Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Prediction, 12/5/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

Date: Friday, December 5, 2025

Location: Kia Center in Orlando, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Orlando Magic (13-9) are hosting the Miami Heat (14-8) at Kia Center on Friday.

The Heat played the Mavericks and ended up losing by a score of 118-108 in their last contest. When it comes to personal fouls, the Heat ended up walking away with 13 and the Mavericks had 15 personal fouls. They also made 16 of their 32 attempts from downtown. Dallas finished the game at 83.3% from the charity stripe by burying 10 of 12 attempts. Additionally, Dallas pulled down 50 rebounds (10 offensive, 40 defensive) and got 5 blocks. Dallas doled out 31 dimes and had 6 steals in the matchup. In relation to defending, Miami allowed the other team to shoot 50.5% from the floor on 46 out of 91 shooting. They also doled out 29 dimes for the matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 15 turnovers and getting 11 steals. Pertaining to pulling down boards, they earned 41 with 14 of them being of the offensive sort. From the free throw line, the Heat made 17 of their 18 shots for a percentage of 94.4%. Miami walked away from the contest having earned a 39.6% FG percentage (40 of 101) and made 11 of their 37 shots from downtown.

Kel'el Ware is a guy who was a factor in the matchup. Ware ended up going 72.7% from the field and dished out 2 assists. He was on the court for 25 mins played and also pulled down 10 boards. He ended up scoring 22 points on 8 of 11 shooting.

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Miami enters this one with a win-loss mark of 14-8 this season. They average 123.6 points per game (2nd in basketball) while going 47.9% from the field. The Heat are hitting 37.8% on shots from 3-point land (298 of 789) and 79.9% from the charity stripe. As a team, Miami is collecting 46.0 boards per game and has racked up 665 dimes for the campaign, which is 2nd in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. They lose possession via turnover 14.3 times per contest and as a squad they are committing 20.2 fouls per game.

On defense, the Heat are forcing 16.0 turnovers per game while drawing 20.8 personal fouls. They rank 24th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 596 relinquished for the campaign. The Heat defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 44.2% (939 of 2,126) and they relinquish 49.1 rebounds per game as a group. They are surrendering 32.6% on shots from beyond the arc and they rank 22nd in the league in points per game allowed (118.4).

The last time they took the court, the Magic took a loss by a final score of 114-112 when they faced the Spurs. The Magic corralled 38 defensive boards and 10 offensive rebounds totaling 48 in this matchup. They turned the ball over 10 times, while getting 11 steals for this game. The Spurs were called for 20 fouls for this game which got the Magic to the free throw line for a total of 19 attempts. They were able to convert 13 of them for a percentage of 68.4%. When discussing 3-pointers, Orlando converted 9 of 27 attempts (33.3%). When the final whistle was blown, the Magic shot 45 for 99 from the field which gave them a rate of 45.5%. The Magic permitted the Spurs to knock down 42 of their 91 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 46.2% in this contest. They wrapped up this game 34.2% from distance by going 13 of 38 and finished the game at 17 of 24 from the charity stripe (70.8%). Regarding attacking the glass, Orlando allowed San Antonio to collect 52 overall (13 on the offensive glass).

Franz Wagner was important for the Magic in the matchup. Wagner earned 25 points in his 36 mins on the hardwood and had 6 dimes in this matchup. He knocked down 9 out of 17 in this contest for a field goal percentage of 52.9%, and had 4 rebounds.

Orlando has a record of 13-9 on the season. The Magic are responsible for committing 21.4 fouls per game and they connect on 80.5% from the free throw line. Their rate of earning assists is at 25.6 times per contest (21st in the league) and they cough up possession 14.7 times per game. Orlando has accounted for 2,622 pts so far this season (119.2 per game) and they average 45.0 rebounds per game. As an offensive unit, the Magic are connecting on 47.6% from the floor, which is 12th in the league.

The Magic are ranked 10th in the league in PPG allowed with 114.3. They are able to force 16.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 47.3% from the field (18th in the league). The Orlando defense concedes 36.7% on 3-point shots (262 of 714) and their opponents are connecting on 77.6% of their free throw shots. They relinquish 24.0 assists and 41.9 total rebounds per game, which is 3rd and 9th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Orlando

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