Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, 5/12/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors

Date: Monday, May 12, 2025

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (-5.0)

The Golden State Warriors (48-34) will play the Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33) at Chase Center on Monday in Game 4 of the Western Conference Semifinals. Minnesota leads the series 2-1. Golden State opens as 5-point underdogs. The total is set at 199.

The Timberwolves stepped onto the hardwood against the Warriors and earned the victory with a final of 102-97 in Game 3. Minnesota finished with a 43.9% field goal percentage (36 out of 82) and made 13 out of their 34 three-point attempts. At the free throw line, the Timberwolves knocked down 17 of their 21 attempts for a rate of 81.0%. In terms of rebounding, they compiled 44 with 13 of them being offensive. They also distributed 28 dimes for the game as well as forcing 15 turnovers and earning 4 steals. Concerning defense, Minnesota let their opponent shoot 43.2% from the field on 35 of 81 shooting. Golden State dished out 21 dimes and had 6 steals for the matchup. In addition, Golden State snagged 36 boards (12 offensive, 24 defensive) and had 7 blocks. Golden State walked away from this one shooting 81.0% from the charity stripe by burying 17 of their 21 attempts. They buried 10 of their 23 tries from three-point range. When talking about personal fouls, the Timberwolves ended up walking away with 23 and the Warriors had 24 personal fouls.

Anthony Edwards is a guy who was a major contributor in the game. He accounted for 36 points on 13 out of 28 shooting. He played for 44 mins and totaled 4 boards. Edwards walked away from this one shooting 46.4% from the field and dished out 4 assists.

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Minnesota will enter this game with a record of 49-33 so far this year. They are giving up possession 14.5 times per contest and as a basketball team are committing 18.3 fouls per game. As a team, Minnesota is pulling down 44.3 rebounds per game and has racked up 2,142 assists for the season, which is 17th in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. The Timberwolves are shooting 37.7% from downtown (1,233 of 3,269) and 78.9% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 114.3 pts per contest (13th in basketball) while shooting 46.8% from the floor.

When they are on the defensive end, the Timberwolves are able to force 14.7 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 19.2 personal fouls. They are giving up 35.3% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are ranked 5th in the NBA in PPG allowed (109.3). The Timberwolves defense is giving up an opponent FG percentage of 46.0% (3,319 of 7,213) and they surrender 42.9 rebounds per contest as a squad. They are 5th in the NBA in allowing assists with 2,032 relinquished so far this season.

In Game 3, the Warriors were able to pull down 24 defensive boards and 12 offensive boards for a total of 36 in this game. They coughed up the ball 15 times, while getting 6 steals for the game. The Timberwolves earned 23 personal fouls in this matchup which got the Warriors to the charity stripe for 21 shots. They were able to make 17 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 81.0%. In reference to shooting from distance, Golden State buried 10 of their 23 attempts (43.5%). At the conclusion of this game, the Warriors finished shooting 35 out of 81 from the floor which had them at 43.2%. The Warriors allowed the Timberwolves to bury 36 of 82 tries from the field which had them shooting 43.9% for the game. They finished 38.2% from three-point range by going 13 out of 34 and finished the contest at 17 of 21 from the charity stripe (81.0%). When discussing rebounding, Golden State allowed Minnesota to pull down 44 in total (13 on the offensive side).

Jimmy Butler ended up being a major contributor for the Warriors for the contest. Butler totaled 33 points in his 43 mins of playing time and totaled 7 dimes in the matchup. He knocked down 12 of 26 in the game for a field goal percentage of 46.2%, and had 7 rebounds.

Golden State has a record of 48-34 for the campaign. The Warriors commit 19.2 personal fouls per game and they connect on 76.4% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 29.1 times per game (4th in basketball) and they are losing possession via turnover 14.0 times per game. Golden State has accumulated 9,331 points so far this year (113.8 per contest) and they pull down 45.4 rebounds per game. As an offensive unit, the Warriors are hitting on 45.1% from the field, which ranks 25th in the league.

The Warriors on defense are ranked 8th in basketball in PPG surrendered with 110.5. They are forcing 15.7 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 46.5% from the field (11th in the NBA). The Golden State defense allows 36.3% from downtown (1,080 of 2,976) and their opponents are converting on 76.9% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have given up 25.9 dimes and 44.1 rebounds every game, which ranks them 10th and 15th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Golden State (+5.0)

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