Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat Prediction, 12/6/2025 Preview and Pick

Game: Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat

Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025

Location: Kaseya Center in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network

The Miami Heat (14-8) will try to defeat the Sacramento Kings (5-17) at Kaseya Center on Saturday.

The Kings stepped onto the hardwood against the Rockets and went home with a loss by a final score of 121-95 in their last contest. When it comes to fouls, the Kings finished with 17 while the Rockets finished the game with 10 fouls. They also knocked down 5 out of their 16 attempts from three-point range. Houston went 83.3% at the free throw line by making 20 of 24 attempts. Moreover, Houston pulled down 62 rebounds (17 offensive, 45 defensive) and had 7 blocks. Houston dished out 24 dimes and had 10 steals in this game. In terms of defending, Sacramento allowed the other team to go 52.7% from the field on 48 out of 91 shooting. They also distributed 21 assists for this contest while forcing the opposition into 18 turnovers and earning 10 steals. In reference to grabbing rebounds, they compiled 32 with 12 of them being of the offensive sort. From the free throw line, the Kings buried 5 of 10 tries for a rate of 50.0%. Sacramento wrapped up the contest with a 41.2% FG percentage (40 out of 97) and buried 10 out of their 34 3-pointers.

Malik Monk is one guy who was a major contributor in the game. He ended up walking away with 25 points on 10 of 19 shooting. He played for 30 mins and pulled down 3 boards. Monk went 52.6% from the field and distributed 5 assists.

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Sacramento enters this matchup with a win-loss record of 5-17 for the campaign. They have an average of 111.0 points per contest (28th in the league) while shooting 46.3% from the field. The Kings are shooting 35.2% on shots from 3-point land (240 of 682) and 75.6% from the free throw line. As a unit, Sacramento is snagging 39.3 rebounds per game and has accounted for 566 dimes for the year, which ranks 16th in the NBA in terms of passing the ball. They turn it over 13.9 times per game and as a squad they commit 20.5 fouls per game.

On defense, the Kings are forcing 15.2 turnovers every game and they draw 19.6 fouls. They relinquish 35.1% from 3-point land and they are ranked 27th in the NBA in points per game from their opponents (122.8). The Kings defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 50.0% (988 of 1,975) and they surrender 47.4 rebounds per contest as a squad. They rank 29th in the NBA in giving up assists with 634 conceded for the season.

For their last game, the Heat took a defeat with a final score of 118-108 when they faced the Mavericks. The Heat corralled 27 defensive rebounds and 14 offensive boards for a total of 41 for the matchup. They turned the ball over 11 times, while earning 11 steals in the game. The Mavericks committed 15 fouls in the matchup which got the Heat to the charity stripe for 18 shots. They were able to convert 17 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 94.4%. In reference to shooting from distance, Miami converted 11 out of 37 tries (29.7%). When the final whistle blew, the Heat shot 40 for 101 from the field which had them at 39.6%. The Heat allowed the Mavericks to convert 46 of 91 tries from the floor which left them with a rate of 50.5% for this game. They wrapped up this game 50.0% from beyond the arc by going 16 out of 32 and finished the game at 10 out of 12 at the free throw line (83.3%). When talking about cleaning the glass, Miami permitted Dallas to collect 50 in total (10 on the offensive glass).

Kel'el Ware was important for the Heat for this game. Ware recorded 22 points in his 25 mins of playing time and tallied 2 dimes for the matchup. He knocked down 8 of 11 for the matchup giving him a rate of 72.7%, and tallied 10 rebounds.

Miami has a mark of 14-8 this year. When it comes to executing on offense, the Heat are shooting 47.9% from the field, which ranks 11th in basketball. Miami has accounted for 2,719 points on the season (123.6 per game) and they collect 46.0 boards per contest. They are dishing out assists 30.2 times per contest (2nd in the league) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.3 times per game. The Heat have committed 20.2 fouls every game and they connect on 79.9% from the free throw line.

The Heat on the defensive end are ranked 22nd in basketball in PPG surrendered with 118.4. They are forcing 16.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 44.2% from the field (2nd in the league). The Miami defense concedes 32.6% on shots from 3-point land (305 of 935) and opponents are making 79.9% of their shots from the free throw line. They have relinquished 27.1 dimes and 49.1 boards per game, which ranks 21st and 29th in the NBA.

Who will win tonight's NBA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Sacramento

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