Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 10/27/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Monday, October 27, 2025

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: KFAA

American Airlines Center is where the Dallas Mavericks (0-2) will go up against the Oklahoma City Thunder (3-0) on Monday.

The Thunder faced the Hawks and took home the win by a score of 117-100 in their last game. Oklahoma City finished the game with a 46.2% field goal percentage (43 out of 93) and knocked down 14 of their 37 shots from downtown. When they shot from the free throw line, the Thunder made 17 of 19 tries for a percentage of 89.5%. In terms of hauling in rebounds, they compiled 53 with 15 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 21 assists for this contest while forcing the other team into 17 turnovers and earning 13 steals. In relation to the defense, Oklahoma City allowed the other team to go 41.2% from the field on 35 out of 85 shooting. Atlanta earned 25 dimes and had 7 steals for this contest. On top of that, Atlanta grabbed 46 rebounds (9 offensive, 37 defensive) and earned 3 blocks. Atlanta finished the game shooting 66.7% at the free throw line by making 14 of their 21 tries. They also buried 16 out of their 39 attempts from 3-point land. With respect to personal fouls, the Thunder ended up finishing with 19 and the Hawks racked up 23 personal fouls.

Chet Holmgren is one player who was a major contributor in this contest. He finished with 31 points on 8 of 12 shooting. He played for 27 mins and also grabbed 11 rebounds. Holmgren finished the game shooting 66.7% from the floor and also recorded 1 assist.

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Oklahoma City steps onto the court with a mark of 3-0 so far this season. They are averaging 127.7 points per contest (4th in the NBA) while shooting 45.2% from the field. The Thunder are shooting 29.8% on shots from downtown (37 of 124) and 86.3% from the charity stripe. As a team, Oklahoma City is pulling down 49.3 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 67 dimes so far this season, which ranks 5th in basketball in terms of passing. They lose possession via turnover 13.0 times per contest and as a group are committing 26.3 fouls on a nightly basis.

On defense, the Thunder are able to force 18.7 turnovers per contest while drawing 28.7 personal fouls. They give up 33.1% on shots from distance and they are ranked 15th in the league in PPG allowed (119.7). The Thunder defense is giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 43.2% (124 of 287) and they concede 51.0 boards per contest as a group. They currently rank 25th in the NBA in giving up assists to the opposition with 69 conceded so far this season.

In their last game, the Mavericks took a loss by a score of 117-107 against the Wizards. When it comes to rebounding, Dallas permitted Washington to collect 45 in total (17 offensive). They went 41.7% from 3-point land by shooting 15 out of 36 and walked away from this one shooting 20 out of 29 from the free throw line (69.0%). The Mavericks permitted the Wizards to bury 41 of their 90 tries from the floor which had them sitting at 45.6% for this game. When the game finished, the Mavericks finished 38 for 88 from the field which had them at 43.2%. Concerning three-point attempts, Dallas knocked down 10 of 34 tries (29.4%). They were able to make 21 of them for a percentage of 77.8%. The Wizards committed 24 personal fouls in this contest which got the Mavericks to the charity stripe for a total of 27 attempts. They also gave up possession of the ball 21 times, while getting 11 steals in the game. The Mavericks were able to pull down 33 defensive boards and 15 offensive boards totaling 48 in this game.

Anthony Davis was important for the Mavericks in this contest. Davis racked up 27 points in his 38 minutes on the court and had 4 dimes in this matchup. He knocked down 9 of 19 in this matchup giving him a rate of 47.4%, and tallied 13 rebounds.

Dallas has a win-loss mark of 0-2 for the campaign. The Mavericks commit 21.5 fouls every game and they shoot 79.2% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 21.5 times per game (27th in the NBA) and they turn it over 18.5 times per contest. Dallas has scored 199 points for the season (99.5 per contest) and they grab 42.5 rebounds per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Mavericks are hitting on 40.4% from the field, which ranks them 30th in the league.

The Dallas defense concedes 41.1% on shots from behind the 3-point line (23 of 56) and their opponents are knocking down 64.9% of their free throw shots. They have conceded 25.5 dimes and 49.0 rebounds per game, which is 16th and 23rd in the NBA. The Mavericks on defense are ranked 22nd in basketball in PPG given up with 121.0. They are forcing 16.0 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 51.4% from the floor (27th in the NBA).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Oklahoma City

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