota Timberwolves (17-9) will go up against the Memphis Grizzlies (12-14) on Wednesday. Memphis opens this contest as 8.5-point underdogs. The total comes in at 234.

The Grizzlies faced off with the Clippers and earned the victory with a final of 121-103 in their last game. When talking about fouls, the Grizzlies ended up walking away with 21 and the Clippers totaled 15 fouls. They knocked down 13 of 36 shots from distance. Los Angeles finished the contest at 72.7% from the charity stripe by burying 16 of 22 tries. Furthermore, Los Angeles totaled 39 rebounds (13 offensive, 26 defensive) and added 7 blocked shots. Los Angeles recorded 26 assists and had 4 steals for this contest. In terms of defense, Memphis allowed their opponent to shoot 46.3% from the floor on 37 of 80 shooting. They also distributed 33 assists in this matchup in addition to creating 19 turnovers and having 10 steals. Pertaining to getting rebounds, they compiled 32 with 9 of them being of the offensive sort. From the charity stripe, the Grizzlies made 15 of 17 shots for a rate of 88.2%. Memphis walked away from the game with a 52.3% field goal percentage (45 of 86) and converted 16 out of their 39 shots from beyond the arc.

Jaren Jackson Jr. is one player who was a major contributor in this matchup. Jackson ended up shooting 72.2% from the field and dished out 4 dimes. He was on the court for 33 minutes played and also snagged 4 rebounds. He finished with 31 points on 13 out of 18 shooting.

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Memphis will enter this contest with a record of 12-14 for the season. They lose possession by turning the ball over 14.7 times per contest and as a group are committing 20.4 fouls every game. As a unit, Memphis is pulling in 46.1 boards per game and has accumulated 754 dimes so far this season, which is 4th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. The Grizzlies are hitting 34.4% on shots from 3-point land (341 of 991) and 80.3% from the free throw line. They are averaging 114.3 points per game (22nd in the NBA) while hitting 45.2% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Grizzlies are able to force 14.7 turnovers per contest while drawing 21.0 personal fouls. They give up 36.8% on shots from distance and they are 12th in basketball in PPG from their opponents (115.4). The Grizzlies defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 47.0% (1,099 of 2,340) and they surrender 44.0 rebounds per game as a unit. They are currently ranked 16th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 691 surrendered for the season.

In their last game, the Timberwolves got the win with a final of 117-103 against the Kings. Concerning how they cleaned up the glass, Minnesota permitted Sacramento to pull down 36 in total (4 offensive). They finished 43.5% from three-point range by connecting on 10 out of 23 and finished the contest at 19 out of 25 at the free throw line (76.0%). The Timberwolves permitted the Kings to knock down 37 out of their 81 attempts from the field which had them at 45.7% for the matchup. When the game finished, the Timberwolves shot 43 out of 94 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 45.7%. With respect to shots from 3-point land, Minnesota converted 12 of 37 attempts (32.4%). They were able to knock down 19 of the free throw tries for a rate of 70.4%. The Kings earned 21 personal fouls for this contest which took the Timberwolves to the free throw line for 27 shots. They also gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while earning 12 steals in this game. The Timberwolves were able to collect 33 defensive rebounds and 15 offensive boards for a total of 48 for the contest.

Julius Randle ended up being a major contributor for the Timberwolves for the matchup. Randle totaled 24 points in his 36 minutes of playing time and accounted for 3 assists in the game. He buried 9 out of 21 in this game giving him a rate of 42.9%, and totaled 10 rebounds.

Minnesota has a mark of 17-9 so far this year. The Timberwolves are committing 22.5 fouls per contest while shooting 77.1% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 26.6 times per game (12th in the NBA) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.8 times per contest. Minnesota has 3,115 pts on the year (119.8 per contest) and they collect 43.5 rebounds per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Timberwolves are shooting 48.7% from the floor, which is ranked 6th in the league.

The Minnesota defense gives up 35.5% on 3-point shots (312 of 878) and their opposition knocks down 76.9% of their foul shots. They relinquish 25.1 dimes and 42.6 total boards per game, which has them ranked 8th and 10th in the league. The Timberwolves defensively are ranked 10th in the league in PPG given up with 114.5. They are forcing their opponents into 14.5 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.3% from the field (10th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (-8.5)

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