Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Prediction, 11/26/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Date: Wednesday, November 26, 2025

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Milwaukee Bucks (8-10) are traveling to Kaseya Center on Wednesday where they will go up against the Miami Heat (12-6).

The Bucks played the Trail Blazers and took a loss by a final of 115-103 in their last game. Milwaukee walked away from the game with a 44.2% FG percentage (38 out of 86) and converted 13 of their 37 3-pointers. From the free throw line, the Bucks buried 14 of 18 attempts for a percentage of 77.8%. Concerning pulling down rebounds, they compiled 39 with 8 of them being of the offensive sort. They also dished out 22 dimes for the contest in addition to forcing the other team into 16 turnovers and earning 10 steals. When discussing defense, Milwaukee allowed the other team to shoot 45.6% from the field on 36 out of 79 shooting. Portland distributed 24 dimes and had 8 steals in this contest. Additionally, Portland collected 48 rebounds (12 offensive, 36 defensive) and earned 5 rejections. Portland finished the game shooting 75.8% when shooting free throws by knocking down 25 of 33 tries. They buried 18 of 43 shots from beyond the arc. In reference to personal fouls, the Bucks finished with 26 and the Trail Blazers accounted for 16 personal fouls.

Bobby Portis is a player who was a major factor in this matchup. Portis ended up going 60.0% from the field and dished out 2 dimes. He was on the court for 27 mins and also grabbed 6 boards. He accumulated 22 points on 9 of 15 shooting.

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Milwaukee steps onto the hardwood with a win-loss mark of 8-10 for the season. They are losing possession via turnover 14.6 times per game and as a unit are committing 22.7 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Milwaukee is pulling in 39.6 rebounds per game and has accumulated 482 dimes for the season, which is 10th in the league in terms of passing. The Bucks are shooting 41.3% on shots beyond the perimeter (278 of 673) and 71.1% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 116.5 pts per game (19th in basketball) while going 49.3% from the field.

Defensively, the Bucks are forcing their opponents into 14.9 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 19.4 fouls. They are giving up 36.0% on 3-pointers while they are 21st in basketball in points per game allowed (119.3). The Bucks are giving up a FG percentage of 47.7% (753 of 1,578) and they surrender 45.7 rebounds per game as a unit. They are ranked 20th in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 479 surrendered so far this season.

When they last stepped on the court, the Heat took home the win by a final score of 106-102 when they played the Mavericks. The Heat corralled 39 defensive boards and 14 offensive boards totaling 53 for this game. They also coughed it up 14 times, while earning 8 steals in this matchup. The Mavericks committed 19 personal fouls in this contest which took the Heat to the free throw line for a total of 24 shots. They were able to make 17 of those for a clip of 70.8%. In regard to shooting from distance, Miami converted 5 of 27 tries (18.5%). When the final whistle blew, the Heat went 42 out of 95 from the floor which gave them a rate of 44.2%. The Heat allowed the Mavericks to convert 38 out of their 97 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 39.2% in the matchup. They shot 30.0% from distance by hitting 12 of 40 and ended up going 14 of 16 at the free throw line (87.5%). In regard to how they cleaned up the glass, Miami allowed Dallas to grab 50 in all (15 offensive).

Tyler Herro ended up being a major contributor for the Heat for the matchup. Herro tallied 24 points in his 29 minutes on the hardwood, but didn't get an assist. He knocked down 12 out of 18 for the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and had 7 rebounds.

Miami has a record of 12-6 this year. The Heat commit 20.9 fouls per game and they shoot 78.4% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 30.2 times per contest (3rd in the league) and they turn it over 14.4 times per game. Miami has accounted for 2,230 points for the season (123.9 per contest) and they average 46.4 boards per contest. As an offense, the Heat are shooting 48.0% from the floor, which has them ranked 11th in basketball.

The Heat are ranked 20th in basketball in points per game surrendered with 117.9. They are forcing 16.0 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.1% from the field (2nd in the league). The Miami defense allows 31.6% on 3-point shots (255 of 806) and their opponents are making 80.6% of their free throw attempts. They have surrendered 26.8 dimes and 49.7 boards per game, which is ranked 16th and 29th in basketball.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Milwaukee

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