Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, 10/23/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers

Date: Thursday, October 23, 2025

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

TV: ESPN

Odds/Point Spread: Oklahoma City (-8.5)

The Indiana Pacers (50-32 last season) will compete against the Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14 last year) at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Thursday. Oklahoma City opens as 8.5-point favorites from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is set at 228.5.

The Thunder took the court against the Rockets and earned the victory with a final of 125-124 in their last contest. Oklahoma City wrapped up the contest having earned a 44.2% field goal percentage (46 of 104) and buried 13 out of their 52 3-point shots. At the free throw line, the Thunder converted 20 of 25 attempts for a percentage of 80.0%. In terms of grabbing boards, they earned 38 with 11 of them being of the offensive sort. They also recorded 29 assists in this matchup while forcing 25 turnovers and having 12 steals. In reference to defense, Oklahoma City allowed the other team to go 44.3% from the floor on 43 of 97 shooting. Houston totaled 23 assists and had 6 steals in the game. Moreover, Houston had 52 rebounds (16 offensive, 36 defensive) and had 4 blocks. Houston ended up shooting 87.1% at the charity stripe by making 27 of their 31 attempts. They made 11 of their 39 tries from long range. In relation to personal fouls, the Thunder walked away with 27 and the Rockets finished the game with 26 personal fouls.

Alex Caruso is one guy who was a factor in the game. Caruso shot 33.3% from the field and distributed 3 dimes. He played 30 minutes and grabbed 2 boards. He walked away with 8 points on 3 of 9 shooting.

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Oklahoma City will play this game after finishing with a win-loss mark of 68-14 last season. They turned the ball over 11.7 times per game and as a basketball team committed 19.9 fouls per contest. As a group, Oklahoma City grabbed 44.8 boards per game and totaled 2,202 assists last year, which was 12th in the NBA in terms of passing. The Thunder connected on 37.4% on shots from distance (1,192 of 3,184) and 81.9% from the free throw line. They averaged 120.5 pts per game (4th in the NBA) while connecting on 48.2% from the floor.

Defensively, the Thunder were able to force 17.0 turnovers per game and they drew 18.1 personal fouls. They were ranked 4th in the NBA in giving up assists to their opponents with 2,018 surrendered last season. The Thunder defensively gave up an opponent shooting percentage of 43.6% (3,109 of 7,130) and they conceded 44.9 rebounds per game as a group. They surrendered 34.2% on three-point shots while they were 3rd in the NBA in PPG allowed (107.6).

The last time they took the court, the Pacers went home defeated by a final of 103-91 against the Thunder. When it comes to attacking the glass, Indiana allowed Oklahoma City to pull down 40 overall (13 offensive). They finished the game shooting 27.5% from distance by connecting on 11 out of 40 and finished the contest at 22 out of 31 at the free throw line (71.0%). The Pacers permitted the Thunder to bury 35 of 87 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 40.2% in this contest. In all, the Pacers walked away from this one shooting 29 out of 70 from the field which gave them a percentage of 41.4%. With respect to 3-pointers, Indiana buried 11 of their 28 attempts (39.3%). They were able to convert 22 of the free throws for a rate of 75.9%. The Thunder earned 23 personal fouls in the game which got the Pacers to the charity stripe for a total of 29 attempts. They also gave up possession 23 times, while recording 6 steals in this game. The Pacers were able to pull down 33 defensive boards and 12 offensive rebounds totaling 45 in the game.

Bennedict Mathurin ended up having an impact for the Pacers for the game. He made 6 of 14 in this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 42.9%, and had 13 rebounds. Mathurin had 24 points in his 33 mins on the court and had 3 assists in this matchup.

Indiana had a mark of 50-32 last year. The Pacers committed 18.7 fouls per game and they connected on 78.9% from the charity stripe. Their rate of earning assists was at 29.2 times per game (3rd in basketball) and they gave up possession 13.2 times per contest. Indiana tallied 9,624 pts last season (117.4 per contest) and they averaged 41.8 rebounds per game. As an offensive team, the Pacers hit 48.8% from the floor, which had them ranked 3rd in the league.

The Indiana defense gave up 35.5% on 3-pointers (1,058 of 2,978) and their opponents connected on 77.3% of their foul shots. They relinquished 26.0 assists and 45.0 boards per game, which ranked them 12th and 22nd in basketball. The Pacers on defense were ranked 17th in the league in points per game surrendered with 115.1. They were able to force 15.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and allowed teams to shoot 47.4% from the field (23rd in the league).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Oklahoma City (-8.5)

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