Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, 11/5/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Date: Wednesday, November 5, 2025

Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO

TV: Altitude

The Denver Nuggets (4-2) will take on the Miami Heat (4-3) at Ball Arena on Wednesday.

The Heat took the court against the Clippers and went home with a win by a final score of 120-119 in their last game. Miami walked away from the contest with a 54.2% field goal percentage (45 of 83) and knocked down 12 of 25 3-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Heat converted 18 of their 24 tries for a rate of 75.0%. In reference to grabbing rebounds, they earned a total of 37 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 33 dimes in this matchup as well as forcing the opposition into 21 turnovers and getting 12 steals. Pertaining to defense, Miami allowed their opponent to shoot 50.0% from the floor on 44 of 88 shooting. Los Angeles recorded 25 dimes and had 13 steals in the game. Moreover, Los Angeles pulled down 44 rebounds (11 offensive, 33 defensive) and added 3 rejections. Los Angeles ended up shooting 73.7% at the free throw line by making 14 of their 19 shots. They also made 17 of their 41 attempts from downtown. Concerning personal fouls, the Heat finished with 15 and the Clippers accounted for 24 personal fouls.

Bam Adebayo is one player who played a role for the matchup. Adebayo ended up going 55.6% from the floor and totaled 4 dimes. He played for 30 minutes played and also totaled 10 rebounds. He finished with 25 points on 10 out of 18 shooting.

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Miami comes into this one with a win-loss record of 4-3 for the campaign. They are turning it over 15.9 times per game and as a team they commit 20.0 fouls every game. As a unit, Miami is collecting 44.4 boards per contest and has 210 assists so far this season, which is 4th in basketball in terms of passing the ball. The Heat are connecting on 39.5% from downtown (100 of 253) and 78.0% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 123.9 points per contest (4th in the NBA) while going 50.2% from the field.

Defensively, the Heat are able to force 16.1 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 21.1 fouls. They are currently ranked 19th in the league in allowing assists to their opponents with 185 surrendered so far this year. The Heat are giving up a FG percentage of 44.9% (288 of 642) and they concede 44.7 rebounds per game as a unit. They give up 34.4% on shots from distance while they are 16th in the league in PPG allowed (117.0).

When they last played, the Nuggets walked away with a victory by a final of 130-124 against the Kings. The Nuggets were able to snag 32 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards for a total of 40 for the matchup. They also turned the ball over 8 times, while getting 9 steals for the game. The Kings committed 24 personal fouls for the game which got the Nuggets to the free throw line for 24 attempts. They were able to convert 18 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 75.0%. When it comes to shooting from beyond the arc, Denver knocked down 12 of 38 tries (31.6%). In all, the Nuggets finished the game shooting 50 out of 97 from the floor which gave them a rate of 51.5%. The Nuggets allowed the Kings to make 47 out of 90 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 52.2% in the game. They finished shooting 33.3% from behind the 3-point line by hitting 9 out of 27 and ended up shooting 21 of 25 at the free throw line (84.0%). In the matter of how they cleaned up the glass, Denver allowed Sacramento to snag 47 in total (8 on the offensive side).

Nikola Jokic ended up being a major contributor for the Nuggets in this game. He knocked down 14 out of 22 for the game for a field goal rate of 63.6%, and had 7 rebounds. Jokic accumulated 34 points in his 36 minutes on the hardwood and added 14 dimes for this contest.

Denver has a win-loss record of 4-2 for the season. When it comes to offense, the Nuggets are shooting 51.8% from the floor, which has them ranked 3rd in the league. Denver has accounted for 750 pts on the year (125.0 per contest) and they pull down 45.7 rebounds per game. They are earning an assist 29.8 times per game (4th in the league) and they turn it over 14.0 times per contest. The Nuggets are committing 21.8 fouls per game and they connect on 85.3% from the free throw line.

The Denver defense gives up 31.4% on 3-pointers (72 of 229) and their opposition makes 75.2% of their shots from the charity stripe. They allow 24.3 dimes and 40.0 total rebounds per game, which is ranked 5th and 4th in the NBA. The Nuggets on the defensive end are ranked 8th in basketball in points allowed per game with 113.8. They have forced 14.3 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 45.5% from the floor (7th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Denver

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