Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, 1/1/2026 Preview and Pick

Game: Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks

Date: Thursday, January 1, 2026

Location: American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX

TV: KFAA

American Airlines Center is where the Dallas Mavericks (12-21) will try to defeat the Philadelphia 76ers (16-14) on Thursday.

The 76ers faced the Thunder and ended up losing by a score of 129-104 in their last contest. With respect to personal fouls, the 76ers ended up with 22 and the Thunder racked up 18 personal fouls. They made 10 of 28 tries from beyond the perimeter. Oklahoma City finished the contest at 76.0% at the charity stripe by burying 19 of their 25 attempts. In addition, Oklahoma City had 35 rebounds (9 offensive, 26 defensive) and got 5 blocked shots. Oklahoma City totaled 27 dimes and had 12 steals in the game. In reference to defending, Philadelphia allowed the other team to go 57.5% from the field on 50 out of 87 shooting. They also distributed 21 dimes in this matchup as well as forcing 14 turnovers and having 5 steals. In the matter of rebounding, they collected 38 with 13 of them being of the offensive variety. From the free throw line, the 76ers buried 17 of their 21 tries for a percentage of 81.0%. Philadelphia finished with a 42.2% FG percentage (35 of 83) and made 17 of their 43 3-point shots.

Tyrese Maxey is someone who came through in the game. He had 28 points on 10 of 18 shooting. He was on the court for 36 minutes played and pulled down 2 boards. Maxey finished shooting 55.6% from the floor and also totaled 5 dimes.

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Philadelphia steps onto the court with a mark of 16-14 on the year. They cough up possession 14.4 times per contest and as a team they commit 20.8 fouls per contest. As a unit, Philadelphia is grabbing 44.9 rebounds per game and has racked up 740 dimes this year, which has them ranked 28th in basketball in terms of passing the rock. The 76ers are hitting 35.8% on 3-point shots (403 of 1,125) and 81.7% from the charity stripe. They currently have an average of 115.7 points per game (17th in basketball) while shooting 44.6% from the field.

On the defensive end, the 76ers are forcing 14.6 turnovers per game and they draw 21.4 fouls. They are 13th in the league in allowing assists to the opposition with 819 conceded this year. The 76ers are giving up a shooting percentage of 46.4% (1,256 of 2,708) and they surrender 45.4 rebounds per game as a squad. They are conceding 34.4% on 3-point shots while they are 14th in the league in PPG from their opponents (115.6).

The last time they took the court, the Mavericks took a defeat with a final score of 113-107 when they played the Kings. When it comes to cleaning the glass, Dallas allowed Sacramento to snag 50 in all (14 on the offensive glass). They finished shooting 44.7% from three-point range by shooting 17 of 38 and ended up going 6 out of 8 at the charity stripe (75.0%). The Mavericks allowed the Kings to make 45 of 104 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 43.3% in this matchup. At the conclusion of this game, the Mavericks went 40 out of 87 from the field which gave them a rate of 46.0%. In terms of shots from distance, Dallas buried 13 of their 27 tries (48.1%). They were able to knock down 14 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 70.0%. The Kings had 15 personal fouls in the game which took the Mavericks to the charity stripe for a total of 20 attempts. They also turned it over 21 times, while recording 6 steals for the matchup. The Mavericks were able to collect 40 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive boards for a total of 51 in this game.

Cooper Flagg was important for the Mavericks in the matchup. Flagg earned 23 points in his 34 mins of playing time and accumulated 5 dimes for this contest. He converted 7 of 13 in this game for a rate of 53.8%, and had 6 rebounds.

Dallas has a win-loss mark of 12-21 for the season. When it comes to offensive execution, the Mavericks are shooting 46.8% from the floor, which is 17th in basketball. Dallas has tallied 3,745 points so far this year (113.5 per contest) and they pull in 44.6 boards per game. They are earning an assist 25.0 times per contest (23rd in the league) and they lose possession via turnover 15.5 times per contest. The Mavericks have committed 20.0 fouls per game and they shoot 75.6% from the free throw line.

The Dallas defense concedes 33.3% on 3-point attempts (384 of 1,153) and their opposition makes 78.3% of their free throw shots. They give up 26.8 assists and 47.7 boards per contest, which ranks them 17th and 28th in basketball. The Mavericks defensively are ranked 19th in the league in points given up per game with 117.5. They are forcing 13.8 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 46.0% from the floor (6th in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia

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