Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction, 6/13/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers

Date: Friday, June 13, 2025

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Oklahoma City (-6.0)

With a 2 - 1 series deficit, the Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14) are en route to Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Friday where they will play the Indiana Pacers (50-32) in Game 4 of the NBA Finals. Indiana opens this matchup as 6-point dogs from Vegas oddsmakers. The total is 226.

The Thunder faced off with the Pacers and took a loss by a final of 116-107 in Game 3. Oklahoma City ended the game having earned a 46.8% field goal percentage (37 of 79) and converted 10 of their 22 shots from 3-point land. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Thunder converted 23 of their 30 shots for a percentage of 76.7%. Regarding pulling down rebounds, they earned a total of 42 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 16 dimes in this matchup as well as forcing 14 turnovers and having 6 steals. In regard to the defense, Oklahoma City allowed the other team to go 51.8% from the floor on 44 of 85 shooting. Indiana distributed 24 assists and had 13 steals in this matchup. Moreover, Indiana snagged 36 boards (7 offensive, 29 defensive) and added 4 blocks. Indiana walked away from this one shooting 86.4% from the charity stripe by converting 19 of 22 tries. They knocked down 9 out of their 27 shots from long range. In reference to fouls, the Thunder left the arena with 20 and the Pacers racked up 24 fouls.

Jalen Williams is a player who was a major contributor for this contest. He left the arena with 26 points on 9 of 18 shooting. He played for 36 minutes and snagged 6 boards. Williams finished the game at 50.0% from the floor and also distributed 3 dimes.

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Oklahoma City enters this matchup with a record of 68-14 for the year. They average 120.5 points per game (4th in basketball) on 48.2% from the field. The Thunder are connecting on 37.4% on shots from beyond the arc (1,192 of 3,184) and 81.9% from the free throw line. As a team, Oklahoma City is grabbing 44.8 boards per game and is sitting with 2,202 assists on the year, which has them ranked 12th in the NBA in terms of passing the rock. They are losing possession via turnover 11.7 times per contest and as a squad they are committing 19.9 fouls every game.

Defensively, the Thunder have forced 17.0 turnovers per contest while drawing 18.1 fouls. They are relinquishing 34.2% on shots from distance and they are 3rd in the NBA in points per game allowed (107.6). The Thunder defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 43.6% (3,109 of 7,130) and they surrender 44.9 rebounds per game as a team. They currently rank 4th in basketball in allowing assists to the opposition with 2,018 relinquished this year.

In Game 3, the Pacers were able to collect 29 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive boards for a total of 36 in this matchup. They gave up possession of the ball 14 times, while getting 13 steals in the game. The Thunder were called for 20 personal fouls for the game which took the Pacers to the free throw line for a total of 22 attempts. They were able to make 19 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 86.4%. Pertaining to 3-point shots, Indiana converted 9 of 27 attempts (33.3%). When the final whistle was blown, the Pacers walked away from this one shooting 44 for 85 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 51.8%. The Pacers allowed the Thunder to convert 37 of their 79 tries from the field which had them sitting at 46.8% for this game. They finished shooting 45.5% from three-point range by going 10 out of 22 and ended up shooting 23 of 30 at the free throw line (76.7%). When it comes to team rebounding, Indiana allowed Oklahoma City to collect 42 overall (9 on the offensive glass).

Bennedict Mathurin pitched in for the Pacers in the game. He made 9 out of 12 for the contest for a rate of 75.0%, and had 4 rebounds. Mathurin racked up 27 points in his 22 minutes on the court and added 1 assist in this contest.

Indiana has a mark of 50-32 this year. As an offensive unit, the Pacers are hitting on 48.8% from the floor, which is ranked 3rd in the league. Indiana has scored 9,624 points on the campaign (117.4 per game) and they pull down 41.8 boards per contest. They are assisting teammates 29.2 times per game (3rd in the NBA) and they are turning it over 13.2 times per contest. The Pacers have committed 18.7 fouls every game and they connect on 78.9% from the charity stripe.

The Indiana defense surrenders 35.5% on 3-pointers (1,058 of 2,978) and their opponents are converting on 77.3% of their shots from the free throw line. They have surrendered 26.0 assists and 45.0 rebounds per contest, which is 12th and 22nd in the league. The Pacers on defense are ranked 17th in the NBA in points allowed per contest with 115.1. They are able to force 15.0 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 47.4% from the field (23rd in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Indiana (+6.0)

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