Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, 5/24/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Date: Saturday, May 24, 2025

Location: Target Center in Minneapolis, MN

TV: ABC

Odds/Point Spread: Oklahoma City (-3.0)

Up 2 - 0 in the series, the Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14) are traveling to Target Center on Saturday where they will try to defeat the Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33) in Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals. Minnesota is 3-point underdogs. The over/under comes in at 219.

The Thunder took the court against the Timberwolves and took home the win by a score of 114-88 in Game 2. Concerning fouls, the Thunder finished with 22 while the Timberwolves recorded 22 fouls. They buried 15 of 51 shots from beyond the perimeter. Minnesota shot 71.4% at the free throw line by making 15 of their 21 tries. Furthermore, Minnesota snagged 42 rebounds (12 offensive, 30 defensive) and added 3 blocked shots. Minnesota earned 18 assists and had 5 steals in this game. With respect to the defense, Oklahoma City allowed the other team to go 34.9% from the field on 29 of 83 shooting. They also doled out 27 assists for the game while forcing 19 turnovers and earning 13 steals. In regard to rebounding, they earned 46 with 9 of them being offensive. When they shot from the free throw line, the Thunder converted 21 of 26 tries for a percentage of 80.8%. Oklahoma City wrapped up the game with a 50.0% field goal percentage (41 of 82) and made 11 out of their 21 shots from downtown.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is one guy who was a factor in this matchup. Gilgeous-Alexander ended up going 37.0% from the field and distributed 9 assists. He played for 38 minutes and collected 5 boards. He ended up walking away with 31 points on 10 out of 27 shooting.

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Oklahoma City heads into this one with a mark of 68-14 so far this season. They average 120.5 points per game (4th in the league) on 48.2% from the field. The Thunder are shooting 37.4% on shots beyond the perimeter (1,192 of 3,184) and 81.9% from the charity stripe. As a team, Oklahoma City is grabbing 44.8 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 2,202 assists this year, which is 12th in the NBA in terms of passing. They cough up possession 11.7 times per game and as a unit are committing 19.9 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

Defensively, the Thunder are able to force 17.0 turnovers per contest and they draw 18.1 fouls. They are currently ranked 4th in basketball in allowing assists with 2,018 relinquished this year. The Thunder are giving up a shooting percentage of 43.6% (3,109 of 7,130) and they surrender 44.9 boards per game as a basketball team. They concede 34.2% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 3rd in the league in PPG allowed (107.6).

In Game 2, when talking about cleaning the glass, Minnesota allowed Oklahoma City to collect 46 in total (9 on the offensive glass). They finished the game shooting 52.4% from 3-point land by going 11 of 21 and ended up shooting 21 out of 26 at the charity stripe (80.8%). The Timberwolves allowed the Thunder to make 41 of 82 tries from the floor which had them shooting 50.0% for the contest. When this game wrapped up, the Timberwolves finished the game shooting 29 out of 83 from the field which gave them a rate of 34.9%. Concerning shots from 3-point land, Minnesota made 15 of their 51 tries (29.4%). They were able to make 15 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 71.4%. The Thunder earned 22 personal fouls for the game which got the Timberwolves to the free throw line for 21 attempts. They gave up possession 19 times, while getting 5 steals in the game. The Timberwolves pulled down 30 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive boards totaling 42 for the matchup.

Julius Randle pitched in for the Timberwolves for this contest. Randle scored 28 points in his 36 minutes on the hardwood and had 1 assist for the matchup. He converted 9 of 13 for this game for a rate of 69.2%, and added 8 rebounds.

Minnesota has a record of 49-33 this season. As an offensive unit, the Timberwolves are hitting on 46.8% from the field, which has them ranked 16th in the NBA. Minnesota has accounted for 9,372 points for the year (114.3 per contest) and they average 44.3 rebounds per contest. They are earning an assist 26.1 times per game (17th in basketball) and they cough up possession 14.5 times per game. The Timberwolves are committing 18.3 fouls per game and they go 78.9% from the free throw line.

The Timberwolves on defense are ranked 5th in basketball in points allowed per game with 109.3. They are able to force 14.7 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 46.0% from the floor (7th in basketball). The Minnesota defense surrenders 35.3% on three-point shots (1,040 of 2,949) and their opposition makes 76.7% of their shots from the charity stripe. They surrender 24.8 dimes and 42.9 boards per contest, which ranks 5th and 8th in the league.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (+3.0)

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