Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, 1/2/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors

Date: Friday, January 2, 2026

Location: Chase Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: Prime Video

The Oklahoma City Thunder (27-5) are hitting the road to Chase Center on Friday where they will attempt to defeat the Golden State Warriors (16-16).

The Thunder faced the 76ers and took home the win by a score of 129-104 in their last contest. Oklahoma City finished the game with a 57.5% field goal percentage (50 out of 87) and knocked down 10 of their 28 three-point attempts. When they shot from the free throw line, the Thunder knocked down 19 of 25 attempts for a rate of 76.0%. With respect to rebounding, they collected 35 with 9 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 27 assists for the game while forcing 23 turnovers and having 12 steals. In the matter of defense, Oklahoma City allowed their opponent to shoot 42.2% from the field on 35 of 83 shooting. Philadelphia totaled 21 dimes and had 5 steals in the matchup. On top of that, Philadelphia collected 38 rebounds (13 offensive, 25 defensive) and earned 6 rejections. Philadelphia shot 81.0% at the charity stripe by making 17 of 21 tries. They converted 17 of 43 tries from long range. When it comes to fouls, the Thunder walked away with 18 and the 76ers accounted for 22 fouls.

Chet Holmgren is a guy who was important for this contest. Holmgren ended up shooting 70.6% from the floor and also distributed 1 assist. He played 29 mins played and grabbed 9 boards. He had 29 points on 12 out of 17 shooting.

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Oklahoma City comes into this one with a win-loss mark of 27-5 this season. They currently have an average of 121.5 points per outing (2nd in the NBA) while going 49.2% from the floor. The Thunder are shooting 36.8% on shots beyond the perimeter (436 of 1,184) and 83.1% from the free throw line. As a team, Oklahoma City is grabbing 44.4 boards per game and has racked up 826 dimes this year, which ranks 15th in the league in terms of passing. They lose possession via turnover 12.6 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 20.8 fouls on a nightly basis.

On the defensive end of the court, the Thunder are able to force 18.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 21.0 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 3rd in the NBA in allowing assists to the opposition with 764 surrendered for the year. The Thunder defensively are allowing a FG percentage of 43.3% (1,197 of 2,763) and they relinquish 43.8 rebounds per game as a squad. They are conceding 37.0% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 1st in the NBA in opponents points per game (107.3).

When they last stepped on the court, the Warriors took a loss by a score of 141-127 against the Raptors. The Warriors snagged 28 defensive boards and 14 offensive boards totaling 42 in this game. They also turned the ball over 21 times, while getting 9 steals in this matchup. The Raptors committed 26 personal fouls in this matchup which got the Warriors to the free throw line for 28 attempts. They were able to make 25 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 89.3%. When talking about shots from downtown, Golden State made 16 of their 44 attempts (36.4%). When the final whistle blew, the Warriors finished the game shooting 43 for 96 from the floor which gave them a rate of 44.8%. The Warriors allowed the Raptors to convert 56 out of their 110 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 50.9% in this contest. They finished 31.0% from three-point range by going 13 out of 42 and ended up shooting 16 of 18 at the free throw line (88.9%). When talking about how they rebounded, Golden State permitted Toronto to get 55 in all (18 on the offensive side).

Stephen Curry ended up being a factor for the Warriors in the matchup. Curry tallied 39 points in his 41 mins on the court and tallied 4 assists in this contest. He made 12 out of 30 for this game for a rate of 40.0%, and accounted for 3 rebounds.

Golden State has a win-loss record of 16-16 on the season. As an offense, the Warriors are shooting 45.1% from the floor, which ranks 26th in the league. Golden State has totaled 3,678 points for the season (114.9 per game) and they collect 43.9 boards per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 27.9 times per game (8th in the NBA) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 16.2 times per game. The Warriors are responsible for committing 20.9 personal fouls per contest and they shoot 82.0% from the free throw line.

The Golden State defense gives up 33.8% on 3-pointers (378 of 1,118) and opponents are connecting on 80.0% of their free throw shots. They surrender 25.6 assists and 45.4 rebounds per game, which is 11th and 22nd in basketball. The Warriors are ranked 6th in the league in PPG allowed with 113.3. They are forcing 15.8 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 46.4% from the field (10th in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Oklahoma City

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