Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Prediction, 12/9/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

Date: Tuesday, December 9, 2025

Location: Kia Center in Orlando, FL

TV: Prime Video

The Miami Heat (14-10) are en route to Kia Center on Tuesday where they will try to defeat the Orlando Magic (14-10) in an NBA Cup quarterfinal matchup.

The Heat stepped onto the hardwood against the Kings and took a loss by a final of 127-111 in their last game. Regarding fouls, the Heat finished with 17 while the Kings racked up 19 fouls. They also made 14 of 33 shots from beyond the perimeter. Sacramento went 71.4% from the charity stripe by converting 15 of 21 tries. Furthermore, Sacramento snagged 45 rebounds (8 offensive, 37 defensive) and earned 4 blocks. Sacramento totaled 24 assists and had 11 steals for the matchup. Regarding defending, Miami allowed 52.7% from the floor on 49 of 93 shooting. They also doled out 23 assists in the game while forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and earning 5 steals. When it comes to hauling in rebounds, they earned 41 with 11 of them being of the offensive sort. From the charity stripe, the Heat buried 20 of their 32 tries for a rate of 62.5%. Miami finished with a 48.2% field goal percentage (41 of 85) and buried 9 out of their 31 three-point attempts.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. is someone who was a major factor for the game. He recorded 27 points on 9 out of 15 shooting. He was on the court for 35 minutes played and snagged 6 boards. Jacquez shot 60.0% from the field and also distributed 6 assists.

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Miami will enter this matchup with a record of 14-10 this year. They turn the ball over 14.3 times per game and as a team they commit 20.0 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Miami is grabbing 45.7 boards per game and has accumulated 711 assists so far this season, which ranks 3rd in the NBA in terms of passing the rock. The Heat are shooting 37.4% on shots from beyond the arc (314 of 839) and 78.4% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 122.3 points per contest (3rd in the NBA) while connecting on 48.0% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Heat have forced 15.5 turnovers per game and they draw 20.6 fouls. They are surrendering 33.0% on 3-pointers and they are 22nd in the league in points per game allowed (118.3). The Heat defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 44.4% (1,026 of 2,311) and they surrender 48.6 rebounds per game as a team. They are 21st in the league in giving up assists with 644 surrendered on the year.

When they last stepped on the court, the Magic walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 106-100 against the Knicks. When discussing rebounding, Orlando allowed New York to get 52 in total (15 on the offensive glass). They went 31.4% from 3-point land via 11 out of 35 and finished the contest at 17 of 20 from the free throw line (85.0%). The Magic allowed the Knicks to convert 39 of 91 tries from the field which had them at 42.9% in this contest. Overall, the Magic shot 36 out of 94 from the field which had them at 38.3%. In reference to shooting from downtown, Orlando converted 12 of their 42 tries (28.6%). They were able to make 16 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 66.7%. The Knicks committed 21 fouls in the game which got the Magic to the free throw line for a total of 24 attempts. They coughed it up 12 times, while earning 7 steals for this contest. The Magic earned 31 defensive rebounds and 17 offensive boards totaling 48 in this matchup.

Jalen Suggs was important for the Magic in this matchup. Suggs had 17 points in his 32 minutes on the hardwood and had 4 assists for the contest. He converted 6 of 16 in the game for a field goal rate of 37.5%, and had 3 rebounds.

Orlando has a record of 14-10 this season. The Magic have committed 21.1 personal fouls per contest and they hit 79.8% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 25.4 times per game (19th in basketball) and they lose possession via turnover 14.4 times per game. Orlando has 2,828 points this season (117.8 per game) and they grab 45.0 rebounds per game. When it comes to offense, the Magic are hitting on 47.0% from the floor, which is 14th in basketball.

The Orlando defense gives up 36.5% on shots from beyond the perimeter (280 of 768) and their opposition makes 77.3% of their free throw attempts. They have surrendered 23.9 assists and 42.4 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks them 3rd and 9th in the league. The Magic on defense are ranked 7th in basketball in points given up per game with 113.6. They are able to force 15.8 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 47.2% from the field (17th in the NBA).

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Orlando and under the total points

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