Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, 5/10/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors

Date: Saturday, May 10, 2025

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-6.0)

Chase Center is where the Golden State Warriors (48-34) will compete against the Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33) on Saturday in Game 3 of the Western Conference Semifinals. The series is tied at 1 - 1. Golden State opens this game as 6-point underdogs from oddsmakers. The over/under has been set at 201.

The Timberwolves took the court against the Warriors and went home with a win by a final score of 117-93 in Game 2. With respect to personal fouls, the Timberwolves ended up finishing with 22 and the Warriors accumulated 16 personal fouls. They also converted 9 of 32 tries from three-point range. Golden State shot 64.0% at the free throw line by making 16 of 25 shots. Moreover, Golden State collected 42 rebounds (10 offensive, 32 defensive) and added 5 blocked shots. Golden State dished out 23 dimes and had 8 steals for this game. When talking about defending, Minnesota let their opponent shoot 44.7% from the field on 34 of 76 shooting. They also recorded 33 assists in this contest as well as forcing the other team into 20 turnovers and earning 10 steals. In terms of rebounding, they compiled 39 with 11 of them being offensive. At the charity stripe, the Timberwolves buried 13 of their 20 tries for a percentage of 65.0%. Minnesota ended having earned a 50.6% FG percentage (44 out of 87) and converted 16 of 37 3-pointers.

Julius Randle is someone who was a major contributor in this game. He accumulated 24 points on 10 out of 17 shooting. He played for 33 mins played and pulled down 7 rebounds. Randle ended up shooting 58.8% from the field and earned 11 assists.

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Minnesota will enter this game with a record of 49-33 this year. They average 114.3 points per contest (13th in the league) while going 46.8% from the floor. The Timberwolves are connecting on 37.7% on three-point attempts (1,233 of 3,269) and 78.9% from the charity stripe. As a team, Minnesota is grabbing 44.3 boards per contest and has accounted for 2,142 assists for the season, which is 17th in the NBA in terms of passing. They are giving up possession 14.5 times per contest and as a basketball team they commit 18.3 fouls per contest.

Defensively, the Timberwolves are forcing their opponents into 14.7 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.2 personal fouls. They rank 5th in the NBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 2,032 surrendered for the campaign. The Timberwolves defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 46.0% (3,319 of 7,213) and they relinquish 42.9 boards per contest as a group. They surrender 35.3% on shots from distance and they rank 5th in the NBA in opponents PPG (109.3).

In Game 2, with respect to how they cleaned up the glass, Golden State permitted Minnesota to grab 39 in all (11 on the offensive side). They finished shooting 43.2% from 3-point land by shooting 16 of 37 and walked away from this one shooting 13 of 20 from the free throw line (65.0%). The Warriors allowed the Timberwolves to knock down 44 of their 87 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 50.6% in this matchup. When the final whistle was blown, the Warriors walked away from this one shooting 34 out of 76 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 44.7%. Regarding shooting from distance, Golden State buried 9 out of their 32 tries (28.1%). They were able to knock down 16 of them for a rate of 64.0%. The Timberwolves were called for 22 fouls for the matchup which got the Warriors to the charity stripe for 25 shots. They turned it over 20 times, while earning 8 steals for the game. The Warriors collected 32 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards for a total of 42 for the matchup.

Jonathan Kuminga ended up having an impact for the Warriors in this matchup. He converted 8 of 11 in this matchup giving him a rate of 72.7%, and had 5 rebounds. Kuminga earned 18 points in his 26 minutes of playing time and totaled 1 assist for the game.

Golden State has a win-loss record of 48-34 so far this season. The Warriors are committing 19.2 fouls every game while shooting 76.4% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 29.1 times per contest (4th in the NBA) and they turn the ball over 14.0 times per game. Golden State has tallied 9,331 points on the campaign (113.8 per contest) and they collect 45.4 rebounds per contest. As an offense, the Warriors are hitting on 45.1% from the floor, which is 25th in the league.

The Golden State defense gives up 36.3% on shots from distance (1,080 of 2,976) and their opponents are making 76.9% of their free throw shots. They have conceded 25.9 dimes and 44.1 rebounds on a nightly basis, which ranks them 10th and 15th in the NBA. The Warriors on the defensive end are ranked 8th in the NBA in PPG given up with 110.5. They are forcing 15.7 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 46.5% from the field (11th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Golden State (+6.0)

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