Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, 12/19/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Date: Friday, December 19, 2025

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Prime Video

Target Center is where the Minnesota Timberwolves (17-10) will try to defeat the Oklahoma City Thunder (24-2) on Friday.

The Thunder faced off with the Spurs and took a loss by a score of 111-109 in their last game. Oklahoma City wrapped up the contest with a 41.3% field goal percentage (38 out of 92) and converted 9 of 37 three-point shots. From the charity stripe, the Thunder knocked down 24 of 27 attempts for a rate of 88.9%. In reference to getting rebounds, they earned a total of 51 with 14 of them being of the offensive variety. They also dished out 20 assists for the contest as well as forcing 19 turnovers and getting 13 steals. In reference to defense, Oklahoma City allowed the other team to go 41.1% from the field on 37 of 90 shooting. San Antonio earned 21 dimes and had 9 steals for the contest. In addition, San Antonio collected 52 rebounds (15 offensive, 37 defensive) and added 4 blocked shots. San Antonio ended up going 75.0% at the free throw line by knocking down 24 of their 32 attempts. They also made 13 out of their 42 attempts from distance. In regard to personal fouls, the Thunder left the arena with 25 and the Spurs accumulated 23 personal fouls.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a player who came through in this matchup. Gilgeous-Alexander finished the game shooting 52.2% from the field and earned 5 assists. He saw the court for 37 minutes and totaled 4 rebounds. He ended up finishing with 29 points on 12 out of 23 shooting.

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Oklahoma City will enter this contest with a win-loss record of 24-2 for the season. They are averaging 123.1 points per game (2nd in the league) while connecting on 49.7% from the field. The Thunder are shooting 37.6% on shots from distance (364 of 968) and 83.4% from the free throw line. As a unit, Oklahoma City is collecting 44.8 rebounds per game and has earned 689 assists for the campaign, which has them ranked 12th in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. They cough up possession 12.8 times per game and as a basketball team they are committing 21.0 personal fouls every game.

On the defensive end, the Thunder are forcing their opponents into 17.9 turnovers every game and they draw 21.8 fouls. They concede 36.5% on 3-pointers while they are 1st in the NBA in points per game allowed (106.3). The Thunder are allowing a field goal percentage of 42.6% (965 of 2,265) and they relinquish 43.4 rebounds per contest as a group. They rank 3rd in the NBA in giving up assists with 618 surrendered this season.

For their last game, the Timberwolves walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 116-110 against the Grizzlies. Regarding rebounding, Minnesota permitted Memphis to pull down 54 in total (15 offensive). They finished 32.4% from beyond the perimeter by going 11 of 34 and ended up shooting 21 out of 25 from the free throw line (84.0%). The Timberwolves allowed the Grizzlies to knock down 42 of 96 tries from the floor which had them at 43.8% for this game. When the final whistle blew, the Timberwolves finished the game shooting 39 out of 98 from the field which had them shooting 39.8%. In terms of shots from distance, Minnesota buried 13 out of 44 tries (29.5%). They were able to make 19 of them for a rate of 70.4%. The Grizzlies were called for 25 fouls in the matchup which got the Timberwolves to the free throw line for a total of 27 attempts. They also gave up possession 18 times, while getting 11 steals for the matchup. The Timberwolves pulled down 36 defensive rebounds and 16 offensive rebounds for a total of 52 in this contest.

Julius Randle ended up having an impact for the Timberwolves in this contest. Randle had 21 points in his 35 mins on the court and tallied 3 assists in the matchup. He converted 9 of 21 in this game giving him a rate of 42.9%, and totaled 5 rebounds.

Minnesota has a win-loss mark of 17-10 so far this year. As an offense, the Timberwolves are shooting 48.3% from the field, which has them ranked 9th in the NBA. Minnesota has tallied 3,225 points for the season (119.4 per contest) and they average 43.9 rebounds per game. They are assisting teammates 26.6 times per contest (12th in the NBA) and they are turning it over 15.0 times per contest. The Timberwolves are responsible for committing 22.6 personal fouls per contest and they connect on 76.8% from the free throw line.

The Minnesota defense gives up 35.4% on shots from beyond the arc (323 of 912) and their opponents are connecting on 77.2% of their free throw shots. They give up 25.0 assists and 43.0 boards on a nightly basis, which is 8th and 12th in the NBA. The Timberwolves are ranked 10th in the NBA in PPG given up with 114.6. They are able to force 14.6 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.2% from the field (8th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Oklahoma City

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