Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction, 4/26/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies

Date: Saturday, April 26, 2025

Location: FedExForum in Memphis, TN

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Oklahoma City (-15.0)

With a series lead of 3 - 0, the Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14) are traveling to FedExForum on Saturday where they will meet the Memphis Grizzlies (48-34) in Game 4 of the Western Conference First Round. Oklahoma City opens this contest as 15-point favorites. The over/under is set at 224.

The Thunder faced the Grizzlies and took home the win by a score of 114-108 in Game 3. When it comes to fouls, the Thunder ended up with 23 while the Grizzlies finished the game with 23 fouls. They also converted 14 of their 42 shots from long range. Memphis finished shooting 84.6% when shooting free throws by making 22 of their 26 tries. On top of that, Memphis grabbed 41 rebounds (9 offensive, 32 defensive) and had 4 rejections. Memphis distributed 23 dimes and had 9 steals in this game. When it comes to defending, Oklahoma City allowed their opponent to shoot 43.4% from the field on 36 of 83 shooting. They also recorded 24 assists in the game while forcing 16 turnovers and having 10 steals. With regard to hauling in rebounds, they compiled 43 with 12 of them being of the offensive variety. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Thunder buried 23 of 33 tries for a rate of 69.7%. Oklahoma City walked away from the game with a 45.3% FG percentage (39 of 86) and made 13 out of their 38 3-pointers.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is one guy who was a factor for the contest. He ended up scoring 31 points on 10 out of 26 shooting. He played for 40 mins and also totaled 4 rebounds. Gilgeous-Alexander walked away from this one shooting 38.5% from the field and totaled 8 dimes.

Get all of our NBA Picks Tonight

Oklahoma City heads into this contest with a mark of 68-14 for the campaign. They are averaging 120.5 points per outing (4th in the league) while hitting 48.2% from the field. The Thunder are shooting 37.4% on 3-pointers (1,192 of 3,184) and 81.9% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Oklahoma City is pulling down 44.8 boards per contest and has accounted for 2,202 dimes for the campaign, which has them ranked 12th in the league in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession via turnover 11.7 times per game and as a squad they are committing 19.9 fouls every game.

On the defensive end, the Thunder are able to force 17.0 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.1 personal fouls. They concede 34.2% from beyond the arc and they rank 3rd in the league in opponents points per game (107.6). The Thunder are allowing a field goal percentage of 43.6% (3,109 of 7,130) and they concede 44.9 boards per game as a team. They are 4th in the league in giving up assists to their opponents with 2,018 relinquished on the season.

In Game 3, the Grizzlies recorded 32 defensive boards and 9 offensive boards for a total of 41 for this game. They turned the ball over 16 times, while getting 9 steals for the contest. The Thunder committed 23 fouls in this contest which took the Grizzlies to the charity stripe for a total of 26 shots. They were able to bury 22 of the free throw tries for a rate of 84.6%. Pertaining to shots from downtown, Memphis converted 14 of their 42 attempts (33.3%). When the final whistle was blown, the Grizzlies finished the game shooting 36 out of 83 from the field which gave them a percentage of 43.4%. The Grizzlies permitted the Thunder to convert 39 of their 86 tries from the floor which had them sitting at 45.3% in the game. They finished the game shooting 34.2% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 13 out of 38 and ended up shooting 23 out of 33 from the free throw line (69.7%). Concerning how they cleaned up the glass, Memphis allowed Oklahoma City to snag 43 in all (12 offensive).

Scotty Pippen Jr. ended up being a major contributor for the Grizzlies in this game. Pippen racked up 28 points in his 38 mins of playing time and totaled 5 assists for the game. He knocked down 8 out of 16 for the contest for a field goal rate of 50.0%, and tallied 5 rebounds.

Memphis has a win-loss mark of 48-34 for the campaign. The Grizzlies commit 20.9 personal fouls per contest and they connect on 78.6% from the free throw line. They are getting an assist 28.4 times per contest (8th in basketball) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 15.7 times per game. Memphis has tallied 9,980 points on the campaign (121.7 per contest) and they snag 47.3 boards per game. On the offensive side of the court, the Grizzlies are hitting on 47.9% from the field, which has them ranked 8th in basketball.

The Grizzlies on defense are ranked 24th in the league in points given up per game with 116.9. They are forcing their opponents into 15.1 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 45.6% from the field (4th in the NBA). The Memphis defense gives up 36.0% from downtown (1,162 of 3,230) and their opponents are converting on 77.0% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have given up 27.0 dimes and 43.5 boards every game, which has them ranked 18th and 10th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Memphis (+15.0)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here