Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, 12/10/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Date: Wednesday, December 10, 2025

Location: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK

TV: Prime Video

Odds/Point Spread: Phoenix (+15.5)

The Phoenix Suns (14-10) are hitting the road to Paycom Center on Wednesday where they will take on the Oklahoma City Thunder (23-1) in an NBA Cup quarterfinal game. Oklahoma City opens this contest as 15.5-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 228.

The Suns stepped onto the hardwood against the Timberwolves and walked away with a win by a score of 108-105 in their last contest. Phoenix walked away from the game with a 45.6% field goal percentage (41 out of 90) and knocked down 12 out of their 33 shots from downtown. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Suns converted 14 of 20 tries for a rate of 70.0%. With regard to hauling in rebounds, they earned 43 with 14 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 26 dimes for the matchup while forcing 15 turnovers and getting 8 steals. Regarding the defense, Phoenix allowed the other team to go 47.0% from the field on 39 of 83 shooting. Minnesota distributed 26 dimes and had 5 steals in this contest. Additionally, Minnesota pulled down 46 boards (13 offensive, 33 defensive) and added 2 rejections. Minnesota ended up shooting 69.6% from the charity stripe by knocking down 16 of their 23 tries. They converted 11 of 42 tries from 3-point range. Regarding fouls, the Suns ended up finishing with 20 and the Timberwolves had 20 fouls.

Mark Williams is someone who was a contributor for the contest. Williams finished shooting 77.8% from the floor and dished out 3 assists. He saw the court for 29 mins and snagged 7 rebounds. He accumulated 22 points on 7 out of 9 shooting.

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Phoenix heads into this contest with a mark of 14-10 for the season. They turn the ball over 15.7 times per game and as a basketball team are committing 22.6 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Phoenix is pulling down 42.5 rebounds per contest and is sitting with 610 assists for the year, which has them ranked 18th in the league in terms of passing the rock. The Suns are shooting 36.8% on shots from beyond the arc (350 of 952) and 79.0% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 115.9 pts per game (19th in the league) while shooting 46.7% from the field.

On defense, the Suns are able to force 17.3 turnovers every game and they draw 19.8 personal fouls. They currently rank 9th in basketball in giving up assists to their opponents with 614 surrendered on the year. The Suns defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 47.6% (976 of 2,050) and they surrender 41.7 rebounds per game as a team. They are relinquishing 35.9% on three-point shots while they are 7th in the league in points per game from their opponents (113.5).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Thunder went home victorious with a score of 131-101 when they played the Jazz. The Thunder were able to corral 36 defensive boards and 8 offensive rebounds totaling 44 in this contest. They coughed up the ball 14 times, while earning 9 steals in this contest. The Jazz were called for 17 personal fouls for the game which got the Thunder to the charity stripe for a total of 18 tries. They were able to knock down 8 of those for a clip of 44.4%. In relation to shots from downtown, Oklahoma City converted 21 out of 42 attempts (50.0%). Overall, the Thunder finished the game shooting 51 out of 88 from the floor which had them at 58.0%. The Thunder allowed the Jazz to convert 40 out of their 85 tries from the floor which gave them a rate of 47.1% for this game. They shot 33.3% from behind the 3-point line by connecting on 12 of 36 and finished the game at 9 of 12 from the charity stripe (75.0%). When talking about rebounding, Oklahoma City allowed Utah to get 37 in all (6 on the offensive glass).

Chet Holmgren was important for the Thunder for the game. He knocked down 12 out of 15 for this game for a field goal percentage of 80.0%, and accumulated 9 rebounds. Holmgren accumulated 25 points in his 23 mins on the court and totaled 1 assist for the matchup.

Oklahoma City has a mark of 23-1 on the campaign. As an offense, the Thunder are hitting on 49.7% from the field, which ranks them 3rd in the NBA. Oklahoma City has tallied 2,953 pts on the year (123.0 per contest) and they grab 44.7 boards per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 26.5 times per contest (12th in basketball) and they cough up possession 12.6 times per contest. The Thunder commit 21.1 personal fouls per game and they hit 83.0% from the free throw line.

The Oklahoma City defense concedes 36.9% on 3-point shots (346 of 937) and opponents are knocking down 76.2% of their free throw shots. They have relinquished 23.9 dimes and 43.3 total rebounds per game, which is 2nd and 14th in basketball. The Thunder on the defensive side of the court are 1st in the NBA in points allowed per contest with 106.9. They have forced 17.8 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 42.8% from the floor (1st in basketball).

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Phoenix (+15.5)

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