New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, 5/31/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers

Date: Saturday, May 31, 2025

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: New York (+4.0)

With a 3 - 2 series lead, the Indiana Pacers (50-32) will try to defeat the New York Knicks (51-31) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Saturday in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals. New York is 4-point dogs. The betting total comes in at 220.

The Knicks took home the win by a score of 111-94 in Game 5. Concerning fouls, the Knicks finished with 22 while the Pacers accumulated 22 fouls. They made 10 of their 30 tries from 3-point range. Indiana finished the game at 82.8% at the charity stripe by making 24 of 29 tries. Moreover, Indiana pulled down 40 boards (8 offensive, 32 defensive) and had 3 blocks. Indiana recorded 20 assists and had 10 steals in this contest. Pertaining to defending, New York allowed the other team to go 40.5% from the field on 30 out of 74 shooting. They also recorded 22 assists in this game while creating 20 turnovers and getting 11 steals. In relation to getting rebounds, they collected a total of 45 with 11 of them being offensive. From the free throw line, the Knicks made 15 of their 22 attempts for a percentage of 68.2%. New York ended having earned a 49.4% FG percentage (44 of 89) and buried 8 out of their 29 shots from 3-point land.

Jalen Brunson is one player who was a major factor in this matchup. He accounted for 32 points on 12 out of 18 shooting. He saw the court for 34 minutes and totaled 5 rebounds. Brunson finished shooting 66.7% from the floor and also dished out 5 assists.

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New York will play this contest with a mark of 51-31 for the year. They lose possession via turnover 13.3 times per contest and as a unit they are committing 17.2 fouls every game. As a team, New York is pulling down 42.6 boards per game and has earned 2,254 dimes for the season, which is 11th in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Knicks are hitting 36.9% from downtown (1,031 of 2,794) and 80.0% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 115.8 points per outing (9th in the NBA) while hitting 48.6% from the floor.

When they are on the defensive end, the Knicks are able to force 14.5 turnovers per contest and they draw 19.0 personal fouls. They rank 7th in basketball in giving up assists with 2,069 relinquished this season. The Knicks defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 47.4% (3,411 of 7,192) and they surrender 41.8 rebounds per game as a group. They are giving up 36.7% from beyond the arc while they are 9th in the league in points per game from their opponents (111.7).

In Game 5, the Pacers corralled 32 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive rebounds totaling 40 for the contest. They gave up possession 20 times, while getting 10 steals in the game. The Knicks were called for 22 personal fouls in the game which got the Pacers to the charity stripe for a total of 29 tries. They were able to make 24 of those for a rate of 82.8%. When talking about three-point shots, Indiana knocked down 10 of 30 attempts (33.3%). When the final whistle blew, the Pacers walked away from this one shooting 30 out of 74 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 40.5%. The Pacers permitted the Knicks to make 44 out of their 89 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 49.4% in the matchup. They finished shooting 27.6% from 3-point land by connecting on 8 of 29 and finished the game at 15 of 22 at the charity stripe (68.2%). In the matter of how they cleaned up the glass, Indiana permitted New York to grab 45 in all (11 on the offensive side).

Bennedict Mathurin ended up being a major contributor for the Pacers in this matchup. Mathurin tallied 23 points in his 25 mins on the hardwood, but didn't get an assist. He knocked down 6 out of 10 in this contest for a field goal rate of 60.0%, and had 9 rebounds.

Indiana has a win-loss record of 50-32 this season. The Pacers are responsible for committing 18.7 fouls per game and they shoot 78.9% from the free throw line. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 29.2 times per game (3rd in the league) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 13.2 times per contest. Indiana has earned 9,624 pts for the year (117.4 per contest) and they grab 41.8 boards per contest. When it comes to offense, the Pacers are shooting 48.8% from the floor, which is ranked 3rd in basketball.

The Indiana defense allows 35.5% on 3-pointers (1,058 of 2,978) and opponents are knocking down 77.3% of their shots from the charity stripe. They concede 26.0 dimes and 45.0 boards per game, which ranks 12th and 22nd in the league. The Pacers on defense are ranked 17th in the NBA in points given up per game with 115.1. They are forcing 15.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 47.4% from the floor (23rd in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Indiana (-4.0)

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