Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 12/3/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Wednesday, December 3, 2025

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: NBA TV

The Miami Heat (13-7) are traveling to American Airlines Center on Wednesday where they will attempt to beat the Dallas Mavericks (6-15).

The Heat faced off with the Pistons and took a loss by a final of 138-135 in their last game. Miami finished having earned a 50.0% field goal percentage (44 out of 88) and made 14 out of their 29 shots from downtown. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Heat made 33 of 39 tries for a rate of 84.6%. In regard to hauling in boards, they earned 38 with 11 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 27 assists for the contest in addition to forcing the other team into 21 turnovers and having 12 steals. When talking about defending, Miami let their opponent shoot 59.1% from the floor on 55 out of 93 shooting. Detroit recorded 29 dimes and had 11 steals for the game. Furthermore, Detroit grabbed 43 rebounds (11 offensive, 32 defensive) and added 3 blocks. Detroit walked away from this one shooting 73.9% at the charity stripe by knocking down 17 of 23 shots. They converted 11 out of their 26 tries from beyond the arc. With respect to fouls, the Heat ended up with 20 and the Pistons racked up 27 fouls.

Andrew Wiggins is a guy who played a role in this matchup. Wiggins ended up shooting 66.7% from the floor and also recorded 4 assists. He was on the court for 37 minutes played and pulled down 6 rebounds. He ended up finishing with 31 points on 10 of 15 shooting.

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Miami comes into this game with a mark of 13-7 for the campaign. They have an average of 123.6 points per outing (2nd in the league) while hitting 48.0% from the field. The Heat are connecting on 37.3% from downtown (263 of 706) and 79.3% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Miami is pulling in 46.0 rebounds per contest and has totaled 602 assists this year, which is 4th in the NBA in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession via turnover 14.6 times per game and as a squad are committing 20.3 personal fouls per game.

Defensively, the Heat have forced 16.2 turnovers per game and they draw 21.6 personal fouls. They are 19th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 542 surrendered on the year. The Heat are giving up a shooting percentage of 43.8% (850 of 1,939) and they relinquish 49.2 boards per game as a basketball team. They are giving up 32.0% on shots from distance and they are ranked 20th in the league in PPG allowed (118.2).

When they last stepped on the court, the Mavericks went home victorious with a score of 114-110 when they played the Clippers. The Mavericks corralled 33 defensive boards and 4 offensive rebounds for a total of 37 in the game. They also coughed it up 9 times, while getting 15 steals in this matchup. The Clippers had 21 fouls in this game which got the Mavericks to the charity stripe for a total of 28 attempts. They were able to make 23 of those for a rate of 82.1%. When discussing 3-point attempts, Dallas converted 11 of 39 attempts (28.2%). When the game finished, the Mavericks ended up going 40 out of 90 from the floor which gave them a rate of 44.4%. The Mavericks permitted the Clippers to knock down 37 of their 80 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 46.3% for this contest. They went 28.0% from beyond the perimeter via 7 out of 25 and ended up going 29 of 31 from the free throw line (93.5%). In relation to cleaning the glass, Dallas permitted Los Angeles to get 46 in total (5 on the offensive glass).

Cooper Flagg was important for the Mavericks for the game. Flagg accumulated 35 points in his 38 minutes on the hardwood and had 2 assists for this contest. He converted 13 out of 22 in this game for a field goal percentage of 59.1%, and had 8 rebounds.

Dallas has a mark of 6-15 on the year. The Mavericks commit 21.4 personal fouls per contest and they go 75.7% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 24.0 times per contest (27th in the NBA) and they are losing possession via turnover 16.2 times per contest. Dallas has earned 2,314 points so far this year (110.2 per contest) and they grab 44.8 rebounds per contest. As an offensive team, the Mavericks are shooting 44.4% from the floor, which ranks them 26th in the NBA.

The Mavericks on the defensive end are ranked 15th in the league in points allowed per game with 115.9. They are able to force 14.7 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 45.8% from the field (7th in basketball). The Dallas defense allows 32.7% on 3-point shots (232 of 709) and their opponents are making 75.5% of their free throw attempts. They have given up 24.8 dimes and 48.7 rebounds per contest, which is ranked 5th and 28th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Miami

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