Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers Prediction, 4/30/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers

Date: Wednesday, April 30, 2025

Location: Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, CA

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Minnesota (+6.0)

With a 3 - 1 series lead, the Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33) are hitting the road to Crypto.com Arena on Wednesday where they will attempt to defeat the Los Angeles Lakers (50-32) in Game 5 of the Western Conference First Round. Los Angeles opens this game as 6-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is set at 210.

The Timberwolves faced off with the Lakers and went home with a win by a final score of 116-113 in Game 4. When talking about personal fouls, the Timberwolves left the arena with 19 while the Lakers recorded 23 personal fouls. They also knocked down 19 of 47 attempts from 3-point land. Los Angeles finished 88.0% when shooting free throws by converting 22 of 25 attempts. On top of that, Los Angeles pulled down 41 rebounds (11 offensive, 30 defensive) and added 2 blocked shots. Los Angeles distributed 23 dimes and had 6 steals in this matchup. With regard to defense, Minnesota let their opponent shoot 45.0% from the floor on 36 of 80 shooting. They also recorded 19 assists in the matchup while forcing the other team into 12 turnovers and earning 8 steals. In reference to grabbing rebounds, they collected a total of 49 with 18 of them being offensive. At the free throw line, the Timberwolves converted 26 of their 33 attempts for a percentage of 78.8%. Minnesota walked away from the game with a 42.2% field goal percentage (38 of 90) and knocked down 14 of their 36 three-point attempts.

Anthony Edwards is one player who was a contributor for the matchup. Edwards shot 52.2% from the floor and dished out 6 assists. He played 44 mins and snagged 9 boards. He accounted for 43 points on 12 out of 23 shooting.

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Minnesota will play this game with a mark of 49-33 so far this season. They are averaging 114.3 points per outing (13th in the league) while hitting 46.8% from the field. The Timberwolves are connecting on 37.7% on 3-pointers (1,233 of 3,269) and 78.9% from the charity stripe. As a team, Minnesota is grabbing 44.3 boards per contest and has accounted for 2,142 assists for the year, which ranks 17th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. They are giving up possession 14.5 times per game and as a group they are committing 18.3 personal fouls every game.

Defensively, the Timberwolves are forcing 14.7 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 19.2 personal fouls. They rank 5th in the league in giving up assists with 2,032 conceded on the season. The Timberwolves defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 46.0% (3,319 of 7,213) and they surrender 42.9 rebounds per contest as a team. They give up 35.3% on 3-point shots while they are 5th in basketball in points per game allowed (109.3).

In Game 4, The Lakers were able to collect 30 defensive boards and 11 offensive boards for a total of 41 in this matchup. They also gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while recording 6 steals for this contest. The Timberwolves committed 19 fouls in this game which got the Lakers to the charity stripe for a total of 25 shots. They were able to make 22 of them for a percentage of 88.0%. Regarding shots from distance, Los Angeles made 19 out of 47 tries (40.4%). When the final whistle blew, the Lakers went 36 out of 80 from the field which gave them a rate of 45.0%. The Lakers allowed the Timberwolves to convert 38 of their 90 tries from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 42.2% for the game. They shot 38.9% from downtown by shooting 14 out of 36 and ended up going 26 out of 33 at the free throw line (78.8%). Concerning cleaning up the glass, Los Angeles allowed Minnesota to pull down 49 overall (18 on the offensive glass).

Luka Doncic was important for the Lakers in this game. He buried 13 of 28 in this contest for a field goal percentage of 46.4%, and earned 1 rebound. Doncic earned 38 points in his 46 minutes on the court and had 2 dimes in this contest.

Los Angeles has a mark of 50-32 this season. When it comes to offensive execution, the Lakers are hitting on 47.9% from the field, which is 9th in basketball. Los Angeles has earned 9,298 pts so far this year (113.4 per contest) and they grab 42.4 rebounds per game. They are earning an assist 26.0 times per contest (18th in the league) and they lose possession via turnover 14.0 times per contest. The Lakers are responsible for committing 17.3 fouls every game and they shoot 78.5% from the free throw line.

The Los Angeles defense gives up 35.6% on shots from beyond the arc (1,112 of 3,124) and opponents are connecting on 77.5% of their free throw attempts. They relinquish 27.3 dimes and 43.0 rebounds per game, which ranks them 22nd and 9th in the NBA. The Lakers on defense are ranked 10th in basketball in points per game surrendered with 112.2. They are forcing their opponents into 13.7 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 46.3% from the floor (10th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Los Angeles (-6.0)

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