Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Prediction, 12/21/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Date: Sunday, December 21, 2025

Location: Madison Square Garden in New York, NY

TV: MSG

The New York Knicks (19-7) will go up against the Miami Heat (15-12) at Madison Square Garden on Sunday.

The Heat stepped onto the hardwood against the Nets and walked away with a win by a score of 106-95 in their last game. Miami finished the contest having earned a 46.1% field goal percentage (41 of 89) and made 9 of their 28 shots from downtown. At the charity stripe, the Heat converted 15 of their 19 shots for a percentage of 78.9%. With regard to grabbing boards, they compiled 51 with 9 of them being offensive. They also recorded 23 dimes in this game as well as forcing 13 turnovers and getting 9 steals. Regarding defense, Miami allowed 38.8% from the floor on 38 of 98 shooting. Brooklyn earned 24 assists and had 7 steals for the matchup. In addition, Brooklyn pulled down 49 rebounds (15 offensive, 34 defensive) and added 8 blocks. Brooklyn finished 72.7% when shooting free throws by converting 8 of their 11 attempts. They converted 11 out of their 49 shots from distance. In the matter of personal fouls, the Heat ended up walking away with 12 and the Nets finished the game with 17 personal fouls.

Norman Powell is someone who played a role for this contest. Powell ended up shooting 57.1% from the floor and dished out 2 assists. He saw the court for 33 mins and collected 6 rebounds. He ended up finishing with 24 points on 8 out of 14 shooting.

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Miami will play this contest with a win-loss mark of 15-12 so far this year. They lose possession via turnover 14.2 times per contest and as a squad they commit 19.3 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Miami is grabbing 45.6 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 779 assists for the season, which ranks 3rd in basketball in terms of passing. The Heat are hitting 36.5% on shots from downtown (340 of 931) and 78.4% from the free throw line. They average 120.2 pts per game (5th in the NBA) while going 47.6% from the field.

On defense, the Heat are forcing 15.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 20.4 personal fouls. They relinquish 33.2% on 3-point attempts and they are ranked 18th in the NBA in points per game allowed (116.9). The Heat are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 44.5% (1,150 of 2,584) and they surrender 48.4 boards per contest as a unit. They rank 20th in the NBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 731 surrendered on the season.

The last time they took the court, the Knicks took home the win by a final score of 114-113 against the Pacers. The Knicks corralled 32 defensive rebounds and 14 offensive rebounds for a total of 46 for the game. They also gave up possession of the ball 16 times, while earning 10 steals for this contest. The Pacers were called for 20 personal fouls for the contest which took the Knicks to the free throw line for a total of 19 tries. They were able to make 11 of the free throw tries for a rate of 57.9%. In relation to three-point attempts, New York converted 17 out of 43 tries (39.5%). Overall, the Knicks ended up shooting 43 out of 92 from the floor which gave them a rate of 46.7%. The Knicks permitted the Pacers to convert 43 out of 93 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 46.2% for the game. They finished shooting 32.4% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 11 out of 34 and finished the game at 16 of 18 at the charity stripe (88.9%). With respect to rebounding, New York allowed Indiana to snag 52 overall (16 on the offensive glass).

Jalen Brunson pitched in for the Knicks in this matchup. He knocked down 10 of 23 for the contest giving him a field goal percentage of 43.5%, and totaled 7 rebounds. Brunson recorded 25 points in his 34 minutes on the hardwood and accounted for 7 dimes in the game.

New York has a record of 19-7 this year. The Knicks are responsible for committing 20.7 fouls per contest and they connect on 78.8% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 27.1 times per game (9th in the league) and they are giving up possession 13.3 times per contest. New York has accounted for 3,139 points so far this year (120.7 per contest) and they collect 45.9 rebounds per contest. As an offense, the Knicks are hitting on 48.0% from the floor, which is ranked 10th in the league.

The Knicks on the defensive side of the court are 4th in the league in PPG allowed with 112.3. They are forcing 14.7 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 46.0% from the floor (7th in the league). The New York defense concedes 36.1% from downtown (373 of 1,034) and opponents are converting on 77.4% of their foul shots. They have conceded 25.1 assists and 41.3 rebounds per contest, which ranks them 9th and 5th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami

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